Movies · resolved market
Will Alex Consani be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x724a6181780fa25f08aa915d14dbde0e953df9392512085275a419fce393b640
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,471
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,674
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,471 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5415…2a6ebacked Yes | 53c | 1,028$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.19 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +3.6wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa38e…5062backed No | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 47c | 310$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.2 | 473 | 28.3%134 W · 339 L | -32.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0ec1…0099backed Yes | 53c | 290$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 17c | 200$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.58 | 162 | 37.7%61 W · 101 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94ce…edf2backed No | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fdb…8ffcbacked Yes | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.5wins | +0.25per pick | 46cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 70c | 190$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.25 | 870 | 33.3%290 W · 580 L | -77.0wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb6…1b65backed Yes | 56c | 90$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +77.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf1b…8306backed Yes | 60c | 80$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca24…686bbacked Yes | 45c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 60cpaid | +78.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2a…65dcbacked No | 48c | 38.16$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2cf…464bbacked No | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +27%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4b…f574backed Yes | 49c | 21.85$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.21 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ecf…af11backed Yes | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29ef…dddabacked Yes | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.20per pick | 58cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Alex Consani be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?this page
- Will A$AP Rocky be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?Yes won
- Will Adele be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?No won
- Will Anna Wintour be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?No won
- Will Anok Yai be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?Yes won
- Will Bad Bunny be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?No won
- Will Beyoncé be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?Yes won
- Will Bhavitha Mandava be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?No won
- Will Cardi B be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?No won
- Will Chappell Roan be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?No won
- Will Dakota Johnson be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?No won
- Will Doja Cat be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?No won
- Will Emma Chamberlain be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?Yes won
- Will Frank Ocean be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?No won
- Will Gwendoline Christie be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?Yes won
- Will Hailey Bieber be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?Yes won
- Will Ice Spice be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?No won
- Will Jay-Z be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?No won
- Will Kim Kardashian be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?Yes won
- Will Lady Gaga be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?No won
- Will Nicole Kidman be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?Yes won
- Will Rihanna be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?Yes won
- Will Sabrina Carpenter be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?Yes won
- Will Sam Smith be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?No won
- Will Taylor Swift be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?No won
- Will Timothée Chalamet be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?No won
- Will Travis Kelce be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?No won
- Will Venus Williams be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?Yes won
- Will Zendaya be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.