NHL · resolved market
Spread: Predators (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4cf849918454bb78ee27c987c56d6ca0ecf83c20bda078df595a4ef378d5b3dd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Predatorsof Predators, Senators
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,923
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,964
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,923 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaf35…b5eabacked Predators | 28c | 6,767$1,917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,850.24 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Predators | 30c | 2,957$887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,069.9 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Senators | 70c | 2,167$1,517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,516.9 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Senators | 71c | 2,007$1,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,425 | 332 | 43.7%145 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked Senators | 73c | 1,611$1,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,175.91 | 83 | 68.7%57 W · 26 L | +12.3wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xae8c…93cdbacked Senators | 71c | 1,400$994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$994 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Senators | 70c | 1,014$709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708.76 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Senators | 71c | 940$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667.4 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -17.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Predators | 30c | 393$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.1 | 334 | 47.9%160 W · 174 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe88b…fa5abacked Senators | 73c | 240$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.2 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Senators | 73c | 190$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.7 | 167 | 38.9%65 W · 102 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Senators | 70c | 150$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 480 | 46.9%225 W · 255 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Predators | 31c | 143$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.07 | 868 | 52.4%455 W · 413 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Predators | 35c | 111.24$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.31 | 184 | 53.8%99 W · 85 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Senators | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 224 | 43.3%97 W · 127 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Senators | 73c | 100$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 1,140 | 51.5%587 W · 553 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Senators | 70c | 82$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.5 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Senators | 73c | 76.06$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.52 | 1,107 | 52%576 W · 531 L | +63.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Senators | 72c | 69.9$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.07 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Senators | 70c | 56.73$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.71 | 786 | 51.8%407 W · 379 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa632…4c96backed Senators | 71c | 56.34$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Senators | 70c | 44.27$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.99 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfacd…d470backed Senators | 70c | 24.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.15 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x778e…ccd1backed Senators | 70c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 219 | 51.6%113 W · 106 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d9…0092backed Senators | 71c | 18.53$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 164 | 63.4%104 W · 60 L | +18.5wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Senators | 71c | 18.31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 196 | 52.6%103 W · 93 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Predators (-1.5)this page
- Senators vs. PredatorsPredators won
- Senators vs. Predators: O/U 6.5Over won
- Spread: Senators (-1.5)Predators won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.