NHL · resolved market
Senators vs. Predators: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x037faab7737a5f4f552b610c13ecc7f22a70c564029bfaf0f0e646b5845cc038
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,954
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,012
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,954 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.33 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 52c | 1,149$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.47 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f72…0841backed Under | 55c | 1,036$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Over | 48c | 804.08$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.12 | 308 | 55.5%171 W · 137 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 49c | 691.53$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.76 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 52c | 444$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.88 | 495 | 46.5%230 W · 265 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Under | 50c | 399$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.4 | 183 | 44.8%82 W · 101 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Under | 52c | 332$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.64 | 115 | 33.9%39 W · 76 L | -9.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5316…1d07backed Under | 52c | 299.99$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 204 | 44.6%91 W · 113 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb859…e244backed Under | 51c | 295.27$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.59 | 110 | 52.7%58 W · 52 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f49…7458backed Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -4.9wins | -0.29per pick | 52cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x38dd…c20abacked Under | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 309 | 52.4%162 W · 147 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 44c | 189$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.49 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 49c | 146$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.46 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32d6…844bbacked Under | 54c | 116$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.64 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18e0…9534backed Under | 54c | 111.11$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -60%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf67…fc18backed Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe105…1efbbacked Over | 47c | 99.99$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 48c | 84.21$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.79 | 786 | 51.8%407 W · 379 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 51c | 84.15$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.41 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 54c | 64.36$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.77 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 46c | 63.27$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.17 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Under | 57c | 60$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 119 | 54.6%65 W · 54 L | +11.9wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc400…7c6bbacked Over | 41c | 60$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.2 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b05…b227backed Under | 55c | 45.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x36c9…3f9fbacked Over | 46c | 38$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.52 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd6…16abbacked Under | 61c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 308 | 59.4%183 W · 125 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d0…9b74backed Over | 46c | 29$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.66 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd347…393dbacked Over | 52c | 26.92$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d10…e17cbacked Over | 46c | 22$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.88 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68cd…e8d7backed Under | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Senators vs. Predators: O/U 6.5this page
- Senators vs. PredatorsPredators won
- Spread: Predators (-1.5)Predators won
- Spread: Senators (-1.5)Predators won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.