TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Tunisia vs. Japan: Tunisia O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$166,872
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$182,839

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $166,872 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 179 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9cb9…32f2backed Over45c36,398$16,203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,203.1725038.8%97 W · 153 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under63c15,468$9,808 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,660.334,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under68c10,150$6,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,249.51,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over45c7,169$3,261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,261.23,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over25c6,823$1,679 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,678.628,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Under51c3,601$1,819 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,782.362,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x122b…ac59backed Under66c3,030$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,030.224533.5%82 W · 163 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbbc2…10dcbacked Over50c2,954$1,477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,476.924852.1%25 W · 23 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under71c2,595$1,837 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$758.532,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over38c2,357$892 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$892.454,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under76c2,257$1,711 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$546.712,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0636…c529backed Over49c2,000$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$979.971833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-31.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b7f…d56cbacked Over5c1,968$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.3482537.1%306 W · 519 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a28…8962backed Under56c1,786$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$785.8912139.7%48 W · 73 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+0.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under70c1,659$1,155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504.132,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Under51c1,633$833 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$800.1625857.4%148 W · 110 L+11.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over49c1,598$779 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$779.112,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Under62c1,540$959 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$581.321,35438.9%527 W · 827 L-55.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x661c…695bbacked Under56c1,429$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$628.5711665.5%76 W · 40 L-0.3wins0.00per pick66cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Under58c1,233$715 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$517.71,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Under68c1,181$801 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380.21,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Under59c1,167$687 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.471,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under50c1,080$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$539.953,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa14d…45d1backed Over50c1,015$508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507.6112724.4%31 W · 96 L-10.7wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-44.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8511…4a6bbacked Under50c1,012$509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502.76966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+42.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x67a5…3516backed Over50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50022441.5%93 W · 131 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8bd8…f306backed Over51c999.98$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509.9919545.6%89 W · 106 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa0e1…b9b4backed Under51c980.39$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.397146.5%33 W · 38 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-1.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x63db…174cbacked Under51c980.39$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.396341.3%26 W · 37 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12c4…ff8cbacked Under51c918.2$468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450.1514655.5%81 W · 65 L+8.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf7b3…74a5backed Under52c875$455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4201392.3%12 W · 1 L+5.2wins+0.40per pick53cpaid+106.3%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0xc3df…9945backed Under68c735.29$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.2920547.3%97 W · 108 L-0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Under51c647$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.032,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over24c632$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.681,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x760c…5a5dbacked Over50c624.54$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.271323.1%3 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick21cpaid+46.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x476d…0c42backed Under51c620.71$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.157346.6%34 W · 39 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd73…4da1backed Over50c574.6$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.319713.7%27 W · 170 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick16cpaid-43.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0249…5b4bbacked Under48c550$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28635424%85 W · 269 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa18c…d792backed Under67c524.6$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.1224058.8%141 W · 99 L+19.8wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x332c…ae23backed Over21c500$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1054748.9%23 W · 24 L+6.4wins+0.14per pick35cpaid+108.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xfe1e…7ee3backed Under55c499.99$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22516165.8%106 W · 55 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over28c476.1$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.261,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad87…6a86backed Under67c475$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.758950.6%45 W · 44 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over48c451.06$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.231,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a8d…8922backed Over21c419.05$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$881050%5 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+52.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc390…715cbacked Under49c412.14$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.146134.4%21 W · 40 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked Over50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20030465.1%198 W · 106 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick66cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87b6…4ababacked Under51c399.98$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.9945038.2%172 W · 278 L-28.4wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under72c390.3$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.292,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec12…fd9dbacked Under52c384.62$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.6215519.4%30 W · 125 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x627b…285bbacked Over42c355.93$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15012844.5%57 W · 71 L+7.4wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+18.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1a93…c3eabacked Over35c345.71$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1215950.8%30 W · 29 L+7.8wins+0.13per pick38cpaid+31.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Over49c340.56$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.2458029.5%171 W · 409 L-19.9wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4849…2e69backed Over32c312.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002025%5 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-43.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x88c5…2909backed Under51c310$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.98549.4%42 W · 43 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f45…db24backed Over49c305.6$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.7614054.3%76 W · 64 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbc21…c04fbacked Over50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1503633.3%12 W · 24 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-25.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under52c299.99$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1451,20448.9%589 W · 615 L+18.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x898c…e4c3backed Over35c285.71$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007642.1%32 W · 44 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb47…3502backed Under78c284$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.4844524.9%111 W · 334 L-1.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under49c282.83$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.093,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under51c280.94$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.493,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0009…5497backed Over46c275.66$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.869744.9%313 W · 384 L+18.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd100…853dbacked Over45c273.07$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.8838948.8%190 W · 199 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over26c262.78$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.581,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8100…53a9backed Over32c248.48$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$803158.1%18 W · 13 L+4.1wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+28.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x92b3…9cd3backed Over50c240$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1201216.7%2 W · 10 L-3.4wins-0.28per pick45cpaid-66.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8d8b…1896backed Under51c239.22$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.221457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.7wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+13.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x86c3…2020backed Over24c208.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508450%42 W · 42 L+5.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+14.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0b14…3ca3backed Under49c202$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.0214839.9%59 W · 89 L-7.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2fcd…9293backed Over48c200$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9613531.9%43 W · 92 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick30cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4372…6a96backed Over11c200$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.926921.6%58 W · 211 L-10.6wins-0.04per pick26cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb02…c292backed Under55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$907252.8%38 W · 34 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbb8a…2562backed Under51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.087025.7%18 W · 52 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick20cpaid-6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6e5a…a270backed Under51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.083756.8%21 W · 16 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+21.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd697…def2backed Over52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009348.4%45 W · 48 L+8.6wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+23.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5088…cfc5backed Under51c190.29$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.2415440.3%62 W · 92 L+11.9wins+0.08per pick33cpaid+14.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9034…f7dfbacked Over11c187.87$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.1339932.6%130 W · 269 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc67e…ed46backed Under56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.5710347.6%49 W · 54 L-5.5wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-11.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under50c175.42$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.383,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x76ca…e170backed Over20c175$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3515455.8%86 W · 68 L+7.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x03bc…ad27backed Under51c172.55$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.5515227%41 W · 111 L-9.5wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-23.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xeadf…26efbacked Under60c166.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.6712854.7%70 W · 58 L+5.9wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+19.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbb42…6e09backed Under53c166.04$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.0462452.7%329 W · 295 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6bd6…bf96backed Under52c158.5$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.082142.9%9 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+17.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8cf7…1958backed Under51c156.86$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.8621247.2%100 W · 112 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5deb…ccddbacked Over29c155.89$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.4435034.3%120 W · 230 L-24.0wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-33.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over9c150$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.172,32718.1%422 W · 1,905 L-363.0wins-0.16per pick34cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xf7e5…cebbbacked Under69c144.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.9311458.8%67 W · 47 L+11.1wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+67.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x66ac…1635backed Over49c142.86$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7070%0 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0f21…3d6ebacked Over33c140.91$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.530220.2%61 W · 241 L-15.6wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5de3…3ad2backed Over40c140$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$566737.3%25 W · 42 L+4.1wins+0.06per pick31cpaid+14.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb172…7862backed Over9c130$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.727837.8%105 W · 173 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-11.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc63e…30e3backed Over8c125.25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105532.7%18 W · 37 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-35.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeb2e…7821backed Over49c123.61$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.571,42147.8%679 W · 742 L-0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e3e…4781backed Over49c122.45$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$606550.8%33 W · 32 L+10.1wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+42.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x7366…d1aabacked Under50c119.23$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.237248.6%35 W · 37 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x98d0…f14abacked Under51c113$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.373551.4%18 W · 17 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-11.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbd81…3874backed Over30c112.8$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3412127.3%33 W · 88 L-5.8wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-24.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9154…8f2dbacked Over32c110.99$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.528338.6%32 W · 51 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 38 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.