Fifa International · resolved market
Tunisia vs. Japan: 2nd Half O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x13c321f85cebcc18cc4bc7cfd43a233c2b625800c9ab0be0f1ebe673eac63658
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,344
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,801
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,344 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1341…0853backed Under | 60c | 7,462$4,451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,450.8 | 534 | 48.5%259 W · 275 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7c…4cbfbacked Over | 46c | 1,624$746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$878.06 | 110 | 42.7%47 W · 63 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 41c | 1,510$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$883.83 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f5f…1695backed Over | 41c | 1,473$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$872.51 | 372 | 23.9%89 W · 283 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 40c | 774.22$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.53 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 38c | 772$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.6 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5108…29cbbacked Over | 41c | 731.71$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.71 | 379 | 55.7%211 W · 168 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Over | 41c | 599.57$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.1 | 1,438 | 40.1%576 W · 862 L | -40.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Over | 41c | 473.42$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.43 | 1,354 | 38.9%527 W · 827 L | -55.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Over | 42c | 451$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.15 | 1,380 | 40.2%555 W · 825 L | -51.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 60c | 426.27$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.76 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6a09backed Over | 46c | 417.54$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.54 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +7.5wins | +0.22per pick | 47cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xba31…836dbacked Over | 52c | 353.85$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.85 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 40c | 300$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 1,563 | 39.8%622 W · 941 L | -51.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0f…e5f4backed Over | 42c | 236.81$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.81 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 56c | 230.95$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.17 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 55c | 227.09$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.9 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 57c | 226.99$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.38 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 44c | 225$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.56 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c15…9a45backed Under | 64c | 205.54$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.99 | 363 | 50.1%182 W · 181 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 49c | 184.17$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.18 | 1,669 | 41.6%694 W · 975 L | +15.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7450…bd47backed Under | 67c | 163.21$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b38…2bbfbacked Over | 54c | 146.12$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.54 | 104 | 50%52 W · 52 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 55c | 145.91$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.04 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e2…9dcbbacked Over | 67c | 126.73$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.82 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 44c | 111$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.32 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 48c | 108.4$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.53 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Under | 54c | 107.44$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.02 | 778 | 45%350 W · 428 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 55c | 100.45$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.2 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x612a…b3d7backed Over | 41c | 78$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.02 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +4.5wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0bcb…5c30backed Over | 53c | 77.83$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.83 | 55 | 34.5%19 W · 36 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed Under | 55c | 75$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.55 | 1,151 | 58.5%673 W · 478 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbefc…4fd1backed Over | 40c | 75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…d703backed Over | 53c | 66.02$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.02 | 115 | 55.7%64 W · 51 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed Under | 55c | 60$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.85 | 866 | 56.4%488 W · 378 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x831a…e8e6backed Over | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 90 | 36.7%33 W · 57 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0faf…fd5ebacked Over | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 62 | 29%18 W · 44 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf77c…61cabacked Over | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…36b8backed Under | 54c | 36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.58 | 192 | 57.8%111 W · 81 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cbe…23b1backed Under | 59c | 34.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed Under | 55c | 32.97$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.29 | 177 | 60.5%107 W · 70 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0db1…d2bebacked Over | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.61 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -3.7wins | -0.16per pick | 42cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Under | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 607 | 52.4%318 W · 289 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cef…2c8dbacked Under | 56c | 28.39$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 434 | 60.4%262 W · 172 L | +33.5wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 59c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbf…49c1backed Under | 49c | 24.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 224 | 52.7%118 W · 106 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d02…bb89backed Over | 52c | 24.78$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.9 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | +7.6wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8dce…8f73backed Under | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19b9…5990backed Under | 72c | 15.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 38 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Tunisia vs. Japan: 2nd Half O/U 1.5this page
- Spread: Japan (-1.5)Japan won
- Spread: Japan (-2.5)Japan won
- Spread: Japan (-3.5)Japan won
- Spread: Japan (-4.5)Tunisia won
- Spread: Japan (-5.5)Tunisia won
- Spread: Tunisia (-1.5)Japan won
- Spread: Tunisia (-2.5)Japan won
- Tunisia vs. Japan: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Tunisia vs. Japan: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Tunisia vs. Japan: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Tunisia vs. Japan: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Tunisia vs. Japan: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Tunisia vs. Japan: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Tunisia vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Tunisia vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Tunisia vs. Japan: Japan 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Tunisia vs. Japan: Japan 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Tunisia vs. Japan: Japan 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Tunisia vs. Japan: Japan 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Tunisia vs. Japan: Japan O/U 0.5Over won
- Tunisia vs. Japan: Japan O/U 1.5Over won
- Tunisia vs. Japan: Japan O/U 2.5Over won
- Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 0.5Over won
- Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 1.5Over won
- Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 2.5Over won
- Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 3.5Over won
- Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 4.5Under won
- Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 5.5Under won
- Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 6.5Under won
- Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 7.5Under won
- Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 8.5Under won
- Tunisia vs. Japan: Tunisia 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Tunisia vs. Japan: Tunisia 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Tunisia vs. Japan: Tunisia 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Tunisia vs. Japan: Tunisia O/U 0.5Under won
- Tunisia vs. Japan: Tunisia O/U 1.5Under won
- Tunisia vs. Japan: Tunisia O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.