Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 5.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xad5533fc1a714531d1a224888ad024953ff66ed34acd1831ddae16d6b95361b3

Rebuilt 20 minutes ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Jun 21, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $506,414
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $648,565

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $506,414 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x0346…52a5backed Over	7c	32,496$2,133 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,133.48	2,407	37.7%908 W · 1,499 L	-48.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over	5c	27,232$1,258 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,257.95	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over	1c	23,921$239 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$239.21	831	53.3%443 W · 388 L	+15.1wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b6e…f544backed Over	5c	20,000$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	138	11.6%16 W · 122 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-28.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over	5c	18,000$898 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$897.99	2,171	38.2%829 W · 1,342 L	-36.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over	5c	17,144$857 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$857.21	2,439	29%707 W · 1,732 L	-65.3wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-21%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe881…19abbacked Over	0c	12,059$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.06	121	14%17 W · 104 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-20.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Over	5c	8,172$409 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$408.6	387	34.4%133 W · 254 L	-4.8wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-29.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Over	5c	5,697$285 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$284.84	1,390	46.3%644 W · 746 L	+20.9wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Over	5c	5,575$279 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$278.76	1,313	48.9%642 W · 671 L	+12.3wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0249…5b4bbacked Over	6c	5,000$290 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$290	354	24%85 W · 269 L	-5.1wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c2d…60f3backed Over	5c	4,270$213 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$212.81	10	10%1 W · 9 L	-1.9wins	-0.19per pick	29cpaid	-78.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ee8…432fbacked Over	5c	4,000$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	125	38.4%48 W · 77 L	-3.0wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	+4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over	3c	3,548$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.41	3,992	24.9%994 W · 2,998 L	-47.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f5e…6dd8backed Over	1c	2,222$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	46	26.1%12 W · 34 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	24cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06f2…1269backed Over	6c	2,138$131 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130.9	383	33.9%130 W · 253 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b26…8c32backed Over	5c	2,040$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102	64	18.8%12 W · 52 L	-4.1wins	-0.06per pick	25cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2779…239abacked Over	8c	2,000$162 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$162	78	28.2%22 W · 56 L	-3.6wins	-0.05per pick	33cpaid	-32.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1bb1…eac3backed Over	5c	2,000$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.99	159	20.1%32 W · 127 L	+3.3wins	+0.02per pick	18cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f6f…d024backed Over	5c	1,495$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.73	774	33.1%256 W · 518 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-15%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe85d…ad4bbacked Over	5c	1,288$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.12	146	12.3%18 W · 128 L	-3.8wins	-0.03per pick	15cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked Over	1c	1,097$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.36	515	14.2%73 W · 442 L	+6.2wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4433…9d34backed Over	4c	1,052$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.98	788	35.3%278 W · 510 L	+9.6wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1859…a421backed Over	5c	1,000$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	78	37.2%29 W · 49 L	+2.3wins	+0.03per pick	34cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4bc5…e563backed Over	2c	1,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	421	26.4%111 W · 310 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6f43…e4aebacked Over	5c	886.2$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.31	81	18.5%15 W · 66 L	-4.2wins	-0.05per pick	24cpaid	-30.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcda7…d089backed Over	5c	800$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	34	8.8%3 W · 31 L	-2.1wins	-0.06per pick	15cpaid	-52.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaa7e…0332backed Over	8c	613.68$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.25	535	14.6%78 W · 457 L	+8.8wins	+0.02per pick	13cpaid	+19.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e89…3e0abacked Over	5c	600$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	267	16.1%43 W · 224 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	17cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x89d1…4ac1backed Over	5c	600$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	10	0%0 W · 10 L	-2.2wins	-0.22per pick	22cpaid	-100%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3e56…cfdabacked Over	5c	579$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.79	79	11.4%9 W · 70 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6ebb…8220backed Over	9c	554.65$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	282	24.1%68 W · 214 L	-4.3wins	-0.02per pick	26cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1f0…1928backed Over	3c	542.86$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	34	20.6%7 W · 27 L	+3.2wins	+0.09per pick	11cpaid	+52.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9637…a576backed Over	5c	506.31$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	451	20.6%93 W · 358 L	-7.3wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x160d…6f25backed Over	5c	487.26$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.93	783	17.4%136 W · 647 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Over	4c	462.82$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.73	1,045	29.3%306 W · 739 L	-10.8wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over	4c	420.12$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.42	2,973	28%831 W · 2,142 L	-132.5wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-39%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x517b…be02backed Over	5c	416.67$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	55	27.3%15 W · 40 L	+3.4wins	+0.06per pick	21cpaid	+12.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf009…19e9backed Over	5c	413$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	438	19.2%84 W · 354 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b4d…c525backed Over	5c	400$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.6	170	20%34 W · 136 L	-7.3wins	-0.04per pick	24cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0bb1…daf7backed Over	5c	400$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	188	21.8%41 W · 147 L	-5.0wins	-0.03per pick	24cpaid	-22.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7393…751abacked Over	5c	381.8$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	200	3%6 W · 194 L	-6.1wins	-0.03per pick	6cpaid	-59.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over	9c	358.32$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.06	1,563	39.8%622 W · 941 L	-51.9wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over	9c	315.09$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.97	1,669	41.6%694 W · 975 L	+15.9wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x89c5…24d1backed Over	8c	300$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.3	90	20%18 W · 72 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	19cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Over	5c	283$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.15	334	43.4%145 W · 189 L	-10.0wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over	5c	279.11$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.69	2,307	37.6%867 W · 1,440 L	-16.7wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c12…748fbacked Over	6c	254.23$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	324	22.5%73 W · 251 L	-8.5wins	-0.03per pick	25cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf7e…1482backed Over	5c	218.4$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.92	10	50%5 W · 5 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe059…daaebacked Over	5c	203.22$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	117	20.5%24 W · 93 L	+4.5wins	+0.04per pick	17cpaid	+19.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xde63…46c2backed Over	5c	200$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	107	27.1%29 W · 78 L	+5.7wins	+0.05per pick	22cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1556…b722backed Over	5c	200$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	296	39.5%117 W · 179 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde7d…499ebacked Over	7c	200$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.4	182	37.4%68 W · 114 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	+2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Over	5c	200$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	1,388	15.1%210 W · 1,178 L	-16.0wins	-0.01per pick	16cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x08cc…67babacked Over	5c	200$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	52	9.6%5 W · 47 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbe9a…5278backed Over	5c	200$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	24	33.3%8 W · 16 L	+0.8wins	+0.03per pick	30cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd5b3…5c98backed Over	5c	200$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	43	30.2%13 W · 30 L	+2.1wins	+0.05per pick	25cpaid	-30.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0b59…be19backed Over	5c	200$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	323	12.1%39 W · 284 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-13%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5638…5096backed Over	5c	200$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	31	29%9 W · 22 L	-1.6wins	-0.05per pick	34cpaid	-30.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6e4…07b1backed Over	11c	188.36$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	183	43.7%80 W · 103 L	-9.3wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb8a6…0f6fbacked Over	8c	186.21$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	25	52%13 W · 12 L	+3.3wins	+0.13per pick	39cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7938…e2dcbacked Over	8c	178.26$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over	9c	128$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.15	1,354	38.9%527 W · 827 L	-55.8wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-25.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 38 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 5.5this page
Spread: Japan (-1.5)Japan won
Spread: Japan (-2.5)Japan won
Spread: Japan (-3.5)Japan won
Spread: Japan (-4.5)Tunisia won
Spread: Japan (-5.5)Tunisia won
Spread: Tunisia (-1.5)Japan won
Spread: Tunisia (-2.5)Japan won
Tunisia vs. Japan: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Tunisia vs. Japan: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
Tunisia vs. Japan: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
Tunisia vs. Japan: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Tunisia vs. Japan: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
Tunisia vs. Japan: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
Tunisia vs. Japan: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
Tunisia vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
Tunisia vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
Tunisia vs. Japan: Japan 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Tunisia vs. Japan: Japan 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
Tunisia vs. Japan: Japan 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Tunisia vs. Japan: Japan 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
Tunisia vs. Japan: Japan O/U 0.5Over won
Tunisia vs. Japan: Japan O/U 1.5Over won
Tunisia vs. Japan: Japan O/U 2.5Over won
Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 0.5Over won
Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 1.5Over won
Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 2.5Over won
Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 3.5Over won
Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 4.5Under won
Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 6.5Under won
Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 7.5Under won
Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 8.5Under won
Tunisia vs. Japan: Tunisia 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Tunisia vs. Japan: Tunisia 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Tunisia vs. Japan: Tunisia 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
Tunisia vs. Japan: Tunisia O/U 0.5Under won
Tunisia vs. Japan: Tunisia O/U 1.5Under won
Tunisia vs. Japan: Tunisia O/U 2.5Under won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 5.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event