Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd3ae580b0d0ddd4a8e34af7fbdd7993a3f87f3d8fd63e3ac851831f0b9d39c41
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,648
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,952
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,648 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2c57…372dbacked Yes | 29c | 661.36$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.57 | 1,531 | 24.2%371 W · 1,160 L | +15.4wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 71c | 562.59$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.46 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…ea54backed Yes | 26c | 407.18$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.94 | 284 | 41.2%117 W · 167 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e9…02babacked Yes | 31c | 299.97$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.96 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe605…914fbacked Yes | 27c | 287.68$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.42 | 114 | 38.6%44 W · 70 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed01…89b7backed Yes | 27c | 266.02$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.3 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e9…0208backed Yes | 38c | 264.94$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.41 | 89 | 47.2%42 W · 47 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ad…2061backed Yes | 15c | 258.18$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf40f…c3bcbacked Yes | 14c | 232.9$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.45 | 36 | 11.1%4 W · 32 L | -4.1wins | -0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 25c | 219.74$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.5 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 72c | 217.82$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.97 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06d6…44bcbacked Yes | 13c | 208.42$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.84 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 72c | 207.9$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.6 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5fb…b01bbacked Yes | 26c | 200$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.27 | 104 | 34.6%36 W · 68 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff67…a1c9backed Yes | 14c | 199.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x567f…94b9backed Yes | 26c | 192.08$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.78 | 489 | 19.2%94 W · 395 L | -38.7wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xec86…60e4backed Yes | 27c | 191.69$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.34 | 1,163 | 38.2%444 W · 719 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…88edbacked Yes | 30c | 187.39$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.69 | 566 | 27.7%157 W · 409 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c41…500dbacked Yes | 29c | 186.8$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.01 | 76 | 27.6%21 W · 55 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 13c | 186.76$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.28 | 2,302 | 26.9%620 W · 1,682 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 76c | 174.64$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.97 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked Yes | 35c | 145.01$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.25 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5470…0af7backed No | 69c | 144.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.86 | 328 | 72%236 W · 92 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 73cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34cb…7588backed Yes | 11c | 141.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.09 | 92 | 33.7%31 W · 61 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5042…f296backed Yes | 26c | 140$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.66 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94b1…27cbbacked No | 73c | 139.94$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.67 | 975 | 70.6%688 W · 287 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 25c | 136.22$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.32 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 74c | 133.97$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.99 | 2,495 | 69.9%1,744 W · 751 L | +80.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed No | 75c | 133.55$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.04 | 421 | 60.6%255 W · 166 L | -25.0wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc24f…81d3backed No | 75c | 132.65$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.68 | 985 | 71%699 W · 286 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca07…6269backed No | 74c | 130.38$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 716 | 49.4%354 W · 362 L | -18.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x378d…a852backed Yes | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 68c | 124.33$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.75 | 1,525 | 52.6%802 W · 723 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked Yes | 26c | 123.42$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.41 | 4,514 | 52.9%2,389 W · 2,125 L | +47.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 30c | 120$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 349 | 18.9%66 W · 283 L | +18.7wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35e6…7a4dbacked No | 70c | 119.94$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.28 | 1,699 | 60.6%1,029 W · 670 L | -24.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 70c | 117.78$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.17 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 76c | 116.9$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.27 | 1,991 | 52.3%1,042 W · 949 L | -76.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacb7…2ebbbacked Yes | 26c | 115.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 95 | 48.4%46 W · 49 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2be…ff33backed No | 71c | 111.4$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.31 | 1,203 | 48.9%588 W · 615 L | -24.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf421…efcebacked Yes | 41c | 109.21$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.59 | 428 | 20.1%86 W · 342 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 72c | 105.23$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.11 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb427…4c62backed Yes | 28c | 102.85$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.71 | 223 | 50.7%113 W · 110 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ed…156fbacked Yes | 24c | 101.8$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.43 | 123 | 51.2%63 W · 60 L | -9.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b8…6983backed Yes | 26c | 101.3$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.78 | 874 | 37.3%326 W · 548 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4476…c5fcbacked No | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 425 | 47.5%202 W · 223 L | -16.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85df…fb48backed No | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 542 | 34.9%189 W · 353 L | -30.1wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x326c…ef55backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 153 | 45.1%69 W · 84 L | -11.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4c…ea41backed Yes | 30c | 99.97$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 710 | 31.5%224 W · 486 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe775…01d2backed Yes | 11c | 92$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 96 | 46.9%45 W · 51 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 77c | 91.99$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.44 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 75c | 89.66$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.26 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 21c | 85.53$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.28 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc55…522bbacked Yes | 29c | 85$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.45 | 178 | 31.5%56 W · 122 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked Yes | 16c | 83.94$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.07 | 2,075 | 58.9%1,223 W · 852 L | +102.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12ea…a131backed No | 75c | 83.55$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.92 | 985 | 65.1%641 W · 344 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 28c | 79.23$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.88 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x272e…6e99backed Yes | 33c | 77.92$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.65 | 167 | 24.6%41 W · 126 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b3…9bc4backed Yes | 33c | 77.55$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.81 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36ff…f2a6backed Yes | 25c | 73$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.52 | 621 | 37.7%234 W · 387 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54a0…4134backed Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 148 | 23%34 W · 114 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -26%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c33…38c9backed Yes | 30c | 70$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 247 | 32%79 W · 168 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06a3…fa45backed Yes | 15c | 65.65$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 156 | 60.9%95 W · 61 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7da0…ca1ebacked Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2299…493bbacked Yes | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x017c…f8efbacked Yes | 30c | 60$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c11…33c9backed No | 75c | 60$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 896 | 61.7%553 W · 343 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50c8…f649backed Yes | 28c | 59.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.65 | 199 | 47.7%95 W · 104 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9cc…59abbacked No | 73c | 55.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.14 | 688 | 67.2%462 W · 226 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0294…76a0backed Yes | 32c | 50.86$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.22 | 152 | 46.1%70 W · 82 L | -10.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7faa…c757backed Yes | 27c | 50.79$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.74 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 76c | 50.62$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.15 | 1,928 | 53.5%1,032 W · 896 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397c…ca1bbacked Yes | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 1,285 | 32.8%422 W · 863 L | +24.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x655c…1a00backed Yes | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 361 | 50.4%182 W · 179 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5219…7f31backed Yes | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 353 | 44.5%157 W · 196 L | -18.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1414…866abacked Yes | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4af9…3144backed Yes | 32c | 49.93$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.98 | 219 | 50.7%111 W · 108 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33e8…dc93backed Yes | 29c | 48.56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 239 | 41.4%99 W · 140 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb86b…aabfbacked Yes | 38c | 46.46$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.65 | 158 | 68.4%108 W · 50 L | +12.7wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x558e…ec99backed No | 74c | 46.34$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.28 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7328…dbffbacked Yes | 23c | 46.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 1,122 | 24.4%274 W · 848 L | +24.8wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3a…3df7backed Yes | 33c | 46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 452 | 53.3%241 W · 211 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2c…0a2cbacked No | 75c | 45.19$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 1,550 | 56.7%879 W · 671 L | -83.2wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 68c | 44.11$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8971…809dbacked No | 71c | 43.96$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.72 | 1,959 | 46%901 W · 1,058 L | -51.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd34c…f04cbacked Yes | 25c | 43.14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 673 | 36.1%243 W · 430 L | -48.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x997a…4cbebacked Yes | 29c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 195 | 65.6%128 W · 67 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…b3e4backed No | 67c | 39.99$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.34 | 165 | 50.3%83 W · 82 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5500…b4f6backed No | 66c | 39.52$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 175 | 36%63 W · 112 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 75c | 39$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 2,099 | 58.3%1,224 W · 875 L | +83.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3811…736cbacked No | 69c | 38.55$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.95 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -4.4wins | -0.44per pick | 64cpaid | -71.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…5ab3backed No | 71c | 30.56$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.77 | 438 | 48.6%213 W · 225 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd6e…8115backed No | 72c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d77…a694backed No | 60c | 29.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 1,160 | 57.3%665 W · 495 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x658e…2914backed No | 75c | 29$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.17 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…1b7ebacked No | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 1,385 | 65.8%911 W · 474 L | +62.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd84…0fe5backed No | 69c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.75 | 515 | 68%350 W · 165 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf29e…1352backed No | 64c | 23.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.44 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c9e…8d54backed No | 76c | 23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.52 | 276 | 69.2%191 W · 85 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 72cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8a…74b1backed No | 75c | 22.76$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.76 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 20?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C or below on June 20?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on June 20?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 20?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 20?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 20?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 20?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 20?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 20?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on June 20?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.