Fifa International · resolved market
Tunisia vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score in Second Half
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd65f217f48b7351d31fc5850ae2a01f7ac86898f123bcec8f3758cd9f8b1fd17
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,427
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,888
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,427 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7e2a…d25cbacked Yes | 23c | 440.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 191 | 24.6%47 W · 144 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dcd…0320backed Yes | 26c | 384.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.92 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 77c | 292.78$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.44 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x045b…9ab6backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9516…0bcbbacked Yes | 28c | 181.79$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 562 | 40.6%228 W · 334 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 78c | 162.66$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.43 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 75c | 152.62$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.51 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…38ccbacked Yes | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 286 | 46.2%132 W · 154 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb57e…ffe8backed Yes | 76c | 131.96$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 246 | 20.3%50 W · 196 L | -21.8wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed No | 78c | 85.41$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.79 | 195 | 45.6%89 W · 106 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 22c | 82$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.97 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 77c | 76.05$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.16 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Yes | 14c | 74.72$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 1,669 | 41.6%694 W · 975 L | +15.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 75c | 48.83$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.18 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked No | 77c | 39.3$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.95 | 1,380 | 40.2%555 W · 825 L | -51.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 79c | 24.78$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 78c | 23.32$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.19 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed No | 78c | 21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.62 | 1,563 | 39.8%622 W · 941 L | -51.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a53…0eecbacked No | 79c | 17.67$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.71 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed No | 78c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.3 | 866 | 56.4%488 W · 378 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed No | 77c | 13.74$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.23 | 177 | 60.5%107 W · 70 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9f…a686backed No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 184 | 73.4%135 W · 49 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 71cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x217a…acdebacked No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 38 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Tunisia vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score in Second Halfthis page
- Spread: Japan (-1.5)Japan won
- Spread: Japan (-2.5)Japan won
- Spread: Japan (-3.5)Japan won
- Spread: Japan (-4.5)Tunisia won
- Spread: Japan (-5.5)Tunisia won
- Spread: Tunisia (-1.5)Japan won
- Spread: Tunisia (-2.5)Japan won
- Tunisia vs. Japan: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Tunisia vs. Japan: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Tunisia vs. Japan: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Tunisia vs. Japan: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Tunisia vs. Japan: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Tunisia vs. Japan: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Tunisia vs. Japan: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Tunisia vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Tunisia vs. Japan: Japan 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Tunisia vs. Japan: Japan 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Tunisia vs. Japan: Japan 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Tunisia vs. Japan: Japan 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Tunisia vs. Japan: Japan O/U 0.5Over won
- Tunisia vs. Japan: Japan O/U 1.5Over won
- Tunisia vs. Japan: Japan O/U 2.5Over won
- Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 0.5Over won
- Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 1.5Over won
- Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 2.5Over won
- Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 3.5Over won
- Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 4.5Under won
- Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 5.5Under won
- Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 6.5Under won
- Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 7.5Under won
- Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 8.5Under won
- Tunisia vs. Japan: Tunisia 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Tunisia vs. Japan: Tunisia 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Tunisia vs. Japan: Tunisia 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Tunisia vs. Japan: Tunisia O/U 0.5Under won
- Tunisia vs. Japan: Tunisia O/U 1.5Under won
- Tunisia vs. Japan: Tunisia O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.