MLB · resolved market

Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x867d356663531b8c39ac4452bf981e3a8dc933d16a5d96006b7a02817220cb79

Rebuilt 6 hours ago.

Winning outcome: San Diego Padresof Cincinnati Reds, San Diego Padres
Resolved: Jun 9, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $599,872
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $552,915

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $599,872 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 466 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in MLB
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xb91a…3987backed San Diego Padres	56c	113,347$63,474 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49,872.52	135	61.5%83 W · 52 L	+15.2wins	+0.11per pick	50cpaid	+24.5%equal weight	61+0.09 edge/pick
0xa676…a4c5backed Cincinnati Reds	0c	91,089$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.09	69	36.2%25 W · 44 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	35cpaid	+41.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed San Diego Padres	62c	35,314$21,886 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13,427.44	970	44.9%436 W · 534 L	-13.8wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Cincinnati Reds	34c	34,506$11,580 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,579.73	4,553	49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L	-9.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x16bb…8492backed Cincinnati Reds	44c	30,000$13,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13,200	883	49.3%435 W · 448 L	-4.2wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xf152…64aabacked San Diego Padres	55c	28,257$15,541 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,715.47	771	53.8%415 W · 356 L	+7.6wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Cincinnati Reds	44c	22,700$9,988 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,988	277	53.1%147 W · 130 L	+10.9wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Cincinnati Reds	50c	20,061$9,986 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,986.48	10,979	51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L	+139.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Cincinnati Reds	44c	17,045$7,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,500	1,586	48.5%770 W · 816 L	-2.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Cincinnati Reds	45c	16,258$7,316 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,316	1,681	50.1%842 W · 839 L	-22.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Cincinnati Reds	44c	14,448$6,286 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,286.02	3,509	51%1,789 W · 1,720 L	+53.3wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Cincinnati Reds	44c	13,000$5,675 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,674.84	5,471	50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L	+21.8wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc507…52dcbacked San Diego Padres	56c	12,000$6,720 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,280	8	50%4 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed Cincinnati Reds	43c	11,850$5,095 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,095.32	239	48.5%116 W · 123 L	+2.3wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Cincinnati Reds	67c	11,304$7,574 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,573.73	1,106	48.7%539 W · 567 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1d50…d283backed Cincinnati Reds	0c	11,247$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.25	178	42.7%76 W · 102 L	-8.7wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5ad4…6866backed Cincinnati Reds	45c	10,000$4,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,500	159	49.1%78 W · 81 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed San Diego Padres	57c	8,772$5,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,771.93	983	49.8%490 W · 493 L	-18.3wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Cincinnati Reds	44c	8,539$3,760 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,760.29	1,527	51.1%780 W · 747 L	+7.5wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked San Diego Padres	59c	8,357$4,894 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,462.83	11,519	52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L	+213.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6498…8910backed Cincinnati Reds	36c	8,000$2,880 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,880	517	56.5%292 W · 225 L	+5.2wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	+3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked San Diego Padres	56c	7,500$4,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,300	1,153	49.2%567 W · 586 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Cincinnati Reds	41c	6,624$2,706 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,706.14	12,328	46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L	-66.0wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b12…5ee4backed Cincinnati Reds	43c	4,465$1,920 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,919.98	285	53.3%152 W · 133 L	+11.4wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed San Diego Padres	35c	3,603$1,266 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,337.33	8,594	52.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L	+508.9wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked San Diego Padres	80c	3,487$2,788 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$699.66	1,456	42.7%622 W · 834 L	-39.7wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xebe6…9278backed Cincinnati Reds	44c	3,173$1,396 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,396.12	2,104	51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L	+11.9wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed San Diego Padres	56c	3,000$1,680 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,320	190	53.7%102 W · 88 L	+4.1wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xced2…d98abacked San Diego Padres	57c	3,000$1,710 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,290	31	45.2%14 W · 17 L	-3.8wins	-0.12per pick	57cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Cincinnati Reds	44c	3,000$1,320 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,320	779	51.1%398 W · 381 L	+6.5wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0075…5f10backed San Diego Padres	56c	3,000$1,680 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,320	42	66.7%28 W · 14 L	+6.2wins	+0.15per pick	52cpaid	+31.5%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Cincinnati Reds	34c	2,981$1,013 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,012.59	3,041	48%1,461 W · 1,580 L	-16.2wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-12%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked San Diego Padres	57c	2,952$1,683 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,269.36	1,381	48.1%664 W · 717 L	-13.2wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc08…a137backed Cincinnati Reds	28c	2,843$798 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$797.75	320	58.4%187 W · 133 L	+26.7wins	+0.08per pick	50cpaid	+17.2%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4f86…ef4ebacked San Diego Padres	57c	2,788$1,589 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,198.83	53	56.6%30 W · 23 L	+6.8wins	+0.13per pick	44cpaid	+41.1%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Cincinnati Reds	44c	2,479$1,086 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,086.11	1,345	47.7%642 W · 703 L	+10.2wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Cincinnati Reds	34c	2,404$812 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$812.14	1,113	49%545 W · 568 L	+22.1wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-11%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x528f…2101backed San Diego Padres	78c	2,308$1,792 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$515.44	68	52.9%36 W · 32 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b8f…cca7backed Cincinnati Reds	43c	2,219$964 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$964.17	247	39.3%97 W · 150 L	+4.4wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcba5…cd88backed San Diego Padres	57c	2,200$1,254 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$946	662	50.2%332 W · 330 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b74…0482backed Cincinnati Reds	32c	2,176$687 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$686.81	522	28%146 W · 376 L	-57.7wins	-0.11per pick	39cpaid	-38.6%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Cincinnati Reds	66c	2,142$1,422 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,421.94	1,215	47.6%578 W · 637 L	-19.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c7f…a160backed San Diego Padres	56c	2,107$1,180 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$927.14	23	34.8%8 W · 15 L	-3.8wins	-0.16per pick	51cpaid	-33%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1d18…6f62backed Cincinnati Reds	55c	1,900$1,045 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,044.99	167	53.9%90 W · 77 L	+4.2wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdabd…6adabacked San Diego Padres	68c	1,886$1,281 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$605.43	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	67cpaid	-4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2354…20d0backed Cincinnati Reds	1c	1,607$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	404	3.5%14 W · 390 L	-19.4wins	-0.05per pick	8cpaid	-59.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked San Diego Padres	75c	1,522$1,142 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$380.5	912	52.4%478 W · 434 L	+12.5wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5b3…49f8backed Cincinnati Reds	40c	1,510$601 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$601.26	54	48.1%26 W · 28 L	+5.4wins	+0.10per pick	38cpaid	+16.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3709…bb80backed Cincinnati Reds	10c	1,470$147 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$147	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	+0.3wins	+0.03per pick	19cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x986c…3180backed Cincinnati Reds	43c	1,387$596 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$596.23	523	47.2%247 W · 276 L	+3.1wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2eed…85a9backed Cincinnati Reds	45c	1,240$558 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$557.99	53	39.6%21 W · 32 L	-2.8wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	+27.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Cincinnati Reds	46c	1,115$508 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$508.37	1,520	59.1%899 W · 621 L	+78.6wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4e61…0e06backed San Diego Padres	47c	1,050$493 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$557.5	94	48.9%46 W · 48 L	+7.9wins	+0.08per pick	40cpaid	+17.4%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked Cincinnati Reds	39c	1,018$402 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$401.52	5,149	54.7%2,815 W · 2,334 L	+231.2wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Cincinnati Reds	44c	1,000$440 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$440	1,845	50.7%936 W · 909 L	-4.4wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7ba5…aaf1backed Cincinnati Reds	34c	1,000$342 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$342.35	540	48.3%261 W · 279 L	-12.6wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc9f…905bbacked Cincinnati Reds	30c	1,000$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	367	29.4%108 W · 259 L	+5.6wins	+0.02per pick	28cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x48e0…826dbacked San Diego Padres	39c	999.99$390 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$610	22	54.5%12 W · 10 L	+1.7wins	+0.08per pick	47cpaid	+14.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x42c5…034dbacked San Diego Padres	56c	998.99$559 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$439.55	10	60%6 W · 4 L	+1.3wins	+0.13per pick	47cpaid	+50.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa73a…656abacked San Diego Padres	67c	989.94$667 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$323.41	577	58.1%335 W · 242 L	+28.5wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3818…9797backed San Diego Padres	56c	967.86$542 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$425.86	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	-1.6wins	-0.10per pick	54cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a3f…4333backed San Diego Padres	57c	892.86$509 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$383.93	570	53.3%304 W · 266 L	+14.3wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e08…9779backed San Diego Padres	57c	891.23$508 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$383.23	13	61.5%8 W · 5 L	+1.2wins	+0.09per pick	52cpaid	+18.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe4a0…3accbacked San Diego Padres	57c	879.1$501 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$378.01	59	54.2%32 W · 27 L	+1.9wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xccd8…f4debacked Cincinnati Reds	35c	877.38$306 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$305.77	484	46.7%226 W · 258 L	-33.7wins	-0.07per pick	54cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x93a0…6623backed San Diego Padres	57c	877.19$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$377.19	398	46.5%185 W · 213 L	-16.9wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Cincinnati Reds	44c	849.99$374 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$374	710	44.5%316 W · 394 L	-23.8wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed San Diego Padres	55c	825.71$451 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$374.85	4,515	48.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L	-46.9wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac65…cfe6backed San Diego Padres	55c	818.18$450 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$368.18	137	59.1%81 W · 56 L	+2.8wins	+0.02per pick	57cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked San Diego Padres	56c	800$448 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$352	859	52.6%452 W · 407 L	+7.8wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed San Diego Padres	56c	800$446 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$353.78	6,999	50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L	+2.7wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x67be…6e09backed Cincinnati Reds	35c	799.99$284 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$283.99	280	31.1%87 W · 193 L	-15.0wins	-0.05per pick	36cpaid	-19.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe292…84b8backed Cincinnati Reds	44c	757.64$337 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$336.96	1,418	43.4%616 W · 802 L	+9.6wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d5e…7004backed San Diego Padres	55c	719.93$399 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$321.31	217	67.7%147 W · 70 L	+36.1wins	+0.17per pick	51cpaid	+27.7%equal weight	67+0.15 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed San Diego Padres	57c	714.29$407 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$307.14	384	53.6%206 W · 178 L	+7.9wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce7c…6007backed San Diego Padres	56c	713.2$398 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$314.7	30	70%21 W · 9 L	+5.2wins	+0.17per pick	53cpaid	+35.5%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Cincinnati Reds	18c	710.6$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$124.61	6,305	48.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L	+181.6wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Cincinnati Reds	25c	693$173 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$173.25	1,947	53.1%1,033 W · 914 L	+43.3wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Cincinnati Reds	44c	681.82$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	134	41%55 W · 79 L	-12.2wins	-0.09per pick	50cpaid	-19%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Cincinnati Reds	36c	675.58$246 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$246.01	791	47.9%379 W · 412 L	+3.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…f67dbacked Cincinnati Reds	15c	641.51$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.17	55	23.6%13 W · 42 L	+2.2wins	+0.04per pick	20cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked San Diego Padres	55c	633$348 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$284.85	2,310	52.6%1,215 W · 1,095 L	+27.1wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0f4…6fa9backed San Diego Padres	64c	624.56$399 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$226.04	1,777	58.4%1,037 W · 740 L	+91.8wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x31ac…2a39backed Cincinnati Reds	68c	608.03$413 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$413.46	47	25.5%12 W · 35 L	-6.9wins	-0.15per pick	40cpaid	-44%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x1884…b7a5backed Cincinnati Reds	35c	577.05$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$199.99	577	58.6%338 W · 239 L	+1.8wins	0.00per pick	58cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7381…d95dbacked San Diego Padres	57c	526.32$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$226.32	15	53.3%8 W · 7 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	0%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa99f…164bbacked San Diego Padres	57c	526.32$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$226.32	107	44.9%48 W · 59 L	-3.7wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5762…90eebacked San Diego Padres	74c	525.78$389 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$136.7	65	52.3%34 W · 31 L	+3.5wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+25.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x776f…32b7backed Cincinnati Reds	59c	525.42$310 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$310	96	57.3%55 W · 41 L	+5.5wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+12.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc6ae…afe9backed Cincinnati Reds	18c	522.22$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94	100	49%49 W · 51 L	+3.0wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb86d…3c53backed Cincinnati Reds	15c	500.44$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.72	73	21.9%16 W · 57 L	-2.8wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-34%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x080b…27a6backed San Diego Padres	34c	499.99$170 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$329.99	26	38.5%10 W · 16 L	+2.6wins	+0.10per pick	29cpaid	+23.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x20b4…bfa2backed Cincinnati Reds	65c	499.98$325 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$324.99	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc235…99f8backed San Diego Padres	56c	499.97$279 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$220.99	890	53.1%473 W · 417 L	+5.3wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f4e…1fb8backed Cincinnati Reds	43c	497.98$214 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$214.13	3,792	45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L	-5.5wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x94f8…e851backed Cincinnati Reds	65c	477.57$310 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$310.42	34	58.8%20 W · 14 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	57cpaid	+8.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Cincinnati Reds	35c	473.8$166 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$166.13	8,403	47.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L	+76.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd5ba…1259backed Cincinnati Reds	9c	452.5$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.9wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Cincinnati Reds	43c	452.38$195 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$194.52	493	58.8%290 W · 203 L	+30.9wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd692…8b9abacked Cincinnati Reds	32c	446.7$145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$144.66	313	30.7%96 W · 217 L	-3.8wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padresthis page
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 11.5Under won
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 5.5Over won
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 6.5Over won
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 7.5Over won
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 8.5Under won
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 9.5Under won
Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5)San Diego Padres won
Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-2.5)San Diego Padres won
Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)San Diego Padres won
Spread: San Diego Padres (-2.5)San Diego Padres won
Spread: San Diego Padres (-3.5)San Diego Padres won
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego PadresNo won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event