MLB · resolved market

New York Yankees vs. Washington Nationals

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa6a65de3bd623f647d2ab8d63285c11769a724e67c75c828b7d0d1dd454abb97

Rebuilt 4 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Washington Nationalsof New York Yankees, Washington Nationals
Resolved: Mar 7, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $29,247

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,247 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

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Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in MLB
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xada5…db70backed New York Yankees	48c	8,532$4,116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,115.64	54	42.6%23 W · 31 L	-3.0wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	-4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Washington Nationals	50c	4,833$2,418 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,414.3	981	49.8%489 W · 492 L	-12.4wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed New York Yankees	50c	3,000$1,493 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,492.5	1,063	48.2%512 W · 551 L	-11.5wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6e3…6dfebacked Washington Nationals	54c	2,175$1,164 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,011.25	38	52.6%20 W · 18 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Washington Nationals	50c	1,870$932 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$937.59	57	50.9%29 W · 28 L	+2.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+10.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed New York Yankees	49c	1,534$752 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$751.88	14	57.1%8 W · 6 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8013…5b52backed Washington Nationals	53c	1,250$663 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$587.8	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.8wins	-0.13per pick	46cpaid	-33.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5555…2af1backed Washington Nationals	51c	1,234$629 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$604.66	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5bf6…5200backed Washington Nationals	57c	1,167$667 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$500.01	31	48.4%15 W · 16 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdab8…1bc7backed New York Yankees	47c	1,115$524 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$524.05	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-1.9wins	-0.21per pick	43cpaid	-68%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed New York Yankees	46c	978.91$449 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$449.47	2,389	43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L	-25.4wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9f5…3e7abacked Washington Nationals	54c	880$475 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$404.8	58	53.4%31 W · 27 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+12.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Washington Nationals	51c	825.49$421 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$404.49	21	47.6%10 W · 11 L	+1.0wins	+0.05per pick	43cpaid	+4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Washington Nationals	53c	521.12$277 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$243.93	555	41.4%230 W · 325 L	-26.7wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed New York Yankees	47c	402$188 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$188.13	86	44.2%38 W · 48 L	-5.0wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-26.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Washington Nationals	54c	378$205 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$173.36	95	38.9%37 W · 58 L	-4.3wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x39c6…0ac1backed Washington Nationals	55c	332.12$183 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$149.45	123	50.4%62 W · 61 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked New York Yankees	47c	322$152 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$151.86	103	53.4%55 W · 48 L	+5.6wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed Washington Nationals	53c	306.37$161 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$145.49	170	50%85 W · 85 L	+8.0wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e16…0127backed Washington Nationals	55c	273$149 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$123.75	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+1.2wins	+0.15per pick	48cpaid	+46.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Washington Nationals	52c	249.59$130 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$119.52	465	47.1%219 W · 246 L	+5.9wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf026…8df7backed New York Yankees	48c	249$118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118.28	77	50.6%39 W · 38 L	+2.8wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked New York Yankees	47c	200$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94	3,291	46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L	+20.9wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa80…f251backed New York Yankees	50c	200$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed New York Yankees	45c	199.99$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.5	852	35.8%305 W · 547 L	-23.9wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-25.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x011b…fcc3backed New York Yankees	47c	191.49$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	19	26.3%5 W · 14 L	-3.9wins	-0.21per pick	47cpaid	-40%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0f18…c9fdbacked Washington Nationals	53c	188.24$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$88.24	10	50%5 W · 5 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Washington Nationals	51c	173$88 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$84.77	310	38.4%119 W · 191 L	+9.7wins	+0.03per pick	35cpaid	+28.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Washington Nationals	55c	153.44$85 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$68.54	1,723	50.3%867 W · 856 L	+55.0wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x83a3…6292backed New York Yankees	54c	148.15$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	665	51.1%340 W · 325 L	-17.0wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked New York Yankees	47c	133$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.79	77	53.2%41 W · 36 L	+2.5wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xddf5…aaa3backed New York Yankees	48c	129.14$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.48	38	60.5%23 W · 15 L	+4.7wins	+0.12per pick	48cpaid	+26.1%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0x2942…a018backed New York Yankees	47c	127.66$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	133	51.9%69 W · 64 L	+2.6wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7200…9299backed Washington Nationals	53c	122.81$65 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.97	52	51.9%27 W · 25 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Washington Nationals	52c	122.19$63 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59.08	639	42.7%273 W · 366 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e98…110bbacked Washington Nationals	68c	110.29$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.29	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+1.3wins	+0.14per pick	41cpaid	+14.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x94a5…4eb8backed Washington Nationals	51c	100$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49	126	51.6%65 W · 61 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xda60…595cbacked Washington Nationals	50c	100$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50	33	48.5%16 W · 17 L	+0.9wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Washington Nationals	37c	100$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63	2,261	45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L	+57.4wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	+6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1683…6906backed New York Yankees	47c	100$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.3	37	35.1%13 W · 24 L	-5.4wins	-0.15per pick	50cpaid	-29%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Washington Nationals	49c	93$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.43	840	49.4%415 W · 425 L	+8.2wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x96a8…1932backed Washington Nationals	54c	92.78$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.78	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+1.3wins	+0.32per pick	43cpaid	+206.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Washington Nationals	51c	92.39$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.71	1,292	50.2%648 W · 644 L	+18.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdff8…3c8bbacked New York Yankees	47c	80$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.6	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	-2.4wins	-0.15per pick	52cpaid	-31.1%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed New York Yankees	43c	76.81$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.39	447	45.6%204 W · 243 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed New York Yankees	15c	68.36$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.03	547	15.9%87 W · 460 L	-40.7wins	-0.07per pick	23cpaid	-44.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5e33…e938backed New York Yankees	46c	54.35$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.22per pick	56cpaid	-46.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xec66…e58fbacked New York Yankees	47c	51.06$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	312	50%156 W · 156 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Washington Nationals	54c	50$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23	950	41.5%394 W · 556 L	-48.3wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Washington Nationals	47c	47$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.91	256	48%123 W · 133 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1031…e5bdbacked New York Yankees	53c	47$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.91	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.53per pick	53cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6dd5…11bbbacked Washington Nationals	55c	45.24$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.24	33	57.6%19 W · 14 L	+3.0wins	+0.09per pick	48cpaid	+11.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x973e…22ebbacked New York Yankees	47c	44.68$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	899	50.6%455 W · 444 L	-24.6wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked New York Yankees	46c	43.48$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	1,203	48.5%584 W · 619 L	-8.7wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4ca…1383backed Washington Nationals	45c	43$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.65	15	26.7%4 W · 11 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	25cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e31…5e8ebacked Washington Nationals	53c	41.32$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.42	13	69.2%9 W · 4 L	+2.4wins	+0.19per pick	50cpaid	+31.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed New York Yankees	45c	40.31$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.98	841	22.7%191 W · 650 L	-81.4wins	-0.10per pick	32cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc72e…656dbacked New York Yankees	50c	40.2$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	-1.2wins	-0.09per pick	55cpaid	-22.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x056c…5066backed Washington Nationals	34c	35.29$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.29	13	76.9%10 W · 3 L	+3.8wins	+0.29per pick	48cpaid	+86%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xe824…65b4backed Washington Nationals	53c	27.4$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.88	352	40.3%142 W · 210 L	-23.5wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Washington Nationals	43c	25$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.25	1,075	58.3%627 W · 448 L	-21.3wins	-0.02per pick	60cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x254c…7678backed Washington Nationals	56c	24$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.64	5	60%3 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.07per pick	67cpaid	-8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35de…0f24backed Washington Nationals	55c	23.89$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.75	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.45per pick	55cpaid	+81.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x74fe…8243backed Washington Nationals	55c	21.82$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.82	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+0.6wins	+0.10per pick	56cpaid	+20.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Washington Nationals	54c	20$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.2	5,234	56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L	+130.4wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x81c0…8b96backed New York Yankees	61c	17.89$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.85	17	82.4%14 W · 3 L	+3.9wins	+0.23per pick	60cpaid	+43.1%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

New York Yankees vs. Washington Nationals

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market