TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Spread: Tunisia (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Japanof Tunisia, Japan
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$90,131
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$102,552

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $90,131 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Tunisia1c9,606$115 inLost-$114.524,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Tunisia2c9,510$190 inLost-$190.192,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ad5…37b9backed Japan54c6,500$3,510 inWon+$2,99013059.2%77 W · 53 L+31.0wins+0.24per pick35cpaid+118.1%equal weight72+0.20 edge/pick
0x3561…f1b7backed Tunisia3c3,592$95 inLost-$95.4295037.5%356 W · 594 L-1.3wins0.00per pick38cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Tunisia2c3,378$83 inLost-$83.433,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4aef…9337backed Tunisia2c3,000$65 inLost-$6513240.2%53 W · 79 L-0.5wins0.00per pick41cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02d4…d26cbacked Tunisia3c1,922$50 inLost-$5054917.9%98 W · 451 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Tunisia3c1,629$45 inLost-$44.568,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9ef…b630backed Japan23c1,036$241 inWon+$794.985236.5%19 W · 33 L+8.0wins+0.15per pick21cpaid+51.2%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0xda47…c2e9backed Tunisia3c800$20 inLost-$2010022%22 W · 78 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Tunisia3c800$22 inLost-$21.871,00544.3%445 W · 560 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66e7…8bcdbacked Tunisia4c784.03$31 inLost-$30.5887837.2%327 W · 551 L-41.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-33.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x204a…a4eabacked Japan23c753.59$176 inWon+$578714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick12cpaid-38.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Tunisia2c678.07$16 inLost-$16.0711520%23 W · 92 L-8.8wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-31.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Tunisia3c581.47$20 inLost-$19.7771638.4%275 W · 441 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1144…4b04backed Tunisia3c500$16 inLost-$15.516349.7%81 W · 82 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9034…f7dfbacked Tunisia2c500$11 inLost-$1139932.6%130 W · 269 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2c3…ac23backed Tunisia3c499.98$13 inLost-$1395739.5%378 W · 579 L-18.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Tunisia4c494.77$19 inLost-$18.971,70236.7%625 W · 1,077 L-31.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd546…657bbacked Tunisia3c407.41$11 inLost-$113067.8%24 W · 282 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-38.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x78c1…473ebacked Tunisia3c397$12 inLost-$11.951315.6%80 W · 433 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick15cpaid-13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4572…47e7backed Tunisia4c299.97$11 inLost-$10.86516.9%11 W · 54 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick18cpaid-26.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Japan53c65.73$35 inWon+$30.8380225.7%206 W · 596 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-18.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 38 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.