TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-05-17?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$191,467
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$237,721

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $191,467 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 190 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6e46…42dfbacked No1c7,603$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.031346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick37cpaid+37.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed No2c5,624$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.4718958.7%111 W · 78 L+12.6wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+16.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes15c5,374$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,573.754,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes28c4,492$1,276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,216.4768026.3%179 W · 501 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc66a…ed6abacked Yes9c4,286$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,897.683253.1%17 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+58.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6e8…7c26backed No78c3,750$2,925 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,925.36966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9079…b19bbacked No1c3,740$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.45464.8%35 W · 19 L+5.3wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+27.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8010…04e4backed Yes8c3,125$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,8758375.9%63 W · 20 L+17.2wins+0.21per pick55cpaid+57.8%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No79c3,064$2,408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,407.8988635.8%317 W · 569 L-13.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-17%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No71c2,923$2,071 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,071.181,22049.8%607 W · 613 L+4.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde76…7d17backed No72c2,770$2,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000.71662.5%10 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick66cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes8c2,273$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,090.720956%117 W · 92 L+15.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+24.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x886e…afd6backed No72c2,042$1,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4701675%12 W · 4 L+4.5wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+67.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed No36c1,538$547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$546.567129.6%21 W · 50 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-47.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x82a5…674ebacked No1c1,535$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.358644.2%38 W · 48 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-31.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes50c1,511$761 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$750.531,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x196b…4151backed No1c1,500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15156.7%1 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick3cpaid+11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd5bf…f0ccbacked Yes8c1,496$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,376.553158.1%18 W · 13 L+3.4wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+59.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No73c1,285$938 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$937.9635652.8%188 W · 168 L+15.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Yes8c1,200$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,10482763%521 W · 306 L+113.2wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+41.9%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No22c1,194$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.9657833%191 W · 387 L-29.9wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-31.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb553…457bbacked Yes26c1,157$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$856.652540%10 W · 15 L+3.3wins+0.13per pick27cpaid+60.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes27c1,130$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$824.99042.2%38 W · 52 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Yes12c1,000$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88011828%33 W · 85 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick29cpaid+2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6743…4ccbbacked Yes16c1,000$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8404833.3%16 W · 32 L-3.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked No1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10933.2%3 W · 90 L-0.2wins0.00per pick3cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x324c…93d9backed No1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10290%0 W · 29 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa664…f849backed Yes27c999.98$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$729.994148.8%20 W · 21 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaa2b…5dfebacked No71c955.72$679 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$678.563745.9%17 W · 20 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f0f…e25fbacked Yes27c905.19$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$661.891442.9%6 W · 8 L+2.4wins+0.17per pick26cpaid+75.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes66c854.16$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.287050%35 W · 35 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-25.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed Yes28c800$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57225544.7%114 W · 141 L-12.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Yes18c771.42$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$632.3872142.7%308 W · 413 L+15.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9622…6fefbacked Yes29c745.88$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$529.57475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+58.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd3b5…a2a7backed Yes27c740.74$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$540.742642.3%11 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c6c…998fbacked Yes27c728.07$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531.493053.3%16 W · 14 L+4.2wins+0.14per pick39cpaid+59.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6e05…2ebcbacked No73c660.61$482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482.2518156.4%102 W · 79 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaff3…6eccbacked No80c654.76$524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$523.8118748.1%90 W · 97 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd19…3fb8backed No10c634$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.4333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick9cpaid+203%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed No73c615.58$451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451.0313948.9%68 W · 71 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-27.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b4a…7eb9backed No72c615.16$443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$442.92333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid+66.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ec7…2b6bbacked No76c592.31$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4502157.1%12 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes24c585.5$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445.523632.2%76 W · 160 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x48ec…8f36backed No26c576$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.762544%11 W · 14 L+4.5wins+0.18per pick26cpaid+65.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked No72c559.97$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405.1941850.7%212 W · 206 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Yes20c531.39$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.481163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+42.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5f12…1937backed Yes28c530$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.63324.2%8 W · 25 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-19.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes23c500$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38528824.7%71 W · 217 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7858…a5eabacked Yes28c500$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3609753.6%52 W · 45 L-0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid+19.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe944…650cbacked No66c483.36$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.9540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-20.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d4c…2e02backed Yes71c465.57$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.5711755.6%65 W · 52 L-6.9wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-4.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa939…933cbacked Yes27c450$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.3425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3089…92f6backed Yes13c439.55$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.324223.8%10 W · 32 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-25.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1530…6aaabacked Yes8c400$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3681464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.3wins+0.16per pick48cpaid+99.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x783b…dc4cbacked No76c399.99$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.48959.6%53 W · 36 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6911…296dbacked No72c373.13$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.65250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick66cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d5a…4289backed No13c361.93$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.863850%19 W · 19 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+15.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes17c359.95$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.7676842.6%327 W · 441 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0dbe…9013backed Yes27c351.89$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.882755.6%15 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35d3…e506backed Yes29c344.83$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.8335428.5%101 W · 253 L-20.1wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-18.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x25e3…ab76backed No13c336.9$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.92944.4%4 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.24per pick21cpaid+121.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7da4…f0a4backed No21c330.96$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.814411.4%5 W · 39 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick17cpaid-43.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xba0d…9a6ebacked No71c320.44$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.13151.6%16 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes27c302$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.377648.7%37 W · 39 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf6c4…df5fbacked No71c300$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21314654.8%80 W · 66 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f70…ce77backed No16c300$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick19cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x845a…37acbacked No16c300$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick18cpaid+66.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x57f7…ae57backed No16c300$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481723.5%4 W · 13 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick18cpaid+39.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd03…df4abacked Yes25c299.99$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.9911433.3%38 W · 76 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No6c290$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.0296645.4%439 W · 527 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5465…ba43backed No74c270.27$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010971.6%78 W · 31 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick69cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed No79c252$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.6331747.6%151 W · 166 L-14.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a36…2450backed No78c251.69$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.32616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.37per pick53cpaid-78.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0656…4d9bbacked No18c250$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44565.4%3 W · 53 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick4cpaid+150.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xedd1…45a9backed No16c250$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4030%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9605…a2c4backed No74c242.03$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.15540%22 W · 33 L-4.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-14.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Yes28c239.97$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.5822746.7%106 W · 121 L-8.3wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed No52c237.49$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.417327.4%20 W · 53 L-8.8wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-56.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x94ce…edf2backed Yes49c222.22$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.223100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+55.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x424b…9fc8backed No72c211.76$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.47850%4 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5faf…76dfbacked Yes28c210$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.21250%6 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9808…549fbacked No72c201.69$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.22540%2 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick64cpaid-40.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a16…5f47backed Yes28c200$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14411850%59 W · 59 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Yes24c193.44$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.6559247.6%282 W · 310 L+18.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf12d…0fddbacked Yes26c192.31$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.312138.1%8 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid+16.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xde3d…6b1fbacked Yes26c192.31$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.31850%4 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+41.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8c7…1942backed Yes16c187.5$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.54320.9%9 W · 34 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick19cpaid-4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xffff…4413backed No57c185.71$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.8715249.3%75 W · 77 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-19.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb15c…604abacked Yes27c185.19$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.19757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.19per pick38cpaid+95.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5546…e3cfbacked Yes27c182.3$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.081741.2%7 W · 10 L+2.0wins+0.12per pick29cpaid+24.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0180…b8cdbacked Yes27c181.48$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.488927%24 W · 65 L-11.9wins-0.13per pick40cpaid-32.3%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x12f9…74babacked Yes28c178.81$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.0214975.8%113 W · 36 L+26.0wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+38.6%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0xb757…4c1bbacked Yes29c176$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.96650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe845…f5abbacked No72c171.44$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.44366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick45cpaid+118.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x691d…599fbacked Yes27c160$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.81145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb3c…a938backed Yes29c148.64$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.535232.7%17 W · 35 L-5.4wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-22%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0fb2…eb78backed Yes30c146.12$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.28728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf316…1e44backed Yes18c145.09$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.592035%7 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick35cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4247…91c4backed Yes27c143.74$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.933528.6%10 W · 25 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-31.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9859…1650backed Yes19c140$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.4666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.25per pick42cpaid+98.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.