TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x3f4b…f574

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
343
Categories scored
39
Categories below 50
24

Best Category: Premier League, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 57 out of 100; worst Middle East at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST3912.8%5 W · 34 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick17cpaid-32%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 39 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$13.5
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$17.1
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$22.3
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$19.7
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$11.1
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$23
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+488.2%+$166
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$37.4
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$13.6
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$60.01
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$34.02
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$26
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$23.4
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$15.6
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+513.5%+$167.4
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$16
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+733.3%+$88
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT3056.7%17 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+26.9%+$27.73
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.56
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.2
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.88
Timberwolves vs. Cavaliersbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$50.4
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+194.1%+$19.8
Pistons vs. Bucksbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$18.9
Suns vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$16.5
Rockets vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$15.08
Knicks vs. Hornetsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+42.9%+$6
Pistons vs. Celticsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$24.84
Clippers vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+50.4%+$10.05
Trail Blazers vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Knicks vs. Magicbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$15.51
Clippers vs. Hornetsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+96.1%+$12.5
Nuggets vs. Rocketsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+100%+$20
76ers vs. Bucksbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+52.3%+$10.3
Bulls vs. Trail Blazersbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+52.5%+$41.3
Bulls vs. Nuggetsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+96.1%+$9.8
Hawks vs. Sunsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+92.3%+$9.6
Trail Blazers vs. Mavericks: O/U 229.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+53.8%+$7
Hawks vs. Jazzbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+41.8%+$11.8
Hawks vs. Kingsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+52%+$24.88
Cavaliers vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$63.58
Bucks vs. Hornetsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT2751.9%14 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-22.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bernard Taylor be the FL-21 Democratic nominee?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.8
Will Jay Collins finish second in the Florida Republican Governor primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$3.45
Will Chuck Gray be the WY-AL Republican nominee?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.51
Will Steve Friess be the WY-AL Republican nominee?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.67
Will Darline Graham Nordone win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+39.4%+$21.26
Will Angie Craig be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$10.58
Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$117.42
Will no final Senate confirmation vote be held for Todd Blanche as Attorney General by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.22
Will Abdul El-Sayed win Kent County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$4.8
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.86
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.51
Will William Lawrence be the Democratic nominee for MI-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+70.1%+$40.42
Will Cori Bush be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.05
Will Wesley Bell be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.94
Will Larry Rhoden win the 2026 South Dakota Governor Republican primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+75%+$80.31
Will Melat Kiros be the Democratic nominee for CO-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$182Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+27.8%+$50.6
Will Diana DeGette be the Democratic nominee for CO-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+29.2%+$51.2
Will Phil Weiser win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+35.9%+$32.14
Will Michael Bennet win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+33.6%+$16.59
Will Alex Kelloff be the Democratic nominee for CO-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.03
Will Adriano Espaillat be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+108.2%+$81.83
Will Antonio Reynoso be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$182Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+28.1%+$51.17
Will Shenna Bellows win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.6
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+41.9%+$16.24
Will Janet Mills be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.18
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST2470.8%17 W · 7 L+3.1wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+30.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Premier League — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Manchester United FC vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$30.03
Newcastle United FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$13.25
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+38.9%+$4.2
Aston Villa FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+96.1%+$12.25
Liverpool FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Arsenal FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+78.6%+$11.88
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+49.3%+$7.26
West Ham United FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+72.4%+$11.34
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+61.3%+$7.6
Will Everton win on 2025-11-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$11.55
Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+88.7%+$23.5
Will Chelsea win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+73.9%+$42.5
Will Chelsea win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+38.9%+$14
Will Arsenal win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$34.2
Will Sunderland AFC vs. Arsenal end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+363%+$39.2
Will Wolves win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.9
Will Arsenal win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$25.53
Will Manchester United win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$91.65
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-10-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$394Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+25.4%+$100.06
Will Brentford FC win on 2025-10-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+40.3%+$10.05
Will Bournemouth win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+95.2%+$109.75
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-10-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+150%+$159.38
Will Manchester City win on 2025-10-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+44%+$46.69
Will Chelsea win on 2025-10-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+97.2%+$13.8
All 24 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT2231.8%7 W · 15 L-3.9wins-0.18per pick50cpaid-47.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Middle East — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+122.8%+$20.39
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.79
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.35
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.9
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.78
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.68
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+49.5%+$21.8
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 8, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+45.9%+$7.86
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$132.41
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$17.95
Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$10.4
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+25.1%+$28.4
Nothing Ever Happens: Nuclear Editionbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+100.4%+$10.52
Will Trump say "Rwanda" or "Congo" 12+ times during Rwanda and Congo events on December 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+96.1%+$12.24
Will Trump say "Eight wars" during Rwanda and Congo events on December 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$36.1
Will Trump say "Ukraine" during Rwanda and Congo events on December 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$29.9
Will Trump say "Machete" during Rwanda and Congo events on December 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$11.9
Will Trump say "Kennedy" or "Autism" during Saudi Investment Forum on November 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$10.8
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" 2+ times during Saudi Investment Forum on November 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+25%+$4
Will Donald Trump say "Biden" 4+ times during Syria President events on November 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$57
All 22 picks, newest first.
World Politicslast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT2055%11 W · 9 L+2.0wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+19.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Count Binface win 10–20% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+28.9%+$13.67
Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.26
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+72.3%+$16.37
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.27
Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.63
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Electionbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$94.8
Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+62.2%+$11.5
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+30.4%+$3.5
Will Rumen Radev be the next prime minister of Bulgaria after the 2026 parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.96
Will Natthaphong Ruengpanyawut be the next prime minister of Thailand?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$136.21
Next Thai Prime Minister Chosen by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+278.2%+$33.1
Will the People’s Party (PPLE) win 180 or more seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$125.99
Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$60.14
Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$19.8
Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+85.2%+$13.34
Will LLA hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+163.2%+$46.13
Will Keir Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 25+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Park Sung-jae in jail by November 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+46.7%+$28.13
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+78.6%+$88.04
Will Rodrigo Paz win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+71.2%+$8.32
All 20 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT1758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+39.4%+$14.98
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$4.4
Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$117.5
GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.79
Will Tesla deliver 475000 or more vehicles in Q2 2026backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$11.66
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.2
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by July 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$7.77
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.27
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+61.7%+$9.92
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$28.43
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+260.2%+$97.73
GPT-5.6 released by June 8, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+31.8%+$6.52
Another critical Cloudflare incident by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+170.3%+$18.27
Another critical Cloudflare incident by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$18.85
Will Sam Altman say "Polymarket" or "Bet" on The Tonight Show on December 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$16.59
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+100%+$10
All 17 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT1442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+30.8%+$18.62
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.5
Genius FDV above $20M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.07
Based FDV above $75M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.86
Over $6M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+70.3%+$8.2
Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$8.22
Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+131.8%+$39.8
Fogo FDV above $700M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+43.2%+$18.1
Over $80M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$18.15
Over $60M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$22.4
Over $7M committed to the Infinex public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+138.1%+$26.09
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$23.59
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$10.08
Over $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$38.38
All 14 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT1442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-11.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
Stars vs. Sharksbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$10.07
Flames vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$25.08
Rangers vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+85.2%+$21.3
Jets vs. Bluesbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$11.85
Flyers vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$13.6
Jets vs. Canadiensbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Stars vs. Oilersbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+127.3%+$16.8
Stars vs. Flamesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+132.6%+$14.25
Oilers vs. Panthersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+122.2%+$13.75
Senators vs. Ducksbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+81.8%+$9
Canadiens vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+88.7%+$9.4
Stars vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$20.8
Devils vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.2
All 14 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST1050%5 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
College Football — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
College Football: Undefeated 15-0 team?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$11.1
Oregon vs. Indianabacked Oregon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Spread: Miami (-3.5)backed Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+127.3%+$61.6
USC vs. TCUbacked USC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$32.55
New Mexico vs. Minnesotabacked Minnesota · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+93.6%+$67.7
California vs. Hawaiibacked California · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Tulane vs. Ole Miss: O/U 57.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Arizona vs. Arizona Statebacked Arizona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+88.7%+$10.34
Buffalo vs. Central Michiganbacked Central Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+39%+$42.1
Army vs. Air Forcebacked Army · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$32.2
All 10 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kimiko Miyashiro die in "The Boys: Season 5"?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+39.4%+$19.19
Will Ashley Barrett die in "The Boys: Season 5"?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+27.3%+$9.12
Will Sister Sage die in "The Boys: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.18
Will Bhavitha Mandava be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$3.9
Will Hailey Bieber be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.8
Will Alex Consani be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+105.3%+$11.21
Will The Perfect Neighbor win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.2
Will Sentimental Value win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$6.4
Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+64.8%+$11.8
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 101m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$10.5
All 10 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-28.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.55
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+109.4%+$91.94
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.72
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+116.8%+$54.41
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.01
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Spain win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.08
Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+47.8%+$9.7
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$4.65
Will Egypt win on 2026-01-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$10.64
All 10 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: RED Canids vs Vivo Keyd Stars - Game 2 Winnerbacked Vivo Keyd Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$277Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$277.2
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$12
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO5)backed Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$10
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO3)backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+88.7%+$18.8
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$169Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+42.4%+$71.5
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+38.1%+$27.6
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$16
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+114.1%+$150.83
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports (BO5)backed G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$35.2
LoL: KT Rolster vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO5)backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+55.4%+$54.31
All 10 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST1050%5 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-26.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wisconsin Badgers vs. Minnesota Golden Gophersbacked Minnesota Golden Gophers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$13.6
Oregon State Beavers vs. Portland Pilotsbacked Oregon State Beavers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$23
Central Connecticut State Blue Devils vs. Le Moyne Dolphinsbacked Central Connecticut State Blue Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+45.9%+$22.98
Duquesne Dukes vs. Saint Joseph's Hawksbacked Duquesne Dukes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$48
Spread: Florida Gators (-9.5)backed Florida Gators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+44.9%+$9.92
USC Trojans vs. Oregon Ducksbacked USC Trojans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+44.9%+$10.85
Spread: Houston Cougars (-10.5)backed Houston Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$40.1
Michigan Wolverines vs. Auburn Tigersbacked Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+47.1%+$32
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Houston Cougarsbacked Houston Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$72
Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Gonzaga Bulldogsbacked Gonzaga Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+50%+$40
All 10 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+46.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid+23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2025-11-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+132.6%+$19.95
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$32.5
Will Club Brugge KV vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+400%+$40
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$150
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$18.5
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+150%+$30
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+25%+$6
All 9 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.27per pick59cpaid+52.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
UFC — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 24, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-9.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 19, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.29per pick62cpaid-50.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
CS2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.33per pick42cpaid+63%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Nov 24, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-54.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick68cpaid-15.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-40.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-2.1wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Music — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Nov 24, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick63cpaid+61.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CD Riestra win on 2025-11-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST+78.6%+$8.8
Will CD Riestra win on 2025-11-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST+44.9%+$4.96
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick57cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-01-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$19.5
Will FC Utrecht win on 2025-11-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+100%+$12.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Cricket — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will South Africa win the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$45.05
Will Australia win?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$12.8
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Nov 27, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AS Roma win on 2025-11-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$10.73
PAOK vs. SK Brann: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$13.8
All 2 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: FunPlus Phoenix vs Trace Esports (BO3)backed Trace Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+100%+$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$11.09
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Nov 4, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Uber say "Lyft" during earnings call?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+42.9%+$4.29
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+32.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+32.3%+$9.04
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Norway win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$24.58
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Nov 24, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Espanyol win on 2025-11-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$10.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-01-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$18.48
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.