La Liga · resolved market
Deportivo Alavés vs. Real Oviedo: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6484e7b348c191d8b752d0aa21eace414d5f6c08ea761fe37b88e243ebd1aa6f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,462
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,067
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,462 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 60c | 2,104$1,261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,261.05 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 36c | 1,500$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.99 | 387 | 29.5%114 W · 273 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 64c | 1,200$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768 | 559 | 41.1%230 W · 329 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Yes | 40c | 1,150$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.9 | 83 | 34.9%29 W · 54 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…359bbacked Yes | 38c | 947.37$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.37 | 216 | 41.7%90 W · 126 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed No | 61c | 400$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244 | 317 | 45.7%145 W · 172 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 63c | 380$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.34 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 39c | 264$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.04 | 791 | 33%261 W · 530 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 74c | 189.52$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.21 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2e…a948backed Yes | 47c | 161.09$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.38 | 175 | 41.1%72 W · 103 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 39c | 132$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.52 | 532 | 46.1%245 W · 287 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7082backed Yes | 46c | 130.43$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.43 | 95 | 57.9%55 W · 40 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11f0…890dbacked No | 62c | 100$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 115 | 59.1%68 W · 47 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 63c | 100$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 616 | 57.8%356 W · 260 L | +42.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Yes | 21c | 81.11$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.11 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8496…27b6backed No | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +5.3wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7181…1b0abacked No | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb96c…6cc6backed No | 62c | 59.85$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.11 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -4.9wins | -0.11per pick | 60cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c22…70a0backed No | 62c | 59.12$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.65 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd53…a861backed Yes | 38c | 57$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.34 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8013…5b52backed No | 64c | 52.36$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x113f…95a6backed Yes | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +5.1wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda4f…65babacked No | 57c | 37.24$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb815…342fbacked No | 62c | 19.66$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.19 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc7…55f6backed No | 62c | 19.66$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.19 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d9…6febbacked No | 62c | 17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Deportivo Alavés vs. Real Oviedo: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Deportivo Alavés vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 1.5Over won
- Deportivo Alavés vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 2.5Under won
- Deportivo Alavés vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 3.5Under won
- Deportivo Alavés vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Deportivo Alavés (-1.5)Real Oviedo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.