TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x32f0…c659

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
272
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: China Taiwan, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category China Taiwan at 53 out of 100; worst Middle East at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT23547.7%112 W · 123 L+0.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 235 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on July 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$16.73
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on July 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.36
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.36
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.32
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on July 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.24
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C on July 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.08
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on July 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.08
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$12.88
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on July 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$13.92
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on July 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$13.91
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C or below on July 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.08
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on July 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.45
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on July 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on July 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.25
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on July 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.08
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on July 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$19.8
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on July 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.36
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.98
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$28.42
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$18.48
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 24°C on June 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.2
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.07
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 41°C on June 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.8
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on June 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$83.93
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on June 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$31.35
Showing 25 of 235 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-41.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on July 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.26
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on July 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.08
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on July 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.24
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on July 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.12
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on July 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.12
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on July 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$12.65
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.73
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C or higher on April 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$31.86
All 8 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick27cpaid-15.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-43.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$106.5
Will the DHS shutdown last 21 days or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$19.29
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+4.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: England (-1.5)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$11.76
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.94
Pistons vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.16
All 2 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Earnings — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Tweets — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+233.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
DeepSeek V4 released by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$35
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$15.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$38.18
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.