TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x71dd…a4e2

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
81
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Premier League, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 55 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT3138.7%12 W · 19 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$11.08
Spread: San Francisco Giants (-1.5)backed Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$8.67
Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)backed Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$14.03
Athletics vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$28.81
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.57
Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.57
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.57
San Francisco Giants vs. Athleticsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.57
Boston Red Sox vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.57
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$28.81
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$27.67
San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.57
Chicago Cubs vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$32.55
San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.14
Detroit Tigers vs. New York Metsbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.57
San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.57
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Athleticsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.57
San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$134.17
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Athleticsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$33.92
Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astrosbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.57
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.57
New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.57
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT2055%11 W · 9 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+28.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.57
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$36.87
76ers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$9.1
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.46
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+150%+$35.19
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.46
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.47
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$17.91
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.68
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.83
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$17.92
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$26.95
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$30.14
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$53.34
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$35.69
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.54
Hornets vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$19.2
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.23
Magic vs. 76ersbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.85
Trail Blazers vs. Sunsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$32.77
All 20 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Song Yadong vs. Deiveson Figueiredo (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Deiveson Figueiredo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.57
UFC Fight Night: Rei Tsuruya vs. Luis Gurule (Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Rei Tsuruya · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$8.28
UFC 328: Joaquin Buckley vs. Sean Brady (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Sean Brady · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$14.94
UFC 328: Jeremy Stephens vs. King Green (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Jeremy Stephens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.55
UFC 328: Alexander Volkov vs. Waldo Cortes-Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Waldo Cortes-Acosta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.36
UFC 328: Jim Miller vs. Jared Gordon (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Jim Miller · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+269.9%+$47.36
UFC 328: Roman Kopylov vs. Marco Tulio (Middleweight, Early Prelims)backed Roman Kopylov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+161.5%+$28.34
UFC 328: Pat Sabatini vs. William Gomis (Featherweight, Early Prelims)backed William Gomis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
UFC 328: Djorden Santos vs. Baisangur Susurkaev (Middleweight, Early Prelims)backed Djorden Santos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.55
UFC 328: Clayton Carpenter vs. Jose Ochoa (Flyweight, Early Prelims)backed Clayton Carpenter · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
UFC Fight Night: Kyler Phillips vs. Charles Jourdain (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Kyler Phillips · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.12
UFC Fight Night: Mandel Nallo vs. Jai Herbert (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Jai Herbert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+150%+$36.15
UFC Fight Night: Karine Silva vs. Jasmine Jasudavicius (Women's Flyweight, Main Card)backed Karine Silva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.97
All 13 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 28, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.21per pick38cpaid-56.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick40cpaid+46.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+175.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$13.66
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$27.16
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SV Darmstadt 98 win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.64
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$29.93
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Barcelona Open: Andrey Rublev vs Arthur Filsbacked Arthur Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$7.79
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Croatia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$283Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$283
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.64
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Lorient win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.64
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.