TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9384…8a95

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
70
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Champions League, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 57 out of 100; worst NBA at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST1361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+10.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dubai Tennis Championships: Andrey Rublev vs Tallon Griekspoorbacked Andrey Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$27.95
Dubai Tennis Championships: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$27.6
Mexican Open: Rafael Jodar vs Cameron Norriebacked Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$102
Mexican Open: Valentin Vacherot vs Coleman Wongbacked Vacherot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+156.4%+$24.4
Dubai Tennis Championships: Stan Wawrinka vs Benjamin Hassanbacked Wawrinka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+33.3%+$11.79
Pune: Alastair Gray vs Daniel Michalskibacked Michalski · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$36.9
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships: Jessica Pegula vs Amanda Anisimovabacked Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+63.9%+$23.4
Delray Beach Open: Zachary Svajda vs Frances Tiafoebacked Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+58.7%+$34.03
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships: Iva Jovic vs Jessica Pegulabacked Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+44.9%+$9.3
Oeiras 2: Gabriela Knutson vs Ayana Aklibacked Knutson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$23.18
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships: Leylah Fernandez vs Janice Tjenbacked Tjen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+177.8%+$19.2
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships: Laura Siegemund vs Daria Kasatkinabacked Kasatkina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+72.4%+$11.97
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships: Gabriela Ruse vs Emma Navarrobacked Navarro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+26.6%+$2.87
All 13 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT120%0 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 30 to April 1, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.91
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$45
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$20.8
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$18.7
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$51
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$24
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$45.5
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$18.8
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$11.1
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$37.89
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$16.19
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$10.74
All 12 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.29per pick57cpaid+55%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Champions League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.15per pick43cpaid-29.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 25, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick6cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick33cpaid-55.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.41per pick26cpaid+247.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+15.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+87.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Everton FC vs. Manchester United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+132.6%+$27.84
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+42.9%+$30
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick17cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$39
Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+400%+$80
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-20.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Charleston Cougars vs. Campbell Fighting Camels: O/U 157.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$18.26
Gonzaga Bulldogs vs. Santa Clara Broncosbacked Santa Clara Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$25.58
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.77per pick23cpaid+334.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffsbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+334.8%+$36.26
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.51
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CD Nacional vs. FC Alverca end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Los Angeles FC vs. Inter Miami CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$10.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.8
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.