NHL · resolved market
Flyers vs. Canadiens
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x054056fd8b294f8b83e766a5855cff557872f6b7b061a6caa0ea7d89ca7bba04
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Flyersof Flyers, Canadiens
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,601,123
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,026,573
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,601,123 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,452 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3657…6b14backed Flyers | 48c | 421,247$202,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219,204.77 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x006c…16eabacked Canadiens | 52c | 183,932$95,645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95,644.78 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Canadiens | 52c | 155,495$80,802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80,802.3 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b4…a278backed Flyers | 48c | 82,393$39,381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43,012.21 | 103 | 49.5%51 W · 52 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Canadiens | 52c | 40,000$20,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,800 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Flyers | 46c | 21,955$10,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,809.02 | 301 | 52.5%158 W · 143 L | +17.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Canadiens | 52c | 18,221$9,482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,481.57 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x869b…c625backed Canadiens | 55c | 18,055$9,930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,930.39 | 46 | 65.2%30 W · 16 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Flyers | 45c | 15,000$6,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,250 | 425 | 52.2%222 W · 203 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Canadiens | 10c | 11,115$1,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,111.52 | 333 | 45.6%152 W · 181 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Canadiens | 53c | 11,110$5,888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,888.3 | 331 | 51.7%171 W · 160 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Canadiens | 53c | 10,601$5,664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,663.94 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8366…21ebbacked Flyers | 49c | 10,263$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,262.51 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Canadiens | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,200 | 329 | 46.8%154 W · 175 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Canadiens | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,200 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…80aebacked Canadiens | 7c | 9,821$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$687.44 | 327 | 44%144 W · 183 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Canadiens | 55c | 8,886$4,887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,887.49 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Canadiens | 52c | 8,858$4,606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,606.02 | 309 | 44.7%138 W · 171 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf0…1e2abacked Flyers | 47c | 8,000$3,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,239.97 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Canadiens | 52c | 7,783$4,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,035.58 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Canadiens | 52c | 7,177$3,730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,730.29 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Canadiens | 54c | 6,777$3,686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,685.94 | 540 | 47.6%257 W · 283 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Canadiens | 52c | 5,769$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,999.88 | 286 | 52.4%150 W · 136 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Canadiens | 53c | 5,598$2,967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,967 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Flyers | 46c | 5,158$2,373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,785.21 | 283 | 53%150 W · 133 L | +16.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x48fe…b2b6backed Canadiens | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,650 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.5wins | -0.25per pick | 53cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Flyers | 47c | 4,437$2,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,351.83 | 566 | 49.5%280 W · 286 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Canadiens | 53c | 4,268$2,262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,261.97 | 243 | 49.8%121 W · 122 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60b2…3ccebacked Canadiens | 54c | 4,262$2,287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,287.25 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2838…fdd3backed Canadiens | 14c | 4,156$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.96 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Flyers | 47c | 4,138$1,945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,193.25 | 225 | 50.2%113 W · 112 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08a4…5c3fbacked Canadiens | 53c | 3,869$2,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,050.57 | 305 | 51.5%157 W · 148 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f6e…829ebacked Canadiens | 55c | 3,865$2,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,126.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a20…acdbbacked Flyers | 45c | 3,858$1,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,121.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4366…c73ebacked Canadiens | 53c | 3,500$1,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,839.99 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed Canadiens | 55c | 3,382$1,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,860.1 | 246 | 54.5%134 W · 112 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90f6…48f3backed Canadiens | 53c | 3,302$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,750 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Canadiens | 44c | 3,164$1,383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,382.66 | 387 | 38%147 W · 240 L | -13.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9397…ceb4backed Canadiens | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,590 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Canadiens | 54c | 2,908$1,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,570.35 | 695 | 50.1%348 W · 347 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2195…16f9backed Canadiens | 52c | 2,885$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Canadiens | 0c | 2,843$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.34 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f6…4959backed Flyers | 46c | 2,825$1,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,525.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Canadiens | 52c | 2,689$1,398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,398.31 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf819…d410backed Flyers | 45c | 2,551$1,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,403.11 | 209 | 51.7%108 W · 101 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Flyers | 47c | 2,488$1,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,328.53 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Canadiens | 53c | 2,468$1,311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,310.63 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedb1…819ebacked Canadiens | 53c | 2,277$1,207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,207 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c75…8c7abacked Canadiens | 21c | 2,170$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.69 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.17per pick | 41cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa07c…11a0backed Canadiens | 56c | 2,147$1,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,195.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b06…8f01backed Flyers | 45c | 2,000$897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,103.08 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Canadiens | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060 | 397 | 52.1%207 W · 190 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2421…10cfbacked Canadiens | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe045…c149backed Canadiens | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Canadiens | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060 | 380 | 46.6%177 W · 203 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3529…a599backed Canadiens | 70c | 2,000$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51cb…e3abbacked Flyers | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Canadiens | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Flyers | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,099.99 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Canadiens | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,039.9 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -6.3wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe3…e0fdbacked Flyers | 46c | 1,977$909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,067.58 | 190 | 51.1%97 W · 93 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Canadiens | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 296 | 51.7%153 W · 143 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2265…bffabacked Flyers | 46c | 1,813$834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$979.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96e1…50aabacked Flyers | 39c | 1,805$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100.64 | 105 | 65.7%69 W · 36 L | +15.9wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7f28…b992backed Canadiens | 53c | 1,800$954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$953.97 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11b5…0d05backed Flyers | 46c | 1,739$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$939.13 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe15d…4c38backed Canadiens | 55c | 1,616$889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$889.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36f5…8d7bbacked Canadiens | 55c | 1,520$836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$835.83 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Canadiens | 53c | 1,509$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d75…cbbdbacked Canadiens | 55c | 1,502$826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf08a…29e0backed Flyers | 46c | 1,500$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8824…7fa6backed Flyers | 46c | 1,500$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32bd…5765backed Flyers | 46c | 1,500$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +26%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf36d…2627backed Canadiens | 54c | 1,500$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48e8…20fcbacked Flyers | 46c | 1,500$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +99.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xde2d…1dfcbacked Canadiens | 54c | 1,500$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05f7…be49backed Flyers | 46c | 1,500$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa882…aa96backed Canadiens | 54c | 1,500$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Canadiens | 54c | 1,500$803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$802.5 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4955…4f73backed Canadiens | 54c | 1,500$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f7…2b28backed Flyers | 46c | 1,500$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49ff…5848backed Flyers | 46c | 1,500$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8eaf…ac2abacked Flyers | 46c | 1,500$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdaf…56b5backed Flyers | 46c | 1,500$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +4.1wins | +0.23per pick | 49cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x026c…9d44backed Flyers | 46c | 1,500$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd177…d641backed Canadiens | 54c | 1,500$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9af5…d852backed Canadiens | 54c | 1,500$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcaf4…77dcbacked Canadiens | 54c | 1,500$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5433…48f4backed Canadiens | 54c | 1,500$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacaa…b57cbacked Canadiens | 54c | 1,500$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.2wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x15a0…94d1backed Canadiens | 54c | 1,500$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +28%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30b2…17c2backed Canadiens | 54c | 1,500$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda06…8e2fbacked Canadiens | 54c | 1,500$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a5a…887bbacked Canadiens | 54c | 1,500$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…1134backed Canadiens | 54c | 1,500$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f9c…4537backed Canadiens | 54c | 1,500$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3139…d18bbacked Canadiens | 54c | 1,500$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x408a…ac75backed Flyers | 46c | 1,500$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd689…39bfbacked Canadiens | 54c | 1,500$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…ef9fbacked Flyers | 46c | 1,500$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Flyers vs. Canadiensthis page
- Flyers vs. Canadiens: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Canadiens (-1.5)Flyers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.