Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0ddf213ae08e6d2e5c50641ac9889e571c821ca1afdee69de0113ff22a84f0d3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,365
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,129
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,365 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 133 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xda33…daccbacked No | 3c | 1,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked No | 61c | 822.14$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.36 | 2,877 | 55.3%1,590 W · 1,287 L | -59.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked Yes | 41c | 809.42$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.04 | 2,267 | 18%407 W · 1,860 L | -9.5wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 37c | 508.04$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.44 | 1,991 | 52.3%1,042 W · 949 L | -76.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c57…372dbacked Yes | 45c | 502.97$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.31 | 1,531 | 24.2%371 W · 1,160 L | +15.4wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed No | 46c | 496.8$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.44 | 496 | 46%228 W · 268 L | +16.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf421…efcebacked Yes | 38c | 464.36$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.14 | 428 | 20.1%86 W · 342 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 57c | 393.55$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.45 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1917…138bbacked No | 48c | 391.43$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.53 | 337 | 46.9%158 W · 179 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 58c | 317$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.53 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked Yes | 62c | 314.05$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.1 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f74…8774backed Yes | 32c | 310$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.61 | 212 | 36.8%78 W · 134 L | +14.2wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…ea54backed No | 42c | 301.98$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.53 | 284 | 41.2%117 W · 167 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes | 41c | 300$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.31 | 4,496 | 19.6%882 W · 3,614 L | +49.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0840…cb52backed Yes | 42c | 281.29$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.22 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa8c…9169backed No | 12c | 277.67$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.73 | 402 | 65.9%265 W · 137 L | +31.7wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf40f…c3bcbacked No | 15c | 274.12$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 36 | 11.1%4 W · 32 L | -4.1wins | -0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xed01…89b7backed Yes | 62c | 266.03$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.09 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f77…4b79backed Yes | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.9 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe605…914fbacked Yes | 47c | 237.49$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.08 | 114 | 38.6%44 W · 70 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 31c | 236.46$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec86…60e4backed Yes | 22c | 226.41$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.59 | 1,163 | 38.2%444 W · 719 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 19c | 220.52$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.95 | 1,428 | 52.1%744 W · 684 L | -21.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…88edbacked Yes | 32c | 220$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.4 | 566 | 27.7%157 W · 409 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5fb…b01bbacked No | 68c | 219.88$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 104 | 34.6%36 W · 68 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 71c | 207.9$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.37 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ebb…405abacked No | 59c | 193$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.65 | 790 | 40.9%323 W · 467 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 55c | 186.75$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.71 | 2,302 | 26.9%620 W · 1,682 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51ad…2061backed No | 21c | 186.14$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c41…500dbacked Yes | 18c | 183.31$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.55 | 76 | 27.6%21 W · 55 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2299…493bbacked No | 38c | 181.06$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.8 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed No | 63c | 178.46$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.58 | 3,065 | 53.7%1,647 W · 1,418 L | -97.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x759d…cc80backed No | 57c | 162$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.34 | 778 | 51.9%404 W · 374 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 29c | 154.35$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.86 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x899c…d868backed No | 15c | 150$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49c2…93d0backed No | 14c | 149.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 16c | 140.96$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.41 | 349 | 18.9%66 W · 283 L | +18.7wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 77c | 140.38$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.17 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f1c…ebffbacked No | 12c | 138.83$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.01 | 134 | 61.2%82 W · 52 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 21c | 135.13$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.13 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x326c…ef55backed No | 53c | 130.09$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.34 | 153 | 45.1%69 W · 84 L | -11.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 59c | 128$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.09 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 35c | 126.49$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.51 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x378d…a852backed Yes | 40c | 125$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 55c | 123.22$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.72 | 1,525 | 52.6%802 W · 723 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed No | 68c | 119.2$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.93 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd879…2f44backed No | 17c | 116.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75cc…6b15backed No | 44c | 116.89$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.28 | 1,181 | 49.4%583 W · 598 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebdb…5ac4backed No | 43c | 108.51$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.43 | 850 | 49.8%423 W · 427 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb033…4f19backed No | 56c | 103.63$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.96 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 74c | 100.49$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.06 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed No | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 2,530 | 50.4%1,275 W · 1,255 L | -48.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34c4…9c93backed No | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba3…737cbacked No | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0294…76a0backed No | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 152 | 46.1%70 W · 82 L | -10.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xacb7…2ebbbacked Yes | 27c | 99.99$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 95 | 48.4%46 W · 49 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad2…7e40backed Yes | 17c | 99.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.99 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 9cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4c…ea41backed Yes | 23c | 99.85$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.18 | 710 | 31.5%224 W · 486 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb427…4c62backed Yes | 21c | 98.14$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.25 | 223 | 50.7%113 W · 110 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 57c | 97.61$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.21 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 56c | 92.28$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.33 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 71c | 89.65$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.55 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd90e…03b6backed No | 60c | 86.41$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.85 | 1,148 | 49.6%569 W · 579 L | -34.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1a…1e6dbacked Yes | 20c | 85$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.23 | 1,359 | 30.2%411 W · 948 L | -92.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbc51…b9e8backed Yes | 40c | 83.95$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.19 | 101 | 34.7%35 W · 66 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3a…3df7backed No | 66c | 81.78$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.77 | 452 | 53.3%241 W · 211 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd221…4331backed No | 52c | 80.09$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.83 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36ff…f2a6backed Yes | 26c | 75.76$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.89 | 621 | 37.7%234 W · 387 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf23…0d5dbacked Yes | 22c | 75$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.88 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7328…dbffbacked Yes | 17c | 74.77$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.37 | 1,122 | 24.4%274 W · 848 L | +24.8wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c33…38c9backed Yes | 22c | 70$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.6 | 247 | 32%79 W · 168 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc55…522bbacked Yes | 22c | 70$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.65 | 178 | 31.5%56 W · 122 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32f0…c659backed No | 41c | 68.46$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.07 | 235 | 47.7%112 W · 123 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…b3e4backed No | 50c | 67.97$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.26 | 165 | 50.3%83 W · 82 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f4a…f61bbacked No | 61c | 65.36$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 545 | 47.7%260 W · 285 L | -18.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb86b…aabfbacked No | 60c | 61.39$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.83 | 158 | 68.4%108 W · 50 L | +12.7wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 63c | 59.13$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.17 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xb911…d6d0backed Yes | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.14 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 42c | 55.98$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.53 | 2,626 | 54%1,418 W · 1,208 L | -56.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…5ab3backed No | 74c | 54.32$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.32 | 438 | 48.6%213 W · 225 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397c…ca1bbacked Yes | 29c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.5 | 1,285 | 32.8%422 W · 863 L | +24.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,928 | 53.5%1,032 W · 896 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f52…3785backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9625…ec8ebacked No | 59c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50b1…0793backed No | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 436 | 63.5%277 W · 159 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89cc…9e01backed No | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4f…1f77backed Yes | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 71cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcae…1ea8backed No | 59c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 101 | 47.5%48 W · 53 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3e…2c6bbacked No | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 188 | 14.4%27 W · 161 L | -14.7wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed Yes | 75c | 49.24$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.36 | 2,099 | 58.3%1,224 W · 875 L | +83.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5219…7f31backed No | 59c | 49$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.91 | 353 | 44.5%157 W · 196 L | -18.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3b…ae48backed Yes | 41c | 48.93$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.93 | 250 | 58.4%146 W · 104 L | +22.6wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed Yes | 36c | 48.4$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.06 | 3,479 | 53%1,845 W · 1,634 L | +72.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2868…9b6bbacked Yes | 43c | 47.27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.94 | 165 | 43.6%72 W · 93 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70c4…1008backed No | 57c | 47$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.79 | 333 | 50.2%167 W · 166 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x657c…0969backed No | 44c | 46.73$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.56 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98d1…019abacked Yes | 26c | 46.15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.15 | 255 | 36.9%94 W · 161 L | +17.3wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x658e…2914backed No | 77c | 45$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.65 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe422…4d64backed No | 61c | 45$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.45 | 2,065 | 43.6%900 W · 1,165 L | -11.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x558e…ec99backed No | 74c | 42.65$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.56 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 20?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C or below on June 20?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on June 20?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 20?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 20?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 20?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 20?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 20?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 20?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on June 20?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.