TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Deportivo Alavés vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$172,707
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$210,426

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $172,707 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 114 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd0b4…fed6backed Under43c58,088$24,941 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,940.54852.1%25 W · 23 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cb…28adbacked Over56c32,231$18,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,231.476566.2%43 W · 22 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over57c27,225$15,518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,706.751,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under50c16,095$8,094 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,094.014,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over56c12,000$6,720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,279.9924145.2%109 W · 132 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under44c10,816$4,762 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,762.311,01853.1%541 W · 477 L-24.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Over57c10,000$5,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,30012648.4%61 W · 65 L-9.0wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-12.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5873…f69abacked Over26c8,000$2,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,9202227.3%6 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick30cpaid+15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under44c6,500$2,851 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,85164046.9%300 W · 340 L-2.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24d8…e8a8backed Over57c4,980$2,839 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,141.425160.8%31 W · 20 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Over50c2,892$1,444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,447.6590843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Over56c2,500$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,099.998457.1%48 W · 36 L+7.3wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+16.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Over57c2,000$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86021957.5%126 W · 93 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Over59c1,869$1,103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$766.2913551.1%69 W · 66 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-4.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaab8…a331backed Over41c1,220$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$719.518252.4%43 W · 39 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under47c1,064$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50023152.8%122 W · 109 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xde91…f20abacked Over57c1,000$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4303455.9%19 W · 15 L+3.3wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+13%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x854d…deb0backed Over40c999$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$599.42142.9%9 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Over56c936$524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411.848957.3%51 W · 38 L+7.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+16.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over57c800$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34422552.4%118 W · 107 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over54c792.89$428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.7369142.5%294 W · 397 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7cc1…fdc6backed Over60c625$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-35.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Over59c590.49$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.0123452.6%123 W · 111 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc049…48abbacked Over30c466.67$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.676731.3%21 W · 46 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Over57c400$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17227652.5%145 W · 131 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over57c400$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17235054%189 W · 161 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over57c400$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17231751.1%162 W · 155 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x659c…85bbbacked Under71c390.14$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2772161.9%13 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick57cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over54c260.67$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.113,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Over57c250$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.518152.5%95 W · 86 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over56c246.43$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.4322357%127 W · 96 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Over57c240$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.221849.1%107 W · 111 L-7.8wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-5.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Over57c240$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.214244.4%63 W · 79 L-12.6wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-18.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xa354…b85fbacked Over66c227$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.187573.3%55 W · 20 L+20.9wins+0.28per pick45cpaid+62.3%equal weight73+0.21 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Over57c180$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.417648.3%85 W · 91 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Over57c180$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.416151.6%83 W · 78 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Over57c180$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.414950.3%75 W · 74 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over57c180$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.443255.6%240 W · 192 L+1.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Over57c160$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.811448.2%55 W · 59 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-7.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8c22…70a0backed Under42c146.85$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.832548%12 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Over57c140$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.219652%102 W · 94 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Over57c130$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.920949.8%104 W · 105 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Over57c120$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.621051.9%109 W · 101 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Over57c120$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.67951.9%41 W · 38 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Over57c120$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.620652.9%109 W · 97 L-0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Over57c120$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.611952.9%63 W · 56 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Over57c120$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.67045.7%32 W · 38 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Over57c120$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.619750.3%99 W · 98 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked Over57c120$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.69945.5%45 W · 54 L-7.7wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-15.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Over57c120$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.620250.5%102 W · 100 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Over57c120$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.611346.9%53 W · 60 L-6.9wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-10.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed Over57c120$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.619951.8%103 W · 96 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Over57c120$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.629053.4%155 W · 135 L-1.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10f7…26f0backed Under41c115$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.153240.6%13 W · 19 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick44cpaid+1.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a8e…b505backed Over51c106.69$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.725152.9%27 W · 24 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1941…c47fbacked Over57c100$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4319153.4%102 W · 89 L+0.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c2d…2570backed Over57c100$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4321151.7%109 W · 102 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Over22c100$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7823255.6%129 W · 103 L+18.5wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+17.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd4d1…086ebacked Over59c84.75$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.753033.3%10 W · 20 L-5.7wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-35.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x87ae…811bbacked Over60c83.33$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.33771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.23per pick48cpaid+56.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5631…bd3abacked Over30c83.33$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.337251.4%37 W · 35 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Over30c83.33$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.3314738.8%57 W · 90 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under43c80.63$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.6957252.1%298 W · 274 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa204…e66fbacked Over57c80$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.419553.3%104 W · 91 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x939d…3b3cbacked Over61c75$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.2522638.5%87 W · 139 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd056…f1bebacked Under70c70$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49825%2 W · 6 L-2.5wins-0.31per pick56cpaid-43.8%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xe601…c728backed Over57c70$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.112147.9%58 W · 63 L-8.1wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-11.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa408…d831backed Over59c67.64$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.73837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-24.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x102f…9b6ebacked Under41c65$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.651747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-19.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over53c60$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.228055%154 W · 126 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked Over57c60$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.819352.3%101 W · 92 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed Over57c60$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.89247.8%44 W · 48 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeb01…2783backed Over57c60$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.819152.4%100 W · 91 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x96f4…8081backed Over57c60$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.820054.5%109 W · 91 L-0.6wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8bdf…8adabacked Over57c60$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.810247.1%48 W · 54 L-7.4wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-12.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7cae…bf8abacked Over57c60$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.818853.2%100 W · 88 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9adf…3f2fbacked Over57c60$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.819155%105 W · 86 L+0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf99a…5487backed Over57c60$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.818852.7%99 W · 89 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9ea…810abacked Over57c60$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.819751.8%102 W · 95 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked Over57c60$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.810351.5%53 W · 50 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cac…f75cbacked Over57c60$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.8560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+19.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed Over57c60$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.89649%47 W · 49 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-5.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b82…2d2abacked Over57c60$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.819053.7%102 W · 88 L-0.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea2e…d695backed Over57c60$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.810045%45 W · 55 L-9.9wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-18.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4edd…b1a1backed Over57c60$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.89551.6%49 W · 46 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe6df…22a9backed Over57c60$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.815747.1%74 W · 83 L-9.2wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-14.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x07fc…7ac6backed Under43c58.89$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.32475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+39.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xda4f…65babacked Under44c57.57$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.283545.7%16 W · 19 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under34c55$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.783939.8%334 W · 505 L-21.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Over55c50$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.55448.1%26 W · 28 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb95e…c6d6backed Over59c50$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.518551.9%96 W · 89 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8217…4936backed Under43c49.03$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.0812156.2%68 W · 53 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcc36…1b11backed Under44c45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc758…8574backed Over34c44.12$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.1219544.1%86 W · 109 L+13.7wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+11.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfe6f…3224backed Over56c42.91$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.682060%12 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0c0…07d8backed Under41c42$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.221346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6c2…ba6ebacked Over48c41.83$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.838958.4%52 W · 37 L+9.9wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+26.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2bdf…56f5backed Over50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202548%12 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+15%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Under44c35.88$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.7720452.5%107 W · 97 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over57c34.66$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.961,65543.8%725 W · 930 L-22.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.