TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x94ce…edf2

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
229
Categories scored
23
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 59 out of 100; worst Cricket at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT5648.2%27 W · 29 L+4.4wins+0.08per pick40cpaid-3.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Weather — the 56 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.89
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on June 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.9
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$21.59
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C or below on June 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.69
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$42.51
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on June 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$41
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C or below on June 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$6.42
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on June 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$25.5
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on June 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$31.28
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on June 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.36
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on May 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+105.8%+$12.45
Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C on May 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.55
Will the highest temperature in London be 33°C on May 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.09
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on May 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+74.7%+$8.55
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 42°C or below on May 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+44.6%+$31.14
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C on May 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.65
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C on May 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.16
Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on May 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.53
Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on May 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+142.9%+$105.9
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 43°C on May 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 18°C on May 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+128.6%+$23.27
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 42°C on May 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on May 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$6.8
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 18°C on May 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+172.7%+$58.61
Showing 25 of 56 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT5552.7%29 W · 26 L+6.7wins+0.12per pick40cpaid+94.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 55 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rodri win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+1,392.5%+$139.94
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+463.4%+$98.69
Jude Bellingham: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+1,438.5%+$187
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$269Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$268.5
Lamine Yamal: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$61.11
Lamine Yamal: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Romelu Lukaku: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Ousmane Dembélé: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$111
France vs. Morocco: France O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+129.9%+$113
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$20.82
Argentina vs. Egypt: Argentina O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$44.99
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$20.31
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+400%+$80
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.6
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$58.73
Will the announcers say "VAR" during the Portugal vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.45
Will the announcers say "Hattrick" or "Hat Trick" during the Portugal vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$74
Will the announcers say "Nutmeg" or "Nutmegs" during the Portugal vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+37%+$5.67
Will Portugal vs. Spain end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will the announcers say "Weather" during the Mexico vs England FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.75
Will the announcers say "Goal" 60+ times during the Brazil vs Norway FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.5
Will Erling Haaland score 6+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+400%+$80
Will the announcers say "What a Save" during the Canada vs Morocco FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$10.5
Will the announcers say "Crossbar" during the Colombia vs Ghana FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$9.23
Showing 25 of 55 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT2951.7%15 W · 14 L+4.5wins+0.15per pick36cpaid+24.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Tweets — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$19.5
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+100.4%+$95.35
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$25.76
Will Elon Musk post 1160-1199 tweets in April 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$64
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.3
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 20 to April 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$19.75
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 18 to April 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.3
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.37
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+122%+$43.69
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 9 to April 11, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.97
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+150%+$28.2
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$21.52
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+358.5%+$196.42
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.57
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.85
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$73.52
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.67
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.5
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$287Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$286.58
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$345Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+141.2%+$487.31
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$301Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$116.98
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$350
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT1668.8%11 W · 5 L+2.7wins+0.17per pick52cpaid+15.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 217.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$24.33
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 228.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$49
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.8
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 214.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+37%+$27
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$31.11
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+32.3%+$41.95
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 205.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 198.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$25.5
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 210.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+79.6%+$84.45
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 207.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$40
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 204.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$21
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 213.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.5
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Raptors vs. Knicksbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$952Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$952
Timberwolves vs. Magicbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$960Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$960
Heat vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,020Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$980
All 16 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT1315.4%2 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.14per pick29cpaid-67.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Cricket — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Lucknow Super Giantsbacked Rajasthan Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+100%+$30
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Rajasthan Royalsbacked Rajasthan Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
T20 2nd Innings 6 Overs Line: O/U 80.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+125.1%+$16.26
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Gujarat Titansbacked Rajasthan Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Chennai Super Kingsbacked Delhi Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Mumbai Indiansbacked Mumbai Indians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Royal Challengers Bengalurubacked Royal Challengers Bengaluru · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Mumbai Indiansbacked Mumbai Indians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.53
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Rajasthan Royalsbacked Gujarat Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$511Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$511.29
T20 World Cup: India vs New Zealandbacked New Zealand · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.4
T20 World Cup: England vs Indiabacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$11
T20 World Cup: India vs West Indiesbacked West Indies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$24.5
T20 World Cup: England vs Pakistanbacked Pakistan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 13 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 8, 2026, EDT1233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-22.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Shehbaz Sharif attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$38
Will Egypt sign the US x Iran memorandum of understanding?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.25
Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 19, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.1
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.25
Will Iran close its airspace by June 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+100%+$12.5
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$463Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+31.5%+$146.09
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$756Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$644
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$2,061Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,061
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 12 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.14per pick25cpaid-66.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Over 35,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Over 30,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Over $2M committed to the Makina public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$67.63
Monad market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$21.6
Over $275M committed to the Monad public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Over $600M committed to the Monad public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Over $100M committed to the Solomon public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+204.6%+$130.99
Over $60M committed to the Solomon public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$40.9
All 9 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-49.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-26.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jul 27, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
IPO — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-68.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+55.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+44.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-19.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.87per pick13cpaid+646.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+646.1%+$775.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$640Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$640
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$273Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$272.7
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$460Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$460
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldibacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AEK Lárnakas vs. MH Beitar Jerusalem end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.4
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.