TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Flyers vs. Canadiens: O/U 5.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$17,317
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$17,414

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,317 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0496…f985backed Over52c6,200$3,224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,2241266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+38.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb530…4422backed Under48c6,200$2,976 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,2241258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+19%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xec13…862bbacked Under49c4,000$1,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,04022546.2%104 W · 121 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over51c3,787$1,931 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,931.351,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under47c2,155$1,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,149.822,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over53c1,873$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00047256.8%268 W · 204 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2586…c893backed Over53c1,500$795 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79583652.8%441 W · 395 L+28.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Under47c1,161$546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$615.4148452.3%253 W · 231 L+14.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Under47c319.15$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.1516056.3%90 W · 70 L+11.6wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+15.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Over52c250$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13034653.2%184 W · 162 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4103…9b9ebacked Over53c247.06$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.9428842%121 W · 167 L-12.4wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb4f9…5526backed Under48c211$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.724454.5%24 W · 20 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Under49c205$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.5562447.3%295 W · 329 L+0.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2159…114fbacked Under48c200$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1041464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+21.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d30…2645backed Under48c196$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.924860.4%29 W · 19 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+7.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f6b…075fbacked Over59c169.8$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004548.9%22 W · 23 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10f7…26f0backed Under48c165$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.84967.3%33 W · 16 L+5.0wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+18.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8a4c…4bdbbacked Over39c143$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.7730%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Under48c120$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.448149.3%237 W · 244 L+0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x470e…07c0backed Under47c119$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.075149%25 W · 26 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb100…dce6backed Under48c113$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.762356.5%13 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x216f…9b1ebacked Under47c109$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.773243.8%14 W · 18 L-3.2wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-19.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8013…5b52backed Under69c92.37$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.634351.2%22 W · 21 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over53c81$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.931,94849.4%962 W · 986 L+24.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over51c80$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.860549.3%298 W · 307 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Under48c80$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.627148.7%132 W · 139 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xab2e…8b4bbacked Over53c78$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.032548%12 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd14…5ab9backed Under48c71$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.926167.2%41 W · 20 L+9.8wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+28.3%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xda03…7f8cbacked Over52c63$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.762142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under46c59.37$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.0679251.1%405 W · 387 L+21.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6723…a540backed Over53c59$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.279850%49 W · 49 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over66c58.94$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.811,84657.2%1,055 W · 791 L+85.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6644…e9fabacked Over53c56.6$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc049…48abbacked Over53c56.6$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3014844.6%66 W · 82 L+0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under59c56$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.9662951.2%322 W · 307 L+18.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa89e…4ab4backed Over52c55$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.64461.4%27 W · 17 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4d1…086ebacked Under48c52.08$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.086055%33 W · 27 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3f1…1ec7backed Over53c52.08$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.62828.6%8 W · 20 L-4.2wins-0.15per pick44cpaid-27.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xaa48…9062backed Over53c50$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.53141.9%13 W · 18 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x55fb…a3acbacked Over53c50$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.53560%21 W · 14 L+3.2wins+0.09per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe34e…d326backed Under48c50$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa7f2…9b10backed Under50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251030%3 W · 7 L-2.5wins-0.25per pick55cpaid-49.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa924…b1b9backed Over50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2533735%118 W · 219 L+10.5wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb780…e7a2backed Over52c47$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.561533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-36.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8f3a…9bdbbacked Over52c46$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.921850%9 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d67…cf38backed Under47c46$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.383666.7%24 W · 12 L+3.5wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+28.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf9c5…f1afbacked Under48c46$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.921100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x597f…e9cfbacked Over52c44$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.881936.8%7 W · 12 L-3.0wins-0.16per pick53cpaid-27.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb2a4…aeb8backed Over52c42$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.842441.7%10 W · 14 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x684b…47edbacked Over52c42$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.842450%12 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xedb5…ce8ebacked Under48c41.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.6713246.2%61 W · 71 L-8.3wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-11.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2a5f…3670backed Under48c41.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.67850%4 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fec…8dc3backed Over52c41$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.321729.4%5 W · 12 L-3.4wins-0.20per pick50cpaid-44.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Over51c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.421648.1%104 W · 112 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Over51c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.419647.4%93 W · 103 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6203…5192backed Over52c38$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.762250%11 W · 11 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3dde…2c06backed Over53c37.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2060%0 W · 6 L-3.2wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Under48c37.67$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.5926348.7%128 W · 135 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd22f…d0eebacked Over54c37.04$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204845.8%22 W · 26 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-17%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x50aa…70ddbacked Over54c37.04$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207948.1%38 W · 41 L-4.9wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd1bd…0da6backed Over53c34$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.021656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+16.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x22e5…81acbacked Over52c34$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.681346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3bc9…801ebacked Over52c31$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.121850%9 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9874…15d7backed Over52c31$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.121353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29bd…80c9backed Over52c30$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.63360.6%20 W · 13 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1313…866abacked Over53c30$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.92552%13 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6e9…6613backed Over52c29$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.081450%7 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc39b…5754backed Over52c28$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.562445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-19.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8fef…a3d3backed Over52c28$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.56825%2 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-45.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Under48c27.75$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.431,53051.7%791 W · 739 L+22.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Under51c26.24$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.919423.4%22 W · 72 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xabb7…7959backed Over52c25$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131250%6 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb990…3d1cbacked Over52c24$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.481241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x279b…7d84backed Over52c23$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.961435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.5wins-0.18per pick54cpaid-33%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x84f8…667fbacked Over52c23$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.96742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7d0…de52backed Over53c22$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.661747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Over51c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.223144.6%103 W · 128 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb01…2783backed Over51c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.29952.5%52 W · 47 L+0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x96f4…8081backed Over51c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.29053.3%48 W · 42 L-0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa204…e66fbacked Over51c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.214746.9%69 W · 78 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8bdf…8adabacked Over51c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.29451.1%48 W · 46 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7cae…bf8abacked Over51c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.29550.5%48 W · 47 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9adf…3f2fbacked Over51c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.29852%51 W · 47 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf99a…5487backed Over51c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.210250%51 W · 51 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked Over51c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.27554.7%41 W · 34 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb1ad…cc15backed Over50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102035%7 W · 13 L-2.4wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-21.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xba0f…7ca5backed Over53c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.61963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+19.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed Over51c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.210752.3%56 W · 51 L-0.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe601…c728backed Over51c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.212652.4%66 W · 60 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b82…2d2abacked Over51c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.29750.5%49 W · 48 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xea2e…d695backed Over51c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.29053.3%48 W · 42 L+0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8204…61d9backed Over52c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.42263.6%14 W · 8 L+2.3wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+33%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd1a4…0db0backed Over54c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.