TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x96a8…1932

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
48
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: World Politics, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category World Politics at 56 out of 100; worst Tennis at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT2245.5%10 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggetsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.84
Bucks vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$58.24
Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 6.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+115.4%+$28.85
Devin Booker: Assists O/U 5.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Keyonte George: Assists O/U 5.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$55
Kawhi Leonard: Rebounds O/U 6.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+156.4%+$46.92
LeBron James: Assists O/U 6.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$34
LeBron James: Rebounds O/U 5.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$68.98
LeBron James: Points O/U 20.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+127.9%+$42.19
Tristan da Silva: Points O/U 8.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+150%+$75
James Harden: Rebounds O/U 4.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+31.6%+$15.79
Kawhi Leonard: Assists O/U 3.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+51.6%+$7.74
Kawhi Leonard: Points O/U 29.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+33.8%+$8.45
Myles Turner: Rebounds O/U 5.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$88.5
Isaiah Hartenstein: Assists O/U 4.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Derrick White: Assists O/U 6.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+124.2%+$37.27
Keyonte George: Points O/U 14.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$13.9
Keyonte George: Assists O/U 4.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Kristaps Porzingis: Points O/U 11.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+163.2%+$40.79
Aaron Nesmith: Points O/U 14.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$46
T.J. McConnell: Assists O/U 4.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$72
Jalen Johnson: Points O/U 23.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$61
All 22 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.32per pick43cpaid+206.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 19, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-16.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-43.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick36cpaid+60.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.75per pick25cpaid+366.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. ÍF Vestri: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.37
Spread: Qarabağ Ağdam FK (-2.5)backed ÍF Vestri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
All 2 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Atlanta United FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
New York City FC vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sevilla FC vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+96.4%+$24.05
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Angers SCO: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$33.89
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Cerezo Ōsaka win on 2026-04-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$3.94
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-05-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: CITA Kaizen vs Priority - Game 1 Winnerbacked CITA Kaizen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$44
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.