Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on June 19?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2fd3e1ea80618c600d5dd4ea078095884894b433ff43b0cc1af722fc7d420cc4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,267
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,405
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,267 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 151 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 0c | 2,866$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.37 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9384…8a95backed Yes | 1c | 999.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 6cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c7…5378backed Yes | 2c | 806.03$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef2…faa5backed Yes | 7c | 775.99$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.36 | 428 | 49.5%212 W · 216 L | +45.8wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +23%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x340c…f130backed Yes | 23c | 641.49$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.65 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe605…914fbacked Yes | 30c | 542.74$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 114 | 38.6%44 W · 70 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4c…631cbacked No | 74c | 500$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.29 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +3.5wins | +0.25per pick | 54cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1d72…9461backed Yes | 32c | 442.88$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.37 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 24c | 398.2$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.57 | 2,262 | 39.6%895 W · 1,367 L | -56.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 68c | 379.49$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.64 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…88edbacked Yes | 19c | 330$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.35 | 566 | 27.7%157 W · 409 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5331…3672backed No | 64c | 299.88$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.48 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked No | 64c | 287.98$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.42 | 695 | 20%139 W · 556 L | -44.4wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 73c | 283.6$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.02 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x363b…6ff7backed Yes | 57c | 264.53$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacb7…2ebbbacked Yes | 21c | 250$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.5 | 95 | 48.4%46 W · 49 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 53c | 249.65$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.12 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e03…bb77backed No | 50c | 205.63$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.51 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed Yes | 54c | 200.5$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.28 | 2,124 | 57.4%1,220 W · 904 L | +69.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc327…d803backed Yes | 19c | 193.19$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.57 | 401 | 32.9%132 W · 269 L | +24.7wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf707…e8cebacked No | 42c | 190$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.72 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 48c | 188$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.59 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 22c | 182.16$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.14 | 349 | 18.9%66 W · 283 L | +18.7wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…9044backed Yes | 53c | 179.77$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.06 | 89 | 20.2%18 W · 71 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…ba41backed No | 71c | 177$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.33 | 869 | 49.8%433 W · 436 L | -24.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c41…500dbacked Yes | 18c | 173.23$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.83 | 76 | 27.6%21 W · 55 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 42c | 172.13$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.03 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd5fb…b01bbacked Yes | 27c | 154.8$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.8 | 104 | 34.6%36 W · 68 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30d8…29ecbacked Yes | 21c | 154.24$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.92 | 86 | 36%31 W · 55 L | +10.3wins | +0.12per pick | 24cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5647…de1dbacked Yes | 23c | 143.48$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 479 | 35.3%169 W · 310 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0996…598dbacked No | 43c | 133.51$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.01 | 487 | 43.7%213 W · 274 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked Yes | 51c | 129.11$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.62 | 2,075 | 58.9%1,223 W · 852 L | +102.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 75c | 128.72$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.48 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc55…522bbacked Yes | 29c | 120.02$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.11 | 178 | 31.5%56 W · 122 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 67c | 114.95$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 1,428 | 52.1%744 W · 684 L | -21.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 71c | 110$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.45 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecc2…3eb6backed No | 46c | 109.83$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.83 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed Yes | 54c | 109.18$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.92 | 2,099 | 58.3%1,224 W · 875 L | +83.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bed…bf63backed No | 42c | 108.41$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.52 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54a0…4134backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 148 | 23%34 W · 114 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -26%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c54…02e9backed No | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9625…ec8ebacked No | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4c…ea41backed Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 710 | 31.5%224 W · 486 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61f7…f8debacked Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 287 | 42.5%122 W · 165 L | +24.3wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa37a…bc60backed No | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.5 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01e3…c67fbacked No | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc743…4cb7backed No | 70c | 97.88$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.82 | 98 | 48%47 W · 51 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd831…a71fbacked Yes | 23c | 95.1$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.57 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +80.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 29c | 95.01$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.25 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x017c…f8efbacked Yes | 35c | 84.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc176…5d01backed No | 72c | 84.67$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.67 | 104 | 63.5%66 W · 38 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec86…60e4backed Yes | 24c | 82.35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 1,163 | 38.2%444 W · 719 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8db4…9c07backed Yes | 54c | 81.29$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.54 | 92 | 39.1%36 W · 56 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed Yes | 26c | 81.13$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.14 | 2,065 | 56.3%1,163 W · 902 L | +56.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 50c | 79.28$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.03 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa8c…9169backed No | 45c | 79.14$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.14 | 402 | 65.9%265 W · 137 L | +31.7wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb4…a3d2backed Yes | 39c | 77.1$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ca…739abacked No | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -3.9wins | -0.15per pick | 73cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed Yes | 20c | 73.26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.47 | 2,118 | 58.2%1,233 W · 885 L | +78.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89b4…55bcbacked Yes | 21c | 72.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.28 | 930 | 34%316 W · 614 L | +53.0wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 48c | 71.69$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.39 | 1,525 | 52.6%802 W · 723 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…0484backed No | 43c | 71.33$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.66 | 161 | 29.2%47 W · 114 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc662…0927backed No | 54c | 71.2$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.75 | 1,190 | 57.9%689 W · 501 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85df…fb48backed Yes | 27c | 70.8$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.91 | 542 | 34.9%189 W · 353 L | -30.1wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed Yes | 49c | 69.38$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.96 | 2,093 | 57.1%1,196 W · 897 L | +71.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x567f…94b9backed Yes | 30c | 69.3$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.98 | 489 | 19.2%94 W · 395 L | -38.7wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…db5bbacked No | 44c | 67.61$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.61 | 1,275 | 36.5%465 W · 810 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcae…1ea8backed No | 68c | 67.51$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 101 | 47.5%48 W · 53 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7328…dbffbacked Yes | 23c | 65.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,122 | 24.4%274 W · 848 L | +24.8wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0294…76a0backed No | 70c | 64.64$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.71 | 152 | 46.1%70 W · 82 L | -10.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf23…0d5dbacked Yes | 24c | 59.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.19 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f8…0f11backed No | 48c | 57.46$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.61 | 966 | 20.7%200 W · 766 L | +59.8wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | +96.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32f0…c659backed No | 45c | 57$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.35 | 235 | 47.7%112 W · 123 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed Yes | 47c | 56.3$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.51 | 2,068 | 55.9%1,156 W · 912 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 40c | 55.06$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.18 | 1,543 | 60.5%934 W · 609 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fba…3adcbacked Yes | 31c | 55$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.06 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5579…2db1backed No | 70c | 54.39$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.32 | 138 | 52.9%73 W · 65 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06d6…44bcbacked Yes | 26c | 54.25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.11 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb427…4c62backed Yes | 24c | 50.97$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.04 | 223 | 50.7%113 W · 110 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 44c | 50.68$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.09 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x50b1…0793backed No | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 436 | 63.5%277 W · 159 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd221…4331backed No | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf722…4e1ebacked No | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9acf…0cc2backed Yes | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 229 | 45.4%104 W · 125 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x215b…8ec5backed Yes | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 153 | 34.6%53 W · 100 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57d8…a490backed No | 42c | 49.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8867…7683backed No | 68c | 49.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f42…cd3cbacked No | 66c | 49.98$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.99 | 128 | 51.6%66 W · 62 L | -13.1wins | -0.10per pick | 62cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 70c | 48.9$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.45 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 26c | 47.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.31 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27ab…e521backed No | 77c | 47.34$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.76 | 659 | 65.4%431 W · 228 L | -12.7wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf576…a786backed No | 64c | 47.3$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.03 | 376 | 69.4%261 W · 115 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 69cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe49f…b083backed Yes | 26c | 47.15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.26 | 188 | 37.2%70 W · 118 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed Yes | 52c | 45.33$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.41 | 2,102 | 56.5%1,188 W · 914 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe712…9a10backed No | 54c | 45$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.65 | 868 | 47.7%414 W · 454 L | +40.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa4…fc3dbacked Yes | 58c | 43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.94 | 277 | 56%155 W · 122 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51dd…4053backed No | 67c | 42.93$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.32 | 403 | 52.4%211 W · 192 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa259…6597backed No | 70c | 42$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 995 | 71.1%707 W · 288 L | +22.0wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd90e…03b6backed No | 71c | 41.31$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.98 | 1,148 | 49.6%569 W · 579 L | -34.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13de…fd91backed No | 71c | 41.18$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.94 | 755 | 46.1%348 W · 407 L | -32.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on June 19?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C or below on June 19?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 19?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 19?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 19?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 19?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on June 19?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C or higher on June 19?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.