TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Fire Flux Esports vs NAVI Junior (BO3) - ESEA European Finals Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Fire Flux Esportsof Fire Flux Esports, NAVI Junior
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$36,774
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$37,997

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,774 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x29b5…cc6cbacked Fire Flux Esports66c12,492$8,232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,2615,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Fire Flux Esports66c6,624$4,365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,258.942,62451.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ab9…d821backed NAVI Junior34c2,514$844 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$843.634055%22 W · 18 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+12.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc746…3943backed NAVI Junior34c2,151$741 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$740.587548%36 W · 39 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6185…2965backed NAVI Junior36c1,704$609 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609.2814051.4%72 W · 68 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5fa2…6df9backed NAVI Junior36c1,596$579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$578.7116245.7%74 W · 88 L-7.1wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Fire Flux Esports66c1,371$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470.632,00953.9%1,082 W · 927 L+7.6wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x653e…bbc0backed NAVI Junior33c1,359$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448.3438739.5%153 W · 234 L-15.3wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed NAVI Junior34c1,203$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403.3538841.8%162 W · 226 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc386…386fbacked NAVI Junior35c1,050$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367.4725944.8%116 W · 143 L+12.2wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+30%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x048f…9992backed NAVI Junior1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105740%0 W · 574 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1db…efd7backed NAVI Junior33c854.01$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.5250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb209…b744backed NAVI Junior33c840.03$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.2929340.6%119 W · 174 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+21.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked NAVI Junior10c806.19$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.324,93337.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L-249.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked NAVI Junior31c742.28$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.343,45929.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L-279.9wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x206c…2b8dbacked NAVI Junior35c713.55$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.316744.8%30 W · 37 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde25…c0a5backed Fire Flux Esports66c702.29$464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.9722049.1%108 W · 112 L-8.2wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-4.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c9e…fbfdbacked NAVI Junior34c702.02$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24054543.5%237 W · 308 L-8.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ade…fb15backed NAVI Junior35c671.42$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.8319748.7%96 W · 101 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1032…4243backed NAVI Junior34c629.98$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.192231.8%7 W · 15 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-29.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe0e3…c760backed NAVI Junior35c628.57$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2207935.4%28 W · 51 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-12.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7e8…7953backed NAVI Junior34c591.87$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20040449.8%201 W · 203 L+1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb25…eb12backed Fire Flux Esports66c532.97$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.3350051.4%257 W · 243 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb21b…88f9backed NAVI Junior34c526.86$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.1547054%254 W · 216 L+12.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x18f3…0c20backed Fire Flux Esports64c500$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18026155.2%144 W · 117 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1448…e868backed NAVI Junior32c465.63$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1497138%27 W · 44 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-19.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed NAVI Junior9c429.16$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.791,57929.7%469 W · 1,110 L-86.9wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-39.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x31fd…e144backed NAVI Junior32c421.88$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13527544%121 W · 154 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x588d…3f41backed NAVI Junior35c366.34$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.2283543.6%364 W · 471 L-9.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54ea…f74abacked NAVI Junior34c351.4$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12025344.3%112 W · 141 L-7.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe075…bf89backed NAVI Junior34c350$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11917146.2%79 W · 92 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+23%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed NAVI Junior14c329.62$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.562,32645.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cb5…2d03backed NAVI Junior32c307.48$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.318240.2%33 W · 49 L-7.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-22%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1699…5d32backed NAVI Junior32c306.39$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.05771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.18per pick54cpaid+22.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x83c4…3212backed Fire Flux Esports67c298.51$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.5131761.2%194 W · 123 L+22.1wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+11.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x218b…625abacked NAVI Junior34c296.76$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.8322729.1%66 W · 161 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa55c…1066backed NAVI Junior34c295.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.4536649.5%181 W · 185 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b0c…d43abacked NAVI Junior33c270$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.146447.6%221 W · 243 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked NAVI Junior22c269.93$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.4475833.4%253 W · 505 L-48.9wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-31%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7d70…ae13backed NAVI Junior34c250$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$844045%18 W · 22 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8680backed NAVI Junior33c250$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.52,52243%1,085 W · 1,437 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ee4…ed67backed NAVI Junior35c243$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.0519340.4%78 W · 115 L-10.1wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-20.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcb3a…800bbacked NAVI Junior33c236.58$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.0730%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa487…9439backed NAVI Junior36c234.78$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.5215349.7%76 W · 77 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa72a…5685backed NAVI Junior35c227$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.4531241.3%129 W · 183 L-14.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6dea…e294backed NAVI Junior36c184$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.3335848.3%173 W · 185 L+9.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1035…6029backed NAVI Junior35c183.17$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.11650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc5a…5491backed NAVI Junior36c178.33$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.22751.9%14 W · 13 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed NAVI Junior34c166$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.4457641.1%237 W · 339 L-21.5wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd02a…4771backed NAVI Junior32c165.63$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5319245.8%88 W · 104 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4f7…ce36backed NAVI Junior32c159.64$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.08250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd95d…2ab5backed NAVI Junior36c155.56$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5632544.3%144 W · 181 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdd2…0abfbacked NAVI Junior32c151.88$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.67843.6%34 W · 44 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe3b0…b4d1backed Fire Flux Esports68c150$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4826650.8%135 W · 131 L+11.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+12%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd2ad…a700backed NAVI Junior32c150$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487152.1%37 W · 34 L+4.1wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+7.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xec8c…3bcdbacked NAVI Junior33c150$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.535131.1%109 W · 242 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb41e…26f6backed NAVI Junior35c142.86$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.26per pick46cpaid+106.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3601…ac81backed NAVI Junior34c140$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.61346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc263…1e83backed Fire Flux Esports66c132.41$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.2234750.7%176 W · 171 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Fire Flux Esports68c131.26$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421,26246.9%592 W · 670 L-34.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked NAVI Junior10c130$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.352,47334.6%855 W · 1,618 L-188.5wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xefa3…7585backed Fire Flux Esports67c129.11$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.0177351.2%396 W · 377 L+24.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc169…8677backed NAVI Junior34c121.18$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.21861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+21.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked NAVI Junior20c120.45$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.52,13642.9%916 W · 1,220 L-68.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Fire Flux Esports67c115.85$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.6559049.7%293 W · 297 L-31.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-13.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xad2c…4eecbacked NAVI Junior35c111.74$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.0351252.1%267 W · 245 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ff4…d731backed NAVI Junior32c109.72$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.1119840.9%81 W · 117 L-5.8wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x920a…29e0backed NAVI Junior34c106.39$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.057653.9%41 W · 35 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1f4…59eabacked NAVI Junior10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010428.8%30 W · 74 L+12.1wins+0.12per pick17cpaid+99.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2ca8…7e67backed NAVI Junior12c95.81$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1412343.9%54 W · 69 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7129…4517backed NAVI Junior33c95$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.11,07637.6%405 W · 671 L+34.0wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4cf8…043dbacked NAVI Junior36c94.87$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.151442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fa6…03ebbacked Fire Flux Esports66c94.21$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.0395642.6%407 W · 549 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5135…7217backed NAVI Junior33c92.64$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.151,62052.7%853 W · 767 L+57.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe9b…cbe5backed NAVI Junior35c88.57$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3144244.1%195 W · 247 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked NAVI Junior30c79.99$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.351,63043.2%704 W · 926 L-32.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x96a8…1932backed NAVI Junior33c75.76$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-16.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaef4…99d7backed Fire Flux Esports68c73.53$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.53977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.6wins+0.29per pick49cpaid+58.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xf7dd…12f0backed NAVI Junior21c72.75$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-37.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8f13…203abacked Fire Flux Esports67c72.46$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.919153.8%49 W · 42 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Fire Flux Esports41c68.97$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.691,59146.6%741 W · 850 L+30.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e46…8c1cbacked Fire Flux Esports62c63.75$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.5323654.7%129 W · 107 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed NAVI Junior18c61.21$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.912,46824.6%607 W · 1,861 L-317.8wins-0.13per pick37cpaid-51.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xc95e…102abacked NAVI Junior34c60.21$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.518755.2%48 W · 39 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Fire Flux Esports67c55$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.3449149.9%245 W · 246 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Fire Flux Esports67c54.61$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.061,61846.8%758 W · 860 L-28.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed NAVI Junior33c50$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.532845.1%148 W · 180 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed NAVI Junior33c48.33$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.9557641.5%239 W · 337 L-8.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6986…3369backed Fire Flux Esports69c46.93$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.789849%48 W · 50 L-6.2wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-5.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x234e…1160backed NAVI Junior34c44.99$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1541437%153 W · 261 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x08e0…f4a0backed Fire Flux Esports67c44.78$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.7883856.1%470 W · 368 L+31.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9444…048ebacked Fire Flux Esports65c42.16$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.7614751.7%76 W · 71 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa533…755fbacked NAVI Junior36c41.28$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.865350.9%27 W · 26 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8847…fc98backed NAVI Junior34c32.64$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.124840.7%101 W · 147 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde56…c2f9backed Fire Flux Esports65c28.31$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.9912844.5%57 W · 71 L-9.7wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-11.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0a16…9d73backed Fire Flux Esports69c24.37$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.538344.6%37 W · 46 L-6.5wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-15.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe26b…a9ecbacked Fire Flux Esports68c24.31$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.786761.2%41 W · 26 L+5.8wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+21.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6b86…5552backed Fire Flux Esports69c18.61$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.7716363.2%103 W · 60 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…331cbacked Fire Flux Esports78c18.52$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.078564.7%55 W · 30 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick69cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d87…df1dbacked Fire Flux Esports67c18.29$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.1217545.7%80 W · 95 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.