TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xbbc2…10dc

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
68
Categories scored
3
Categories below 50
1

Best Category: MLB, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 57 out of 100; worst Tennis at 39.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT4852.1%25 W · 23 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 48 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Argentina vs. Austria: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$744Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$744.36
New Zealand vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$360Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$389.98
Belgium vs. IR Iran: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$917Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$917.21
Tunisia vs. Japan: Tunisia O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,477Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,476.92
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: Curaçao O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Türkiye vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$155
Brazil vs. Haiti: Haiti O/U 1.5 Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+62.2%+$248.94
Brazil vs. Haiti: Haiti O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$480Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$480
Scotland vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$310Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$310
Czechia vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+81.5%+$814.57
Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$76
Ghana vs. Panama: O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$187Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$88
Portugal vs. DR Congo: Team to Take First Cornerbacked DR Congo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+190%+$57
Austria vs. Jordan: Jordan O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$210
Iraq vs. Norway: Iraq O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$268Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+150%+$402
France vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$762Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$703.63
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$4,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,000.2
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$2,965Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+37%+$1,096.56
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$745Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$744.97
Australia vs. Türkiye: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$981Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$980.93
Haiti vs. Scotland: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$736Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$766.37
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$431Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$505.96
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,384Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$621.86
Showing 25 of 48 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 19, 2026, EDT128.3%1 W · 11 L-3.7wins-0.31per pick40cpaid-82.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
Tennis — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Halle Open: Ben Shelton vs Taylor Fritzbacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritzbacked Mattia Bellucci · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$154.5
Tucuman: Carlos Maria Zarate vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogibacked Carlos Maria Zarate · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Stuttgart Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Nick Kyrgiosbacked Sho Shimabukuro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+105.6%+$211.22
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Federico Bondiolibacked Federico Bondioli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Lyon: Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo vs Luca Van Asschebacked Luca Van Assche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Ilkley: Iryna Shymanovich vs Lanlana Tararudeebacked Iryna Shymanovich · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Tucuman: Johan Alexander Rodriguez vs Juan Manuel La Sernabacked Juan Manuel La Serna · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Ilkley: Felix Gill vs Filippo Romanobacked Felix Gill · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$193.35
Modena: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Jeline Vandrommebacked Jeline Vandromme · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Roland Garros ATP (Doubles): Granollers/Zeballos vs Bolelli/Vavassoribacked Bolelli/Vavassori · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Birmingham: Mika Stojsavljevic vs Elvina Kalievabacked Elvina Kalieva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
All 12 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT875%6 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+48.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
MLB — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.