TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Senators vs. Predators

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Predatorsof Senators, Predators
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$475,735
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$485,454

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $475,735 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 922 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x03e8…1697backed Senators52c21,959$11,419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,418.7167051%342 W · 328 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb68…a240backed Senators52c12,903$6,740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,740.4250049.6%248 W · 252 L+16.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb859…e244backed Senators52c9,438$4,908 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,907.5411052.7%58 W · 52 L+6.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+12.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xaf35…b5eabacked Predators48c6,757$3,243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,513.5111445.6%52 W · 62 L+6.0wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Predators47c6,500$3,055 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,4451,08745.1%490 W · 597 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Senators0c6,000$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56be…57eebacked Predators17c5,882$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,882.352864.3%18 W · 10 L+6.3wins+0.22per pick42cpaid+64.3%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x8013…5b52backed Predators48c5,784$2,776 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,007.674351.2%22 W · 21 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x17e0…80aebacked Predators79c4,728$3,733 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$994.1732744%144 W · 183 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Predators47c4,206$1,977 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,229.081,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35ac…92a7backed Predators48c4,000$1,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,08027548.7%134 W · 141 L+0.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Predators47c4,000$1,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,12061748.5%299 W · 318 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Predators48c3,917$1,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,036.8461953.8%333 W · 286 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Predators14c3,685$515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,169.5399638.2%380 W · 616 L-10.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c95…ed41backed Predators47c3,568$1,677 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,890.935841.4%24 W · 34 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Senators80c3,415$2,731 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,73185464.2%548 W · 306 L+64.5wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+18.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Senators53c3,222$1,721 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,720.791,94849.4%962 W · 986 L+24.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Predators26c3,154$805 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,349.052,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Predators47c3,000$1,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,59033345.6%152 W · 181 L+0.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10d4…d953backed Senators53c2,840$1,505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,505.244551.2%228 W · 217 L+16.4wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Predators47c2,513$1,191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,322.362,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Predators48c2,200$1,056 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,14460249.5%298 W · 304 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6ce…7ec8backed Predators48c2,083$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,083.3362346.9%292 W · 331 L-3.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Predators49c2,041$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,040.8229551.9%153 W · 142 L-1.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Senators1c1,999$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.997450.7%5 W · 740 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-94.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Predators20c1,937$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,547.481,10752%576 W · 531 L+63.9wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+7.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x936f…d171backed Senators53c1,887$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0008134.6%28 W · 53 L-8.7wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-23.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x40a5…f0a8backed Predators48c1,875$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9751346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfceb…03d5backed Predators49c1,734$850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$884.44944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x96d9…18a0backed Predators48c1,716$824 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$892.4824847.6%118 W · 130 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbad2…5296backed Senators53c1,666$877 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$877.4389249.9%445 W · 447 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Predators48c1,657$793 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$864.161,67954.4%914 W · 765 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd52…7e9abacked Senators52c1,615$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$839.911533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.8wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-30.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed Predators48c1,600$768 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83245749.2%225 W · 232 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Predators47c1,600$752 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84843548.5%211 W · 224 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Senators52c1,581$822 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$822.0589547%421 W · 474 L-18.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1fe3…e0fdbacked Predators48c1,523$731 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$792.0619051.1%97 W · 93 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Senators53c1,500$795 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79560337.5%226 W · 377 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe33c…2bd1backed Predators8c1,459$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,344.362133.3%7 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+26.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xae17…b10dbacked Senators54c1,303$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7001353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Senators60c1,282$769 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$769.252172.6%378 W · 143 L+36.7wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6c08…4a4dbacked Predators48c1,276$612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$663.521450%7 W · 7 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-12%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee51…73e4backed Senators52c1,276$664 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$663.521241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-28.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x34ba…ac0dbacked Predators48c1,258$604 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$654.161266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+18.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe599…53bdbacked Senators52c1,258$654 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$654.161172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.8wins+0.26per pick47cpaid+67.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa768…d104backed Senators52c1,245$647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$647.41154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x65ef…c380backed Predators48c1,245$598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$647.41250%6 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa1b6…e06dbacked Senators52c1,231$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$640.12944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-22.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x42df…1115backed Predators48c1,231$591 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$640.121346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ae9…5d5ebacked Senators52c1,224$636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$636.481127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.21per pick48cpaid-52.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5c5a…7ef8backed Predators48c1,223$587 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$635.961353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x61b7…4d5ebacked Predators48c1,219$585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$633.881553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x97cc…74bebacked Senators52c1,219$634 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$633.881030%3 W · 7 L-2.5wins-0.25per pick55cpaid-52.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5f32…bd11backed Predators48c1,208$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$628.161070%7 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.16per pick54cpaid+23.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x370d…a125backed Senators52c1,208$628 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$628.161450%7 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb403…9e21backed Predators48c1,207$579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$627.641060%6 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa5d5…4c13backed Senators52c1,207$628 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$627.641353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37ef…a153backed Senators52c1,202$625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$625.041233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-42.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5435…e8e4backed Predators48c1,202$577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$625.041346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d18…5718backed Senators52c1,201$625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$624.521136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-35.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2281…668abacked Predators48c1,201$576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$624.521258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6ea…b509backed Predators48c1,196$574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$621.921338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-34%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x75a3…c77dbacked Predators48c1,196$574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$621.921258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad4d…8178backed Senators52c1,196$622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$621.921338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-34.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x934d…4ffebacked Senators52c1,196$622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$621.921338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-30.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3bbb…7fdabacked Predators48c1,193$573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$620.361361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+14.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xee42…53c3backed Senators52c1,193$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$620.361050%5 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5960…9dfbbacked Senators52c1,191$619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$619.321050%5 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21d2…0bf4backed Predators48c1,191$572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$619.321457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x120e…4daabacked Senators52c1,190$619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$618.81145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-26.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeed1…a957backed Predators48c1,190$571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$618.81040%4 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-16.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0932…895ebacked Senators52c1,188$618 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$617.761154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61f1…4160backed Predators48c1,188$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$617.761275%9 W · 3 L+2.6wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+35%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb0db…b33abacked Predators48c1,183$568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$615.161050%5 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf797…623ebacked Senators52c1,183$615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$615.16933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.21per pick55cpaid-45.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x46fb…2aa7backed Senators52c1,182$615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$614.641040%4 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-25.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa89a…ca21backed Predators48c1,182$567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$614.641346.2%6 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe2cf…65a4backed Predators48c1,179$566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$613.081154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee9b…6912backed Senators52c1,179$613 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$613.081540%6 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-31.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd7e7…8cd8backed Predators48c1,178$565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$612.561566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.3wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+20.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd7c0…4feabacked Senators52c1,178$613 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$612.561353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf472…f781backed Senators52c1,175$611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6111030%3 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.19per pick49cpaid-46.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3647…4f20backed Predators48c1,175$564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6111060%6 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3207…4f67backed Senators52c1,170$608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$608.41457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+20.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0496…7ccabacked Predators48c1,170$562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$608.41353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.12per pick41cpaid+30.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdcde…60e7backed Senators52c1,169$608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$607.881136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-27.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e47…5684backed Senators52c1,163$605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604.761353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x292c…b0e4backed Predators48c1,163$558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$604.761154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc23c…62aebacked Senators52c1,162$604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604.241136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-33.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x45a8…f794backed Predators48c1,162$558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$604.241050%5 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2648…1009backed Senators52c1,162$604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604.241163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+23.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x91bd…800ebacked Predators48c1,162$558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$604.241050%5 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe4c…4071backed Senators52c1,161$604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603.72966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+33.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x87dd…4fc9backed Predators48c1,161$557 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$603.721050%5 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a3a…d957backed Predators48c1,160$557 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$603.21346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7211…dd3bbacked Senators52c1,160$603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603.21540%6 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-29.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1182…4b03backed Senators52c1,160$603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603.21145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-15.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0df7…7f4ebacked Predators48c1,160$557 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$603.21233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-27.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb890…b3c6backed Predators48c1,160$557 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$603.21040%4 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-26.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x126e…58e1backed Senators52c1,160$603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603.21136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-15.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.