MLB · resolved market
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1ef76bf63c4b9ec4b854ac39a10750f7b57af7c811fc4e569371fb89871dbe3d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cincinnati Redsof Cincinnati Reds, San Diego Padres
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,292,554
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,317,574
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,292,554 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 601 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2c33…0563backed San Diego Padres | 49c | 195,807$95,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95,031.43 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Cincinnati Reds | 53c | 159,169$84,882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74,286.6 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b21…a230backed Cincinnati Reds | 49c | 140,000$68,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71,400 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked San Diego Padres | 46c | 100,000$46,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46,000 | 210 | 40%84 W · 126 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Cincinnati Reds | 51c | 91,744$46,392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45,351.93 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37d3…709abacked San Diego Padres | 59c | 82,360$48,354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,354.05 | 82 | 20.7%17 W · 65 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed San Diego Padres | 52c | 80,984$42,351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,350.73 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2805…76edbacked Cincinnati Reds | 47c | 68,269$32,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,109.59 | 212 | 42%89 W · 123 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked San Diego Padres | 46c | 32,609$15,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,000 | 165 | 48.5%80 W · 85 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Cincinnati Reds | 53c | 31,390$16,792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,598.05 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b5…4582backed San Diego Padres | 55c | 28,913$15,899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,898.51 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed San Diego Padres | 55c | 23,464$12,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,820.02 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x418d…88a3backed Cincinnati Reds | 55c | 23,000$12,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,350 | 122 | 55.7%68 W · 54 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed Cincinnati Reds | 55c | 22,232$12,227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,004.29 | 238 | 46.6%111 W · 127 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked San Diego Padres | 43c | 20,721$8,951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,950.62 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked San Diego Padres | 44c | 20,000$8,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,759.92 | 603 | 50.1%302 W · 301 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked San Diego Padres | 52c | 18,420$9,522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,522.43 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde49…fe85backed Cincinnati Reds | 56c | 15,000$8,361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,639.17 | 484 | 51%247 W · 237 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Cincinnati Reds | 54c | 13,936$7,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,420.56 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Cincinnati Reds | 56c | 12,502$6,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,503.51 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Cincinnati Reds | 52c | 10,729$5,579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,149.96 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc0…847dbacked San Diego Padres | 46c | 10,000$4,566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,565.93 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked San Diego Padres | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,799.98 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed San Diego Padres | 50c | 9,979$5,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,009.94 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cincinnati Reds | 48c | 9,105$4,382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,723.26 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5e…7004backed San Diego Padres | 66c | 8,298$5,457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,457.45 | 217 | 67.7%147 W · 70 L | +36.1wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed San Diego Padres | 52c | 7,578$3,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,949.93 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc5b…3f6abacked Cincinnati Reds | 30c | 7,374$2,203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,171.59 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked San Diego Padres | 58c | 7,212$4,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,163.6 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed San Diego Padres | 46c | 6,966$3,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,194.92 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb56d…d621backed Cincinnati Reds | 54c | 6,945$3,747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,198.25 | 74 | 60.8%45 W · 29 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa6…6c6cbacked San Diego Padres | 46c | 6,800$3,128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,128 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked San Diego Padres | 48c | 6,303$3,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,045.13 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5762…90eebacked Cincinnati Reds | 80c | 6,284$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,283.5 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed San Diego Padres | 46c | 6,217$2,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,859.98 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Cincinnati Reds | 51c | 5,983$3,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,956.25 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed Cincinnati Reds | 51c | 5,574$2,843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,731.22 | 322 | 51.6%166 W · 156 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Cincinnati Reds | 40c | 5,521$2,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,331.55 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Cincinnati Reds | 23c | 5,459$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,198.68 | 400 | 43%172 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Cincinnati Reds | 55c | 5,416$2,979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,437.2 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Cincinnati Reds | 79c | 5,000$3,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,049.99 | 98 | 62.2%61 W · 37 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 69cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Cincinnati Reds | 62c | 4,861$3,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,848.48 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3df…9945backed San Diego Padres | 52c | 4,774$2,491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,491.29 | 64 | 67.2%43 W · 21 L | +6.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Cincinnati Reds | 47c | 3,894$1,812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,081.96 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d16…212ebacked San Diego Padres | 27c | 3,767$1,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,017.04 | 206 | 48.1%99 W · 107 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed San Diego Padres | 46c | 3,726$1,723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,723.04 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07e2…4b9cbacked Cincinnati Reds | 44c | 3,611$1,583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,028.03 | 274 | 50.7%139 W · 135 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1032…c372backed Cincinnati Reds | 40c | 3,609$1,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,165.46 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed San Diego Padres | 49c | 3,500$1,715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,714.99 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Cincinnati Reds | 54c | 3,339$1,791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,547.61 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8adb…e4f6backed San Diego Padres | 39c | 3,333$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | -9.2wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6368…6dc8backed San Diego Padres | 74c | 3,277$2,414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,413.86 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2eed…85a9backed Cincinnati Reds | 46c | 3,165$1,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,721.44 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked San Diego Padres | 32c | 3,125$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb57d…07bfbacked San Diego Padres | 41c | 3,119$1,282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,282.14 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed San Diego Padres | 46c | 3,000$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,380 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9625…5bb7backed San Diego Padres | 52c | 2,900$1,508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,508 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -5.7wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd162…0d24backed Cincinnati Reds | 49c | 2,886$1,417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,468.88 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd03b…184cbacked Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 2,567$1,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,411.91 | 284 | 53.9%153 W · 131 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad4…6866backed Cincinnati Reds | 30c | 2,500$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,750.33 | 158 | 49.4%78 W · 80 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…2914backed San Diego Padres | 60c | 2,492$1,483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,482.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde1d…44a6backed Cincinnati Reds | 46c | 2,334$1,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,249.39 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9c…1fcabacked San Diego Padres | 54c | 2,329$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18f3…0c20backed Cincinnati Reds | 79c | 2,299$1,816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.82 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Cincinnati Reds | 55c | 2,278$1,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,025.31 | 481 | 47%226 W · 255 L | -31.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca1…ddcdbacked Cincinnati Reds | 47c | 2,103$989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,114.76 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x497a…650fbacked San Diego Padres | 43c | 2,067$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$890 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e86…cb8fbacked Cincinnati Reds | 54c | 2,037$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$937.04 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed San Diego Padres | 25c | 2,026$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.21 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x308d…3519backed San Diego Padres | 59c | 1,974$1,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,164.91 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Cincinnati Reds | 53c | 1,955$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$915.44 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked Cincinnati Reds | 44c | 1,932$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,082.18 | 57 | 26.3%15 W · 42 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +221.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…0482backed San Diego Padres | 45c | 1,838$822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$822.09 | 522 | 28%146 W · 376 L | -57.7wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed San Diego Padres | 46c | 1,785$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820.07 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Cincinnati Reds | 54c | 1,740$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.4 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed San Diego Padres | 51c | 1,729$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880.11 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 1,716$778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$938.69 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked San Diego Padres | 47c | 1,618$759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$758.71 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9f…f6a3backed Cincinnati Reds | 39c | 1,600$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$976 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -4.4wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc9…d80bbacked San Diego Padres | 65c | 1,593$1,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,041.34 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd82…9f66backed Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 1,565$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$865.35 | 159 | 37.7%60 W · 99 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d18…6f62backed Cincinnati Reds | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.99 | 167 | 53.9%90 W · 77 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52e3…3337backed San Diego Padres | 46c | 1,499$694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$693.97 | 432 | 53.9%233 W · 199 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked San Diego Padres | 49c | 1,499$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734.67 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed San Diego Padres | 48c | 1,491$716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715.55 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Cincinnati Reds | 54c | 1,421$764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.4 | 880 | 46.4%408 W · 472 L | -22.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c10…b6a4backed San Diego Padres | 48c | 1,409$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676.42 | 114 | 46.5%53 W · 61 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked San Diego Padres | 45c | 1,401$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.98 | 791 | 47.9%379 W · 412 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x528f…2101backed San Diego Padres | 54c | 1,305$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704.95 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed San Diego Padres | 29c | 1,278$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.03 | 970 | 50.7%492 W · 478 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13b7…c98fbacked Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 1,272$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$703.55 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e3…21d5backed San Diego Padres | 65c | 1,240$805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$805.42 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Cincinnati Reds | 47c | 1,179$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621.23 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed San Diego Padres | 54c | 1,171$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.91 | 107 | 62.6%67 W · 40 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed San Diego Padres | 64c | 1,150$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734.5 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4e…a24abacked San Diego Padres | 46c | 1,118$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.33 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -4.0wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9905…add3backed Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 1,113$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.17 | 103 | 51.5%53 W · 50 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf5…31f9backed San Diego Padres | 60c | 1,097$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.74 | 224 | 45.5%102 W · 122 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9340…e829backed Cincinnati Reds | 48c | 1,044$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.76 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf213…a627backed Cincinnati Reds | 75c | 1,039$781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.59 | 689 | 42.2%291 W · 398 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padresthis page
- Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 10.5Under won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 4.5Over won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 5.5Over won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 6.5Over won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 7.5Over won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 8.5Under won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-2.5)San Diego Padres won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-3.5)San Diego Padres won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-2.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-3.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego PadresNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.