Tennis · resolved market
Pune: Alastair Gray vs Daniel Michalski
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf0855843ab380b985df1c44b1295b272f94d17607d0043d0b8985c3daf3c0b82
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Grayof Gray, Michalski
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $68,873
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $70,836
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,873 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 131 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4173…d3edbacked Michalski | 46c | 7,544$3,449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,449.27 | 556 | 46.4%258 W · 298 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Gray | 78c | 5,776$4,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,293.38 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Gray | 73c | 2,357$1,718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.58 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45d9…a89abacked Michalski | 24c | 2,087$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.99 | 111 | 23.4%26 W · 85 L | -8.2wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1359…6fdcbacked Michalski | 37c | 1,862$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Gray | 73c | 1,833$1,337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.58 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf4…ed22backed Gray | 49c | 1,362$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.63 | 184 | 47.3%87 W · 97 L | +16.7wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Gray | 59c | 1,312$771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.07 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Gray | 54c | 1,228$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.3 | 4,474 | 51.7%2,311 W · 2,163 L | +133.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Michalski | 42c | 1,190$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.79 | 1,161 | 37.6%437 W · 724 L | -27.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6aad…20aebacked Gray | 61c | 1,182$722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.86 | 524 | 60.9%319 W · 205 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb7…fb66backed Gray | 60c | 1,145$683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.24 | 562 | 44.1%248 W · 314 L | -21.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c7a…7625backed Gray | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 260 | 45.4%118 W · 142 L | -12.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Gray | 59c | 998$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.91 | 990 | 44.8%444 W · 546 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Michalski | 20c | 983.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,130 | 27.9%315 W · 815 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Gray | 61c | 938.86$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.58 | 4,650 | 48.2%2,242 W · 2,408 L | +31.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bcf…75c6backed Michalski | 36c | 730.24$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb31…7b95backed Michalski | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 680 | 26.2%178 W · 502 L | -24.5wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53f7…2544backed Michalski | 26c | 630.77$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc9…f0b3backed Michalski | 22c | 595.18$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 151 | 17.9%27 W · 124 L | -9.8wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5661…6323backed Michalski | 20c | 586.43$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.05 | 102 | 67.6%69 W · 33 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Michalski | 42c | 499.98$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.99 | 576 | 45.5%262 W · 314 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Michalski | 39c | 499.81$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.92 | 4,082 | 39.7%1,622 W · 2,460 L | +93.1wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7738backed Gray | 61c | 489.5$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.5 | 1,123 | 50.3%565 W · 558 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48ee…0db4backed Gray | 58c | 478.91$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.14 | 545 | 47.9%261 W · 284 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Michalski | 45c | 444$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.8 | 632 | 47.6%301 W · 331 L | -15.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Gray | 58c | 419$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.4 | 930 | 48.8%454 W · 476 L | +21.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Michalski | 35c | 407.08$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.22 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ceb…68e3backed Michalski | 46c | 405.08$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | -8.2wins | -0.10per pick | 67cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1f…6500backed Michalski | 48c | 400$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 692 | 49.6%343 W · 349 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a0…92dfbacked Michalski | 41c | 367.6$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.92 | 296 | 37.5%111 W · 185 L | -15.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd9…96f0backed Michalski | 30c | 347.54$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.49 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Michalski | 11c | 345.28$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.15 | 757 | 48.6%368 W · 389 L | +16.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Michalski | 42c | 337.43$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.74 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeed0…dd5ebacked Michalski | 48c | 337.05$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.63 | 109 | 43.1%47 W · 62 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Michalski | 27c | 310.78$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.12 | 6,840 | 48.8%3,341 W · 3,499 L | +58.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Michalski | 50c | 301.7$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 513 | 42.9%220 W · 293 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35ea…99bcbacked Gray | 71c | 300$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 240 | 60.8%146 W · 94 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Michalski | 46c | 296.73$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.5 | 659 | 49.3%325 W · 334 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Gray | 62c | 286.71$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.69 | 572 | 52.3%299 W · 273 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68c0…7e68backed Michalski | 44c | 279.67$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0c…9db8backed Gray | 56c | 277.61$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.37 | 244 | 54.9%134 W · 110 L | +12.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Michalski | 36c | 275.19$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.98 | 389 | 31.4%122 W · 267 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Michalski | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,107 | 43.5%481 W · 626 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…090cbacked Michalski | 40c | 249.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 133 | 56.4%75 W · 58 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd52…df69backed Michalski | 45c | 249.5$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.28 | 265 | 45.3%120 W · 145 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f14…4418backed Gray | 74c | 236.25$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…6405backed Michalski | 43c | 234.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55fc…8b73backed Michalski | 40c | 223.67$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd571…9f0abacked Michalski | 41c | 208.8$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed Michalski | 11c | 204.57$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.42 | 51 | 13.7%7 W · 44 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -36%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1039…2914backed Michalski | 44c | 202.89$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.6 | 289 | 64.4%186 W · 103 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8441…7925backed Gray | 56c | 198.27$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.49 | 93 | 47.3%44 W · 49 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8f…d351backed Michalski | 23c | 194.96$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +4.0wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2439…3ed7backed Gray | 61c | 184.15$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.15 | 129 | 54.3%70 W · 59 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Gray | 60c | 183.33$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.33 | 378 | 54%204 W · 174 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…6df7backed Michalski | 34c | 174.11$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.57 | 75 | 21.3%16 W · 59 L | -9.7wins | -0.13per pick | 34cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Gray | 62c | 172.95$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.22 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Michalski | 38c | 172.71$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.7 | 7,968 | 50.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L | +92.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa7…db93backed Gray | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 31 | 80.6%25 W · 6 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1605…124fbacked Gray | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54a2…5dfebacked Gray | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f97…a9b3backed Michalski | 23c | 160.87$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 262 | 27.9%73 W · 189 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Gray | 64c | 155.26$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.64 | 6,652 | 50.7%3,373 W · 3,279 L | +263.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7747…8d9bbacked Gray | 59c | 153.97$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.26 | 319 | 41.4%132 W · 187 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Gray | 74c | 143$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.54 | 737 | 45.2%333 W · 404 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa33b…fa01backed Gray | 77c | 142.98$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.98 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa6c…a67dbacked Michalski | 47c | 138.51$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.48 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -4.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f85…87d5backed Gray | 59c | 137.94$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.29 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6863…92b4backed Gray | 58c | 133$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.86 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked Gray | 61c | 131.36$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.67 | 122 | 45.1%55 W · 67 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Michalski | 40c | 125.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.34 | 277 | 33.6%93 W · 184 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7646…b2a1backed Michalski | 41c | 123.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 99 | 38.4%38 W · 61 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Michalski | 41c | 115.25$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.25 | 3,884 | 35%1,358 W · 2,526 L | +92.8wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Michalski | 35c | 110.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.71 | 6,512 | 54.5%3,546 W · 2,966 L | +289.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Michalski | 18c | 110.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.15 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed Gray | 57c | 108$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.44 | 866 | 47.9%415 W · 451 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked Gray | 43c | 107$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.03 | 205 | 54.6%112 W · 93 L | +13.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5425…8b3abacked Michalski | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Gray | 65c | 100.92$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.55 | 796 | 53%422 W · 374 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a63…b752backed Gray | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x91c0…e4ccbacked Michalski | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 515 | 39.8%205 W · 310 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7fe…f111backed Michalski | 53c | 96.04$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.8 | 69 | 63.8%44 W · 25 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x048b…cdb5backed Michalski | 40c | 95.53$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f7b…20bbbacked Michalski | 42c | 95.24$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…1c65backed Michalski | 42c | 95.24$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 106 | 48.1%51 W · 55 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Gray | 77c | 94$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.32 | 290 | 63.8%185 W · 105 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9384…8a95backed Michalski | 41c | 89.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.9 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8dc…aff7backed Gray | 54c | 87.04$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.04 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b4…73d1backed Michalski | 42c | 83.33$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f6…a5eebacked Gray | 57c | 78.35$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.55 | 599 | 54.9%329 W · 270 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x350e…6539backed Michalski | 41c | 66.88$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.42 | 137 | 50.4%69 W · 68 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5046…7676backed Gray | 59c | 66.41$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.17 | 20 | 80%16 W · 4 L | +3.2wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x25c0…c187backed Gray | 59c | 65.82$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.84 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79e9…80b1backed Michalski | 27c | 65$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 332 | 28.3%94 W · 238 L | -12.0wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd284…0473backed Michalski | 42c | 64$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04b0…02c6backed Michalski | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 80 | 7.5%6 W · 74 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa446…d9c6backed Michalski | 45c | 61.22$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.55 | 153 | 54.2%83 W · 70 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Michalski | 54c | 60.77$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 2,150 | 54.1%1,164 W · 986 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96a8…1932backed Michalski | 45c | 59.75$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pune: Alastair Gray vs Daniel Michalskithis page
- Gray vs. Michalski: Match O/U 22.5Over won
- Gray vs. Michalski: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.