UFC · resolved market
UFC Fight Night: Sam Hughes vs. Piera Rodriguez (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x69796c183349928c7720b3a432b5cf0615c599fed5849e6556c6913e7fb7cdc7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Piera Rodriguezof Sam Hughes, Piera Rodriguez
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $342,015
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $342,015 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 219 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x44fd…b634backed Piera Rodriguez | 60c | 72,992$43,746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,246.05 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +5.1wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Sam Hughes | 42c | 55,644$23,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,294.67 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Sam Hughes | 34c | 49,218$16,688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,687.78 | 195 | 44.6%87 W · 108 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x649a…ff76backed Sam Hughes | 0c | 30,100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 14cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Piera Rodriguez | 57c | 22,500$12,823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,676.6 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12af…ff78backed Piera Rodriguez | 57c | 20,000$11,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,600 | 105 | 42.9%45 W · 60 L | -8.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…9b08backed Piera Rodriguez | 73c | 15,911$11,593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,317.87 | 291 | 51.9%151 W · 140 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed Sam Hughes | 40c | 15,588$6,273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,272.55 | 75 | 34.7%26 W · 49 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7966…6f94backed Piera Rodriguez | 57c | 14,000$7,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,019.97 | 72 | 38.9%28 W · 44 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Sam Hughes | 40c | 12,117$4,847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,846.6 | 116 | 57.8%67 W · 49 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Sam Hughes | 43c | 10,442$4,494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,494.4 | 75 | 28%21 W · 54 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe25b…0f1bbacked Piera Rodriguez | 57c | 10,000$5,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,300 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c9…396dbacked Sam Hughes | 43c | 7,000$3,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,010 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…6280backed Sam Hughes | 43c | 7,000$3,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,009.95 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Sam Hughes | 42c | 5,784$2,429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,429.1 | 162 | 44.4%72 W · 90 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed Piera Rodriguez | 66c | 5,372$3,529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,843 | 539 | 56.6%305 W · 234 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Sam Hughes | 43c | 5,159$2,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,218.35 | 96 | 36.5%35 W · 61 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Piera Rodriguez | 57c | 5,000$2,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,150 | 117 | 46.2%54 W · 63 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Sam Hughes | 43c | 4,795$2,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,075 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb31e…c120backed Sam Hughes | 43c | 3,571$1,518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,517.76 | 156 | 41%64 W · 92 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Piera Rodriguez | 59c | 3,306$1,953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,352.91 | 87 | 54%47 W · 40 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd72…b6c6backed Piera Rodriguez | 75c | 3,000$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea00…c1f1backed Sam Hughes | 43c | 2,100$903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$903 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf629…38d5backed Sam Hughes | 37c | 2,000$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee7…6760backed Sam Hughes | 40c | 1,800$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01ba…b77abacked Piera Rodriguez | 56c | 1,709$957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$751.87 | 222 | 59.5%132 W · 90 L | +15.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Piera Rodriguez | 56c | 1,691$947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744.28 | 145 | 51%74 W · 71 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2eb…83b2backed Sam Hughes | 30c | 1,683$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Piera Rodriguez | 57c | 1,650$936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$713.38 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Piera Rodriguez | 64c | 1,579$1,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.02 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Sam Hughes | 42c | 1,527$641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$641.25 | 67 | 38.8%26 W · 41 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Piera Rodriguez | 58c | 1,500$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -5.3wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Sam Hughes | 43c | 1,500$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -3.9wins | -0.21per pick | 33cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f0…c8a6backed Piera Rodriguez | 58c | 1,431$830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.03 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20a8…f004backed Piera Rodriguez | 70c | 1,326$928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.76 | 209 | 54.1%113 W · 96 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Piera Rodriguez | 63c | 1,274$803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.48 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Sam Hughes | 43c | 1,189$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.85 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 39cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb752…767dbacked Sam Hughes | 37c | 1,188$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.64 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x00ff…f7adbacked Sam Hughes | 44c | 1,136$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Piera Rodriguez | 62c | 1,131$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.4 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Piera Rodriguez | 62c | 1,125$698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.73 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Piera Rodriguez | 61c | 1,077$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.36 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…6c45backed Piera Rodriguez | 75c | 1,061$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.85 | 280 | 43.2%121 W · 159 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Piera Rodriguez | 63c | 1,053$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.31 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7762…309ebacked Piera Rodriguez | 59c | 900$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Piera Rodriguez | 57c | 852.51$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.58 | 117 | 61.5%72 W · 45 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Sam Hughes | 43c | 833.32$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.95 | 420 | 54%227 W · 193 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Sam Hughes | 40c | 806.51$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.86 | 180 | 38.9%70 W · 110 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ad…5bd4backed Sam Hughes | 25c | 799.99$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 208 | 37%77 W · 131 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Sam Hughes | 42c | 785.71$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 186 | 44.1%82 W · 104 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed Piera Rodriguez | 64c | 757$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.23 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e8…7953backed Piera Rodriguez | 57c | 701.75$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.75 | 186 | 47.3%88 W · 98 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1b…65d7backed Sam Hughes | 42c | 682.83$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.79 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Piera Rodriguez | 57c | 627.19$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.69 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72f5…5914backed Sam Hughes | 22c | 550.6$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.69 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…6f80backed Piera Rodriguez | 57c | 528.4$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.29 | 113 | 32.7%37 W · 76 L | -9.4wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Sam Hughes | 41c | 508.33$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.32 | 88 | 48.9%43 W · 45 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Sam Hughes | 43c | 500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Sam Hughes | 44c | 500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +9.2wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4889…e2d8backed Sam Hughes | 44c | 500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 356 | 64.6%230 W · 126 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Sam Hughes | 36c | 468$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.27 | 167 | 45.5%76 W · 91 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ddc…03c3backed Sam Hughes | 43c | 449.8$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.41 | 86 | 22.1%19 W · 67 L | -10.9wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0a…fe3abacked Piera Rodriguez | 59c | 434$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.14 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +4.8wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +23%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2b…34e4backed Piera Rodriguez | 71c | 379.98$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.27 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -23%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Piera Rodriguez | 68c | 367.7$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.51 | 201 | 39.8%80 W · 121 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e3…1080backed Piera Rodriguez | 72c | 351.49$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.1 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | -6.7wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Sam Hughes | 44c | 340.91$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 102 | 53.9%55 W · 47 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Sam Hughes | 42c | 332.18$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.43 | 155 | 40.6%63 W · 92 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0506…8c6abacked Piera Rodriguez | 63c | 315.8$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.8 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Piera Rodriguez | 57c | 300$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 141 | 44.7%63 W · 78 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc39…1564backed Sam Hughes | 43c | 300$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdb71…10cdbacked Sam Hughes | 35c | 288.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 515 | 33.6%173 W · 342 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a1…ea66backed Sam Hughes | 44c | 274.35$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.71 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.4wins | -0.26per pick | 49cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd73e…bb87backed Piera Rodriguez | 57c | 259.65$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.65 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0673…0c27backed Piera Rodriguez | 57c | 258$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.94 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 64cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51e6…80d2backed Sam Hughes | 43c | 240$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.2 | 139 | 40.3%56 W · 83 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Sam Hughes | 43c | 240$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.2 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -4.2wins | -0.26per pick | 32cpaid | -86.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x66df…7ea5backed Piera Rodriguez | 58c | 237.93$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.93 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5668…eababacked Sam Hughes | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d34…3406backed Sam Hughes | 44c | 225.46$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1709…c148backed Piera Rodriguez | 63c | 210.71$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.18 | 71 | 54.9%39 W · 32 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Piera Rodriguez | 58c | 206.9$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.9 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Sam Hughes | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe9…9c50backed Piera Rodriguez | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 76 | 71.1%54 W · 22 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fba…26dcbacked Piera Rodriguez | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7227…80cebacked Sam Hughes | 21c | 200$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1102…af36backed Sam Hughes | 43c | 180$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.4 | 487 | 49.1%239 W · 248 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Sam Hughes | 6c | 169.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.17 | 96 | 38.5%37 W · 59 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a68…98aebacked Piera Rodriguez | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 265 | 69.4%184 W · 81 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Sam Hughes | 43c | 156.57$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.39 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Sam Hughes | 43c | 150$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.77 | 148 | 27%40 W · 108 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c70…b25ebacked Piera Rodriguez | 63c | 142.81$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.81 | 113 | 64.6%73 W · 40 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf60…79c5backed Piera Rodriguez | 56c | 142.18$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.13 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 34cpaid | -82%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x809c…eca3backed Sam Hughes | 39c | 128.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf46…d123backed Sam Hughes | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Sam Hughes | 35c | 124.28$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.91 | 88 | 40.9%36 W · 52 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4c…dc70backed Sam Hughes | 45c | 120.99$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.45 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -54%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe013…1ddcbacked Sam Hughes | 44c | 120$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe23…e72bbacked Sam Hughes | 44c | 120$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.8 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe998…8347backed Sam Hughes | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.