Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4ee4b7e1f4a8d75d90b8d434a4ab839b7fee6d537df4e31d770fcdfe8cdf7597
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yellow Submarineof Yellow Submarine, Team Nemesis
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $87,177
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $87,177 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 157 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Team Nemesis | 62c | 6,000$3,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,690 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed Yellow Submarine | 39c | 5,182$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,181.52 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed Yellow Submarine | 37c | 4,567$1,690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,877.36 | 426 | 50%213 W · 213 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38b0…060cbacked Yellow Submarine | 39c | 4,162$1,623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,538.68 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x098b…1fa5backed Team Nemesis | 63c | 3,500$2,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,205 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 43cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…0958backed Yellow Submarine | 38c | 3,500$1,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,169.99 | 134 | 41.8%56 W · 78 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Yellow Submarine | 40c | 2,971$1,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,782.87 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc40…89cfbacked Team Nemesis | 61c | 2,918$1,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,780.1 | 360 | 41.4%149 W · 211 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb64…bfdcbacked Team Nemesis | 54c | 2,484$1,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,352.91 | 236 | 53%125 W · 111 L | +12.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Team Nemesis | 15c | 2,363$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.09 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f40…e1f2backed Yellow Submarine | 38c | 2,168$824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,344.28 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | -7.0wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcccc…dbddbacked Team Nemesis | 61c | 1,929$1,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,169.1 | 199 | 43.2%86 W · 113 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Team Nemesis | 61c | 1,922$1,181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,180.62 | 605 | 42.6%258 W · 347 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Team Nemesis | 23c | 1,808$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.41 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Yellow Submarine | 39c | 1,750$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,067.49 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Yellow Submarine | 65c | 1,603$1,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.82 | 345 | 44.3%153 W · 192 L | -15.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09d5…3926backed Yellow Submarine | 64c | 1,585$1,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.42 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe93c…d9c7backed Team Nemesis | 36c | 1,583$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Yellow Submarine | 57c | 1,526$871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654.79 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa3…172fbacked Team Nemesis | 62c | 1,501$931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930.62 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Yellow Submarine | 70c | 1,329$935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.85 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb43…844bbacked Team Nemesis | 60c | 1,260$756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$756 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7c…5a30backed Yellow Submarine | 64c | 1,242$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.6 | 95 | 44.2%42 W · 53 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2564…d109backed Team Nemesis | 38c | 1,212$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.6 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.4wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -68.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3b89…1069backed Yellow Submarine | 62c | 1,170$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.6 | 156 | 53.8%84 W · 72 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e35…8ca4backed Team Nemesis | 63c | 1,136$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.19 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e64…89c3backed Team Nemesis | 38c | 1,065$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d33…7287backed Team Nemesis | 43c | 1,043$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x506b…3f70backed Yellow Submarine | 55c | 1,030$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.22 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed Yellow Submarine | 48c | 879.04$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.46 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a06…31d8backed Yellow Submarine | 48c | 833.33$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.33 | 416 | 55.3%230 W · 186 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x860e…a06dbacked Team Nemesis | 52c | 776.49$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.85 | 164 | 40.2%66 W · 98 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4255…1792backed Yellow Submarine | 39c | 739.46$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.38 | 137 | 31.4%43 W · 94 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Team Nemesis | 6c | 711.15$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 20cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Team Nemesis | 61c | 700$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Yellow Submarine | 64c | 646.31$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.67 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e06…95d1backed Team Nemesis | 61c | 608.16$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.38 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2911…2a0dbacked Team Nemesis | 23c | 601.74$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.74 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…ef07backed Yellow Submarine | 38c | 526.32$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.32 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Team Nemesis | 62c | 506.27$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.89 | 485 | 39.2%190 W · 295 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Team Nemesis | 4c | 471$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.44 | 141 | 21.3%30 W · 111 L | -10.5wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked Team Nemesis | 61c | 433.77$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.99 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x249f…fed3backed Yellow Submarine | 47c | 423.48$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.8 | 626 | 50.5%316 W · 310 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa53e…f9f6backed Team Nemesis | 51c | 406.74$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.01 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked Team Nemesis | 62c | 400$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248 | 210 | 45.7%96 W · 114 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe704…b250backed Yellow Submarine | 69c | 373.42$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.81 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | -7.7wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…2fe4backed Team Nemesis | 61c | 327$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.47 | 148 | 49.3%73 W · 75 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc093…de0ebacked Team Nemesis | 62c | 317.95$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.15 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x07fa…f5cdbacked Team Nemesis | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 462 | 40.7%188 W · 274 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec8a…94b3backed Team Nemesis | 4c | 317.06$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b64…eaf4backed Team Nemesis | 61c | 316.7$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.75 | 177 | 40.7%72 W · 105 L | -11.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea8…b084backed Yellow Submarine | 37c | 298.51$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.06 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed Team Nemesis | 63c | 280$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.4 | 335 | 41.2%138 W · 197 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ad8…bfaebacked Team Nemesis | 5c | 278.94$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1e…d5dfbacked Yellow Submarine | 61c | 230$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.5 | 126 | 54.8%69 W · 57 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6cc8…67f7backed Yellow Submarine | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 191 | 62.8%120 W · 71 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Team Nemesis | 29c | 219.07$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.03 | 98 | 37.8%37 W · 61 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed Team Nemesis | 62c | 218.64$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.55 | 360 | 54.4%196 W · 164 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0c…3ccebacked Yellow Submarine | 80c | 218.36$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.67 | 81 | 32.1%26 W · 55 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0133…64bcbacked Yellow Submarine | 64c | 215.63$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.63 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ebb…7e02backed Team Nemesis | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.9wins | +0.32per pick | 46cpaid | +79.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yellow Submarine | 78c | 198.44$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.32 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Yellow Submarine | 73c | 188.86$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.44 | 772 | 56.5%436 W · 336 L | +30.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…6df7backed Yellow Submarine | 62c | 186.42$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.27 | 127 | 20.5%26 W · 101 L | -22.6wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Team Nemesis | 60c | 177.54$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.73 | 713 | 42.5%303 W · 410 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87b8…29dcbacked Team Nemesis | 60c | 170$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed Team Nemesis | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 106 | 59.4%63 W · 43 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf44…0bbdbacked Team Nemesis | 61c | 161.22$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.34 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb97e…262bbacked Yellow Submarine | 65c | 154.51$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.51 | 526 | 49.2%259 W · 267 L | +21.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Team Nemesis | 21c | 154.03$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.68 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…fd05backed Team Nemesis | 63c | 152.38$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | +7.7wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Yellow Submarine | 37c | 150$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.5 | 171 | 33.9%58 W · 113 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team Nemesis | 55c | 143.19$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.43 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c56…3656backed Yellow Submarine | 37c | 140$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +171.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Team Nemesis | 62c | 138.96$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.16 | 152 | 50%76 W · 76 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfff9…2dadbacked Yellow Submarine | 37c | 134$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.42 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +105.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9332…a3dbbacked Team Nemesis | 38c | 131.36$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 760 | 48.6%369 W · 391 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yellow Submarine | 68c | 102.75$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21b8…e260backed Team Nemesis | 61c | 100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38df…4609backed Team Nemesis | 62c | 100$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc757…6072backed Team Nemesis | 63c | 100$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Yellow Submarine | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 410 | 50.2%206 W · 204 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf69…4fa2backed Team Nemesis | 62c | 100$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 536 | 34%182 W · 354 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2cc…893cbacked Team Nemesis | 47c | 98.07$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.21 | 243 | 43.6%106 W · 137 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…bc8dbacked Team Nemesis | 25c | 91.25$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 374 | 41.2%154 W · 220 L | -17.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81c0…8b96backed Yellow Submarine | 60c | 91$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.76 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 62cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2062…6be2backed Team Nemesis | 38c | 87.86$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32f0…c659backed Team Nemesis | 23c | 87$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Team Nemesis | 60c | 85$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 187 | 39%73 W · 114 L | -9.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Yellow Submarine | 37c | 81.08$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.08 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Yellow Submarine | 40c | 80$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.4 | 136 | 36%49 W · 87 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…a51abacked Yellow Submarine | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 366 | 54.1%198 W · 168 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc209…7924backed Yellow Submarine | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 507 | 57.4%291 W · 216 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Team Nemesis | 61c | 75.31$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.69 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79c9…b2f1backed Team Nemesis | 62c | 75.25$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.7 | 84 | 32.1%27 W · 57 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Yellow Submarine | 38c | 74.03$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.93 | 229 | 45.9%105 W · 124 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca2…4c35backed Team Nemesis | 41c | 73.2$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.01 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95c8…3469backed Team Nemesis | 64c | 70.31$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 215 | 51.6%111 W · 104 L | +10.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67a1…75abbacked Team Nemesis | 16c | 70$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.14 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Team Nemesis | 61c | 65$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.65 | 502 | 47.6%239 W · 263 L | +31.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagethis page
- Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Team Nemesis - Game 1 WinnerYellow Submarine won
- Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Team Nemesis - Game 2 WinnerYellow Submarine won
- Game Handicap: Nem (-1.5) vs Yellow Submarine (+1.5)Yellow Submarine won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.