MLB · resolved market
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x74b37c0885028f4c6dafa7afea9ba46cc4fa18a0156e615c2292d36210134043
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $142,978
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $140,241
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $142,978 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x09b5…7e72backed Under | 50c | 67,310$33,655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,654.82 | 121 | 49.6%60 W · 61 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Over | 50c | 60,000$30,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,000 | 884 | 46.3%409 W · 475 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 64c | 25,652$16,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,354.65 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Under | 49c | 11,744$5,755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,754.74 | 1,414 | 49.5%700 W · 714 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Over | 37c | 10,952$4,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,889.11 | 172 | 48.3%83 W · 89 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6498…8910backed Over | 48c | 8,000$3,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,160 | 517 | 56.5%292 W · 225 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 25c | 7,870$1,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,870.09 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 45c | 7,778$3,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,313.64 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Over | 50c | 6,785$3,392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,392.48 | 411 | 49.1%202 W · 209 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78b0…9f1abacked Over | 51c | 3,849$1,982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,867.25 | 390 | 47.4%185 W · 205 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 36c | 2,618$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,668.17 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5e…7004backed Over | 50c | 2,400$1,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,209.46 | 217 | 67.7%147 W · 70 L | +36.1wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 50c | 2,358$1,179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,178.96 | 6,123 | 55.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L | +346.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 48c | 2,119$1,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,025.72 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 52c | 1,987$1,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$955.34 | 5,471 | 50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9c…1fcabacked Over | 51c | 1,863$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$912.75 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 27c | 1,549$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,123.44 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Over | 24c | 1,250$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$949.96 | 878 | 50.5%443 W · 435 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Under | 71c | 1,068$758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$758.28 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Under | 58c | 930.98$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.97 | 2,588 | 61.5%1,591 W · 997 L | +72.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Over | 51c | 748.51$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.77 | 3,509 | 51%1,789 W · 1,720 L | +53.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 51c | 667.43$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.33 | 8,403 | 47.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L | +76.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Over | 25c | 540.64$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.48 | 1,119 | 45.5%509 W · 610 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 29c | 528.67$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.95 | 8,594 | 52.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L | +508.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 68c | 500$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 1,947 | 53.1%1,033 W · 914 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 53c | 480$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228 | 2,311 | 51%1,179 W · 1,132 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc9…d80bbacked Over | 43c | 460.71$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.04 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Over | 51c | 430.95$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.84 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 25c | 414.1$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.95 | 5,149 | 54.7%2,815 W · 2,334 L | +231.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa65c…509dbacked Over | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 243 | 50.2%122 W · 121 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Under | 49c | 389.73$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.97 | 1,922 | 53.4%1,027 W · 895 L | +28.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2992…0d26backed Under | 78c | 384.62$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 46c | 378.57$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.14 | 4,368 | 47.4%2,070 W · 2,298 L | -79.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 14c | 342.19$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.42 | 1,928 | 17.2%331 W · 1,597 L | -320.9wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x2f55…8956backed Over | 25c | 310.4$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.8 | 148 | 58.8%87 W · 61 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Under | 4c | 276.46$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.48 | 600 | 49.3%296 W · 304 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45e1…5934backed Under | 79c | 250.99$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.82 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | -15.4wins | -0.25per pick | 73cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 30-0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Under | 65c | 250.23$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.81 | 694 | 47.6%330 W · 364 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Over | 51c | 200$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 1,001 | 48.3%483 W · 518 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 49c | 199.95$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.98 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5de…33b5backed Over | 51c | 189.63$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.92 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 51c | 172.51$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.53 | 3,841 | 42.2%1,622 W · 2,219 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa8…a338backed Over | 46c | 161.79$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.1 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacee…afddbacked Over | 19c | 157.89$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.89 | 217 | 51.6%112 W · 105 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf3f…1365backed Under | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 151 | 59.6%90 W · 61 L | +10.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Over | 51c | 149.29$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.15 | 657 | 49.2%323 W · 334 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8130…5a50backed Over | 42c | 149$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.42 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +4.9wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed Under | 69c | 143$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.67 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9632…a379backed Over | 44c | 133.84$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.76 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd57d…f5d4backed Over | 44c | 129.91$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.48 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x700b…8d0bbacked Over | 25c | 129$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.75 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1edb…a60bbacked Over | 51c | 127.45$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.45 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 42c | 125.38$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.62 | 4,405 | 44.9%1,978 W · 2,427 L | +80.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 36c | 122$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.9 | 3,460 | 51.2%1,773 W · 1,687 L | +107.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Over | 42c | 108.79$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.1 | 1,218 | 55.6%677 W · 541 L | +94.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x49ae…dc88backed Over | 51c | 102$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.98 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16f3…e1eebacked Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 112 | 56.3%63 W · 49 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Under | 55c | 99.99$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.99 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0514…def7backed Over | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.63 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Over | 51c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82e2…c242backed Over | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.43 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 54c | 74.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.31 | 2,995 | 47.9%1,435 W · 1,560 L | +12.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 46c | 74.3$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.81 | 5,812 | 43.7%2,541 W · 3,271 L | -188.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25c1…7e8ebacked Over | 51c | 73.41$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.97 | 199 | 54.3%108 W · 91 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…6a0bbacked Over | 24c | 68.54$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.09 | 475 | 52.4%249 W · 226 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Over | 31c | 67.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.23 | 705 | 46.8%330 W · 375 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa05a…4635backed Over | 31c | 65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.04 | 830 | 53%440 W · 390 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Over | 27c | 55.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.02 | 582 | 54.3%316 W · 266 L | +16.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 49c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.25 | 1,172 | 49.1%575 W · 597 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Over | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 1,498 | 45.3%678 W · 820 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df6…cba0backed Over | 38c | 44.73$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.93 | 1,445 | 50.3%727 W · 718 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Under | 49c | 43.76$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.44 | 1,133 | 57.2%648 W · 485 L | +35.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Over | 45c | 43.59$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.98 | 1,022 | 50.6%517 W · 505 L | +54.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Under | 50c | 40.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.38 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Over | 52c | 39.9$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.24 | 597 | 49.9%298 W · 299 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e00…d2bfbacked Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Under | 50c | 38.44$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.22 | 1,014 | 47.7%484 W · 530 L | -28.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 70c | 36.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.15 | 2,546 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,378 L | -74.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 63c | 36.8$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.26 | 4,515 | 48.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L | -46.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd155…8250backed Under | 67c | 35.93$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.16 | 509 | 54%275 W · 234 L | +15.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0469…5eb0backed Under | 49c | 30.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.93 | 156 | 50%78 W · 78 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…66cebacked Under | 74c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.05 | 660 | 56.2%371 W · 289 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…99f8backed Over | 50c | 27.57$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.78 | 890 | 53.1%473 W · 417 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed Over | 43c | 27.14$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.34 | 2,223 | 55.4%1,231 W · 992 L | +73.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2110…d4fbbacked Under | 72c | 27$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 209 | 62.7%131 W · 78 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1788…aa80backed Under | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe350…e494backed Under | 50c | 23.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -4.9wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Over | 53c | 23.61$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 1,828 | 54.1%989 W · 839 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71dd…a4e2backed Over | 52c | 23.08$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.08 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Over | 52c | 20.31$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 1,001 | 57.3%574 W · 427 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Under | 59c | 19.68$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.57 | 1,042 | 49.4%515 W · 527 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e08…cae4backed Under | 71c | 17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.07 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 7.5this page
- Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego PadresSan Diego Padres won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 11.5Under won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 5.5Over won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 6.5Over won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 8.5Under won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5)San Diego Padres won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-2.5)San Diego Padres won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)San Diego Padres won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-2.5)San Diego Padres won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-3.5)San Diego Padres won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego PadresNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.