La Liga · resolved market
Spread: Deportivo Alavés (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x306de3298f5a424189b906d2d00e0016d358d8fc339f6dafaddf1504a52caf9b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Real Oviedoof Deportivo Alavés, Real Oviedo
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,827
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,859
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,827 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Deportivo Alavés | 22c | 7,637$1,695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,694.7 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Real Oviedo | 79c | 4,450$3,497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$952.16 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Real Oviedo | 78c | 3,503$2,727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$776.13 | 204 | 49.5%101 W · 103 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Real Oviedo | 77c | 2,500$1,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575 | 640 | 46.9%300 W · 340 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Deportivo Alavés | 22c | 1,500$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 387 | 29.5%114 W · 273 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde91…f20abacked Real Oviedo | 78c | 1,000$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Deportivo Alavés | 23c | 896$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.08 | 102 | 45.1%46 W · 56 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc181…0992backed Deportivo Alavés | 18c | 401.89$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.34 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Deportivo Alavés | 22c | 296$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.12 | 351 | 48.4%170 W · 181 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65ea…223fbacked Deportivo Alavés | 23c | 124$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.52 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b3…8528backed Deportivo Alavés | 24c | 103.96$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.95 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x102f…9b6ebacked Deportivo Alavés | 23c | 103$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.69 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c2d…2570backed Deportivo Alavés | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 211 | 51.7%109 W · 102 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Deportivo Alavés | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb95e…c6d6backed Deportivo Alavés | 21c | 99.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 185 | 51.9%96 W · 89 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e6…71e4backed Deportivo Alavés | 23c | 71$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.33 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…0ab8backed Deportivo Alavés | 23c | 70$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Deportivo Alavés | 22c | 69.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.31 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1c…0dd0backed Deportivo Alavés | 23c | 68$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.64 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.20per pick | 51cpaid | -57%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a3…a380backed Deportivo Alavés | 23c | 60$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.18per pick | 35cpaid | +60.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb81d…c6c0backed Deportivo Alavés | 23c | 59$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.57 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c22…70a0backed Real Oviedo | 78c | 36.88$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.22 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a7…261bbacked Real Oviedo | 77c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1a…ad50backed Real Oviedo | 77c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 65cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07eb…4b4cbacked Real Oviedo | 77c | 28$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.44 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cce…ebfebacked Real Oviedo | 77c | 27$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.21 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d9…6febbacked Real Oviedo | 77c | 27$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.21 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf86a…9ed1backed Real Oviedo | 77c | 27$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.21 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddf6…9bd5backed Real Oviedo | 77c | 22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.06 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Real Oviedo | 76c | 19.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.76 | 240 | 47.9%115 W · 125 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x879d…8c58backed Real Oviedo | 77c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.22 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Deportivo Alavés (-1.5)this page
- Deportivo Alavés vs. Real Oviedo: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Deportivo Alavés vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 1.5Over won
- Deportivo Alavés vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 2.5Under won
- Deportivo Alavés vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 3.5Under won
- Deportivo Alavés vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.