MLB · resolved market
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1dd37515ec985eb6cbb13412c2a8309e03d1a59b91c771180c2cc7dd1674b144
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- New York Yankeesof New York Yankees, Cleveland Guardians
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,188,859
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,207,350
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,188,859 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 597 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked New York Yankees | 46c | 303,893$139,752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164,141.14 | 210 | 40%84 W · 126 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Cleveland Guardians | 49c | 177,672$86,651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86,650.58 | 1,414 | 49.5%700 W · 714 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 120,000$64,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64,800 | 311 | 49.2%153 W · 158 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed New York Yankees | 46c | 111,177$51,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60,035.45 | 239 | 48.5%116 W · 123 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5291…d4b6backed Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 77,777$42,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,999.58 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 70,000$37,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,799.94 | 505 | 53.5%270 W · 235 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…017fbacked New York Yankees | 46c | 40,517$18,638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,878.94 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed New York Yankees | 55c | 32,210$17,849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,361.69 | 970 | 44.9%436 W · 534 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Cleveland Guardians | 48c | 21,551$10,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,285.44 | 3,041 | 48%1,461 W · 1,580 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06fa…455cbacked Cleveland Guardians | 50c | 21,416$10,805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,805.44 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 16,921$9,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,072.65 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed New York Yankees | 48c | 16,253$7,730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,522.99 | 4,515 | 48.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L | -46.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 15,430$8,259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,258.97 | 172 | 48.8%84 W · 88 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b5…4582backed New York Yankees | 66c | 15,200$10,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,168 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed New York Yankees | 47c | 14,434$6,784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,649.77 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Cleveland Guardians | 48c | 14,403$6,892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,891.65 | 441 | 54.2%239 W · 202 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 13,553$7,319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,318.55 | 1,681 | 50.1%842 W · 839 L | -22.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a67…e403backed Cleveland Guardians | 55c | 12,000$6,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,600 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed New York Yankees | 47c | 10,638$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,638.3 | 983 | 49.8%490 W · 493 L | -18.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked New York Yankees | 62c | 10,569$6,587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,981.81 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xced2…d98abacked Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 10,000$5,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,400 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -3.8wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4c…1f30backed Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 10,000$5,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,400 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 7,718$4,137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,137.01 | 1,408 | 48.8%687 W · 721 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Cleveland Guardians | 57c | 7,353$4,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,188.15 | 207 | 48.8%101 W · 106 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ff…473dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 58c | 7,248$4,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,190.15 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Cleveland Guardians | 51c | 6,187$3,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,172.85 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6498…8910backed New York Yankees | 32c | 6,000$1,946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,054.21 | 517 | 56.5%292 W · 225 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cleveland Guardians | 43c | 5,790$2,461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,460.96 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 5,567$2,897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,897.11 | 6,123 | 55.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L | +346.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 5,222$2,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,819.87 | 662 | 50.2%332 W · 330 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Cleveland Guardians | 62c | 5,184$3,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,220.95 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed New York Yankees | 47c | 5,053$2,391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,662.03 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed New York Yankees | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,650 | 1,078 | 48.1%518 W · 560 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked New York Yankees | 50c | 4,757$2,363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,393.49 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed New York Yankees | 35c | 4,696$1,623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,073.16 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x459e…7dd1backed Cleveland Guardians | 46c | 4,686$2,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,165 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 4,398$2,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,352.57 | 3,509 | 51%1,789 W · 1,720 L | +53.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Cleveland Guardians | 25c | 3,957$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001.35 | 8,594 | 52.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L | +508.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 3,916$2,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,028.63 | 1,527 | 51.1%780 W · 747 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Cleveland Guardians | 50c | 3,500$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,750 | 1,293 | 47.3%611 W · 682 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb57d…07bfbacked Cleveland Guardians | 28c | 3,179$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$890 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5453…65cebacked New York Yankees | 48c | 3,148$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,648.07 | 118 | 48.3%57 W · 61 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5762…90eebacked New York Yankees | 60c | 2,990$1,794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,196.02 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd82…9f66backed New York Yankees | 40c | 2,984$1,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,794.13 | 159 | 37.7%60 W · 99 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 2,928$1,514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,513.66 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked New York Yankees | 50c | 2,908$1,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,454 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…0482backed New York Yankees | 42c | 2,625$1,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,519.73 | 522 | 28%146 W · 376 L | -57.7wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Cleveland Guardians | 47c | 2,463$1,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,162.7 | 1,520 | 59.1%899 W · 621 L | +78.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13b7…c98fbacked New York Yankees | 41c | 2,267$937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,330.56 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7a…bc22backed New York Yankees | 25c | 2,240$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,680 | 84 | 31%26 W · 58 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf11…c679backed Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 2,215$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 289 | 44.3%128 W · 161 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c7…d601backed New York Yankees | 46c | 2,176$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,175.75 | 107 | 50.5%54 W · 53 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Cleveland Guardians | 55c | 2,170$1,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,193.49 | 484 | 46.7%226 W · 258 L | -33.7wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Cleveland Guardians | 45c | 2,121$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$949.67 | 718 | 50.1%360 W · 358 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Cleveland Guardians | 71c | 2,080$1,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,485.02 | 2,149 | 50.2%1,079 W · 1,070 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked New York Yankees | 57c | 1,956$1,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$845.58 | 791 | 47.9%379 W · 412 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed New York Yankees | 80c | 1,887$1,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.07 | 405 | 43.5%176 W · 229 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Cleveland Guardians | 51c | 1,880$959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$958.8 | 710 | 44.5%316 W · 394 L | -23.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6383…6e28backed Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 1,878$985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$985.2 | 795 | 55.6%442 W · 353 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked New York Yankees | 47c | 1,873$887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$985.78 | 158 | 40.5%64 W · 94 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3709…bb80backed Cleveland Guardians | 37c | 1,847$681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$681.42 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf0…728fbacked Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 1,818$961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$961.1 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +61.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Cleveland Guardians | 34c | 1,813$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.39 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 1,800$936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$936 | 874 | 53%463 W · 411 L | +16.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed New York Yankees | 46c | 1,758$809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$949.31 | 1,586 | 48.5%770 W · 816 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9625…5bb7backed Cleveland Guardians | 50c | 1,700$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -5.7wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…0fd6backed New York Yankees | 62c | 1,660$1,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.88 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10e0…c736backed New York Yankees | 47c | 1,612$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$862.4 | 179 | 51.4%92 W · 87 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0874…6277backed New York Yankees | 22c | 1,579$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,231.33 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +4.9wins | +0.19per pick | 20cpaid | +112.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 1,555$824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$824.15 | 1,358 | 50.8%690 W · 668 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed New York Yankees | 51c | 1,548$782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$766.1 | 8,403 | 47.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L | +76.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Cleveland Guardians | 41c | 1,524$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628.03 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52e3…3337backed New York Yankees | 47c | 1,500$707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$793.5 | 432 | 53.9%233 W · 199 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x387f…2095backed New York Yankees | 47c | 1,400$658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed New York Yankees | 60c | 1,316$787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.83 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed New York Yankees | 46c | 1,295$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696.91 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23ae…8c25backed New York Yankees | 25c | 1,283$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$958.74 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +174.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Cleveland Guardians | 21c | 1,250$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.42 | 2,172 | 39.9%866 W · 1,306 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked New York Yankees | 56c | 1,167$657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.85 | 5,149 | 54.7%2,815 W · 2,334 L | +231.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed New York Yankees | 47c | 1,140$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608 | 1,418 | 43.4%616 W · 802 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed New York Yankees | 44c | 1,120$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.02 | 347 | 51%177 W · 170 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87af…c990backed New York Yankees | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.83 | 327 | 42.2%138 W · 189 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ef6…43f4backed Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 1,019$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcda6…0b92backed New York Yankees | 69c | 1,016$701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.98 | 35 | 82.9%29 W · 6 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 72cpaid | +16%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Cleveland Guardians | 27c | 999.99$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 367 | 29.4%108 W · 259 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc187…775fbacked New York Yankees | 54c | 999.27$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.27 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed New York Yankees | 46c | 992.95$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.12 | 540 | 48.3%261 W · 279 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1105…8a5bbacked Cleveland Guardians | 50c | 990.2$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed Cleveland Guardians | 45c | 988.17$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.42 | 970 | 50.7%492 W · 478 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee54…b048backed New York Yankees | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked New York Yankees | 46c | 979$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.66 | 712 | 53.4%380 W · 332 L | +12.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Cleveland Guardians | 34c | 975.8$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.2 | 4,187 | 50.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L | +94.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa05a…4635backed New York Yankees | 45c | 964.77$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.46 | 830 | 53%440 W · 390 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 933.14$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.9 | 1,922 | 53.4%1,027 W · 895 L | +28.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Cleveland Guardians | 55c | 918$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.69 | 2,375 | 47.3%1,123 W · 1,252 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x085c…99e3backed New York Yankees | 46c | 899.4$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.72 | 244 | 48.4%118 W · 126 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x528f…2101backed Cleveland Guardians | 56c | 880.36$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed New York Yankees | 51c | 866.32$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.13 | 1,121 | 44.1%494 W · 627 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed New York Yankees | 46c | 851.06$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.57 | 384 | 44.3%170 W · 214 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardiansthis page
- New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 10.5Over won
- New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 11.5Over won
- New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 12.5Under won
- New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 4.5Over won
- New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 5.5Over won
- New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 6.5Over won
- New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5Over won
- New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 8.5Over won
- New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-2.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-2.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-3.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Yankees vs. Cleveland GuardiansYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.