TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x8013…5b52

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
437
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Ncaa Basketball, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category Ncaa Basketball at 60 out of 100; worst UFC at 39.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT17554.9%96 W · 79 L+15.0wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+31.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 175 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
1H Spread: Nuggets (-4.5)backed Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$234Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$234.32
Bucks vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$4,480Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,480
76ers vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$869Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$869.12
Heat vs. Rockets: 1H O/U 117.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$798Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$798.34
Trail Blazers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$87.36
Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 19.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$36.33
Cavaliers vs. Bulls: O/U 239.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$258Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$279.24
Warriors vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 105.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$389Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$389.39
Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 25.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$179Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+75.5%+$135.09
Spread: Knicks (-15.5)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$5,256Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,256.06
Cavaliers vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Pistons vs. Wizards: 1H O/U 119.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$245Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+100%+$245
Grizzlies vs. Bullsbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$966Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$966.27
Mavericks vs. Pelicans: O/U 241.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+203%+$168.34
Warriors vs. Knicks: 1H O/U 105.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$295Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$332.16
Nuggets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+809.1%+$191.64
Magic vs. Heat: 1H Moneylinebacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$146.06
Jalen Duren: Points O/U 19.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$53
Cavaliers vs. Mavericks: O/U 235.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$372Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$317.19
Knicks vs. Pacers: 1H O/U 116.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$506Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$548.08
Josh Giddey: Assists O/U 7.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
Kevin Porter Jr.: Assists O/U 6.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+400%+$75
Wizards vs. Magicbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$213Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$213.48
Ryan Kalkbrenner: Rebounds O/U 4.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.01
Raptors vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$818Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+112.9%+$923.18
Showing 25 of 175 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT15453.9%83 W · 71 L+16.8wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+19.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 154 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Utah State Aggies vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,665Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+30.3%+$504.22
Spread: St. John's Red Storm (-3.5)backed Kansas Jayhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$1,620Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$3,606.34
High Point Panthers vs. Arkansas Razorbacksbacked Arkansas Razorbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,118Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$991.28
TCU Horned Frogs vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 139.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$3,447Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$3,587.43
Missouri Tigers vs. Miami Hurricanesbacked Miami Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,007Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$729.57
Spread: Kansas Jayhawks (-24.5)backed California Baptist Lancers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,112Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$1,068.57
Spread: Texas Tech Red Raiders (-7.5)backed Texas Tech Red Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$2,938Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$3,057.82
Saint Louis Billikens vs. Georgia Bulldogsbacked Saint Louis Billikens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$968Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$1,283.37
Spread: North Carolina Tar Heels (-2.5)backed VCU Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$876Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$3,105.13
Siena Saints vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked Duke Blue Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$54.67
South Florida Bulls vs. Louisville Cardinals: O/U 165.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,941Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,940.82
Spread: SMU Mustangs (-6.5)backed SMU Mustangs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$3,157Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,156.59
Bradley Braves vs. Dayton Flyersbacked Dayton Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$3,320Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+75.5%+$2,504.87
Navy Midshipmen vs. Wake Forest Demon Deacons: O/U 147.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.57
Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks vs. Tulsa Golden Hurricanebacked Tulsa Golden Hurricane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$330Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+300%+$988.88
Purdue Boilermakers vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 149.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.28
Spread: St. John's Red Storm (-7.5)backed St. John's Red Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$134.69
Spread: Harvard Crimson (-2.5)backed Harvard Crimson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.5
CSUN Matadors vs. UC Irvine Anteatersbacked CSUN Matadors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$2,916Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,915.67
Kent State Golden Flashes vs. Akron Zipsbacked Kent State Golden Flashes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.37
Miami Hurricanes vs. Virginia Cavaliersbacked Miami Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.87
Spread: Illinois Fighting Illini (-7.5)backed Wisconsin Badgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$589Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$691.61
Missouri State Bears vs. Louisiana Tech Bulldogsbacked Missouri State Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.35
Oklahoma Sooners vs. Texas A&M Aggies: O/U 161.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$396Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+89.2%+$353.52
Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks vs. North Carolina Central Eaglesbacked Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$608Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$607.68
Showing 25 of 154 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT4351.2%22 W · 21 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 43 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jets vs. Rangers: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$4,069Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,068.97
Flyers vs. Sharks: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$2,781Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,780.81
Penguins vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$259Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$203.84
Avalanche vs. Jetsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$8,333Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$8,332.8
Penguins vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$589Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$444.19
Islanders vs. Blues: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$495Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$605
Maple Leafs vs. Canadiensbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$2,048Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,048.28
Golden Knights vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$456Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+78.6%+$358.6
Islanders vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$2,356Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+85.2%+$2,006.98
Kraken vs. Golden Knights: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,134Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,133.6
Kraken vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$122.76
Wild vs. Oilers: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,719Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+88.9%+$1,528.96
Flyers vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+100%+$250
Ducks vs. Oilersbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$31.2
Islanders vs. Flyers: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$67.1
Senators vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$2,776Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+108.3%+$3,007.67
Ducks vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$112.3
Senators vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+117.4%+$98.82
Devils vs. Flames: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,888Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+132.6%+$2,502.74
Ducks vs. Kings: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$323Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$323.37
Spread: Panthers (-1.5)backed Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+42.9%+$26.4
Kings vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+75.4%+$36.62
Capitals vs. Blackhawks: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$120.4
SHL: Djurgaarden vs. Oerebro HKbacked Oerebro HK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+28.2%+$4.84
Spread: Kings (-1.5)backed Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$81.36
Showing 25 of 43 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST2560%15 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$209Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+88.1%+$183.85
Cooper Kupp: Anytime Touchdownbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+33.3%+$5
Seahawks vs. Patriots: O/U 46.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+47.7%+$9.69
Seahawks Team Total: O/U 23.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$806Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+156.4%+$1,260
Will "Tití Me Preguntó" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$33
Rams vs. Seahawks: 1H O/U 22.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$4,900Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+104.1%+$5,100
Patriots vs. Broncos: O/U 42.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$22.5
49ers vs. Eagles: O/U 49.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+51.5%+$12
49ers vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$73.8
49ers vs. Eagles: 1H Moneylinebacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$428Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+33.3%+$142.51
1H Spread: Texans (-6.5)backed Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+117.4%+$102.6
Packers vs. Vikingsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+62.8%+$58.25
Colts vs. Texansbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$2,840Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+25%+$710
Ravens vs. Steelersbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$3,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$3,200
Dolphins vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+33.3%+$9.75
Commanders vs. Eaglesbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$758Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+88.7%+$672.01
Jets vs. Bills: O/U 40.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,453Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+130.6%+$1,897.5
Seahawks vs. 49ers: 1H O/U 24.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$28.6
Panthers vs. Buccaneers: 1H O/U 22.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Spread: 49ers (-2.5)backed Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$51
Spread: Patriots (-33.5)backed Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$380Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+163.2%+$620
Buccaneers vs. Dolphinsbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$720Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$720
Ravens vs. Packersbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$505Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+38.9%+$196.48
Ravens vs. Packers: 1H Moneylinebacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$122
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,092Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$1,091.76
All 25 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST1060%6 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid-6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Oregon vs. Indiana: 1H Moneylinebacked Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+26.6%+$21
Miami vs. Ole Missbacked Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+41.5%+$4.4
Navy vs. Cincinnati: O/U 58.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$17.5
Spread: Indiana (-6.5)backed Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$946Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$946
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers vs. Louisiana Techbacked Louisiana Tech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+42.9%+$9
O/U 59.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Connecticut vs. Armybacked Army · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,515Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+29.9%+$452.92
Penn State vs. Clemsonbacked Penn State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$883Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+63.7%+$562.29
Army vs. Navy: O/U 39.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+127.3%+$97.99
Army vs. Navybacked Army · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,071Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$1,070.77
All 10 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-33.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT60%0 W · 6 L-3.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
UFC — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick34cpaid+34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+51.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Mls — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid+51.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Monaco vs. Olympiacos B.C.backed Olympiacos B.C. · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,605Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,604.95
KK Crvena Zvezda vs. FC Bayern Munchenbacked FC Bayern Munchen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+354.5%+$560.63
Barcelona vs. Paris Basketballbacked Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$109.2
All 3 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-20.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+58.6%+$6.67
Spread: FC Barcelona (-2.5)backed Newcastle United FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.3
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
AS Monaco FC vs. Stade Brestois 29: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$2,302Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$2,395.95
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Club Tijuana vs. Pumas de la UNAM: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$4,157Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+66.7%+$2,771.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
AC Milan vs. US Lecce: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$543Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+63.9%+$347.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Eight die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+33.3%+$5.55
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Brentford FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,550Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$2,549.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Deportivo Alavés vs. Real Oviedo: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$33.51
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.