Tennis · resolved market
Oeiras 2: Gabriela Knutson vs Ayana Akli
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xed71e754e18a931f0cef1f0aa26f4cd9cc529f0ddc595524abbeb423adc0314e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Akliof Knutson, Akli
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $56,962
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,850
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,962 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbd52…df69backed Knutson | 68c | 10,251$6,969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,969.01 | 265 | 45.3%120 W · 145 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Akli | 77c | 9,638$7,467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,170.63 | 813 | 49.1%399 W · 414 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Knutson | 29c | 6,507$1,858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,857.93 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4173…d3edbacked Knutson | 41c | 4,830$2,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,001.88 | 556 | 46.4%258 W · 298 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Akli | 77c | 4,490$3,456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,033.54 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Akli | 40c | 4,283$1,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,562.9 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Akli | 60c | 1,057$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.97 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8348…de9fbacked Knutson | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Akli | 30c | 794.53$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.79 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Akli | 35c | 731.77$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.64 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Akli | 58c | 691.1$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.1 | 632 | 47.6%301 W · 331 L | -15.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa78e…b6c9backed Knutson | 32c | 654.67$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.42 | 118 | 65.3%77 W · 41 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Akli | 32c | 504.34$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.12 | 372 | 30.4%113 W · 259 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Knutson | 70c | 493.29$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.3 | 317 | 53.6%170 W · 147 L | +17.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Akli | 44c | 475$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.92 | 491 | 43%211 W · 280 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Knutson | 14c | 357.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,130 | 27.9%315 W · 815 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa005…6646backed Knutson | 31c | 325$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.42 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Akli | 26c | 307.41$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.48 | 761 | 40.6%309 W · 452 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Akli | 31c | 293.53$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.74 | 658 | 49.4%325 W · 333 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78d2…7a2bbacked Knutson | 12c | 287.82$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.57 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | -7.1wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…453dbacked Knutson | 15c | 271.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 95 | 43.2%41 W · 54 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Akli | 58c | 263.15$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.18 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd286…4c1bbacked Akli | 30c | 255.68$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.62 | 88 | 48.9%43 W · 45 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Knutson | 10c | 168.01$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 156 | 48.7%76 W · 80 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Akli | 31c | 161$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.09 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Akli | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 733 | 50.9%373 W · 360 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6aad…20aebacked Akli | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 524 | 60.9%319 W · 205 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Knutson | 16c | 145.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.35 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Knutson | 15c | 129$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.35 | 925 | 48.8%451 W · 474 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Akli | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 602 | 40.5%244 W · 358 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Akli | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Akli | 32c | 94.7$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.7 | 398 | 50%199 W · 199 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Knutson | 23c | 80$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 619 | 53.3%330 W · 289 L | +18.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b3f…8cd6backed Knutson | 15c | 75.07$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.26 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9384…8a95backed Knutson | 33c | 70$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.18 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae3…4dd4backed Knutson | 74c | 69.48$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.6 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d78…a4ccbacked Knutson | 66c | 59.09$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 330 | 55.8%184 W · 146 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7540…9827backed Akli | 78c | 57.97$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.97 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 69cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00a3…575cbacked Akli | 62c | 48.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.25 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Knutson | 53c | 47.07$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,615 | 50.6%817 W · 798 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Akli | 27c | 40.29$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.39 | 968 | 44.4%430 W · 538 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Akli | 32c | 37.97$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.91 | 160 | 46.9%75 W · 85 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Knutson | 67c | 32.25$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.61 | 781 | 52.8%412 W · 369 L | +21.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e85…788bbacked Knutson | 70c | 30.61$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.43 | 198 | 45.5%90 W · 108 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Knutson | 70c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 580 | 67.8%393 W · 187 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c34…2d7dbacked Akli | 77c | 29.57$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.72 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Knutson | 56c | 26.53$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeda8…7795backed Akli | 79c | 25.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe24…b0acbacked Akli | 73c | 20.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.44 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3873…dec8backed Knutson | 70c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 164 | 68.9%113 W · 51 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf69b…d240backed Knutson | 70c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 169 | 59.2%100 W · 69 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb846…b8d0backed Knutson | 66c | 18.03$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.