Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on July 10?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7291408c47682a426884eacc727b72aa4204e45dc43f1ce93732ed817cb8c299
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,367
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,743
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,367 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 54c | 339.93$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.4 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 52c | 328.67$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.63 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 17c | 261.39$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.45 | 2,302 | 26.9%620 W · 1,682 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 56c | 240.92$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.14 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x802d…d59abacked Yes | 48c | 240$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.4 | 1,298 | 41.7%541 W · 757 L | +53.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21f4…81a6backed No | 10c | 199.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 115 | 19.1%22 W · 93 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4035…206dbacked Yes | 49c | 195.82$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.87 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.23per pick | 55cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 67c | 150.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.53 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 17c | 145.81$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.27 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x6120…f1febacked Yes | 45c | 133.32$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.33 | 827 | 42.8%354 W · 473 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 43c | 127.62$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.35 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked Yes | 46c | 127.24$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.02 | 4,514 | 52.9%2,389 W · 2,125 L | +47.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0739…aba8backed No | 55c | 122.2$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.75 | 373 | 55%205 W · 168 L | +20.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c9e…3a21backed No | 55c | 122.2$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.75 | 1,174 | 54.9%644 W · 530 L | +49.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 50c | 111.61$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.81 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7956…eba5backed Yes | 45c | 111.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.07 | 1,048 | 38.1%399 W · 649 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa9…1737backed Yes | 46c | 110.7$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.78 | 1,126 | 51.2%577 W · 549 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53c0…33a5backed Yes | 65c | 109.94$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.96 | 226 | 45.1%102 W · 124 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 29c | 102.82$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.39 | 4,142 | 54.1%2,241 W · 1,901 L | -16.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…d571backed Yes | 50c | 99.26$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.26 | 2,225 | 49.2%1,094 W · 1,131 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc5…d6b7backed No | 51c | 96$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.96 | 274 | 61.7%169 W · 105 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19f4…c772backed Yes | 51c | 88$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.74 | 1,054 | 34.9%368 W · 686 L | +11.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x189e…89d9backed No | 46c | 75.86$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.84 | 293 | 45.1%132 W · 161 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked No | 50c | 71.41$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.98 | 2,877 | 55.3%1,590 W · 1,287 L | -59.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc865…7477backed No | 52c | 69.41$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.19 | 176 | 33.5%59 W · 117 L | -34.2wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 53c | 69.29$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.05 | 2,262 | 39.6%895 W · 1,367 L | -56.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 76c | 68.45$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.37 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x437b…95f5backed Yes | 48c | 62.81$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.75 | 245 | 46.9%115 W · 130 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa990…dc90backed Yes | 47c | 56.9$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.9 | 591 | 44.5%263 W · 328 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Yes | 45c | 56.36$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 180 | 43.3%78 W · 102 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3a…3df7backed No | 46c | 53.95$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 452 | 53.3%241 W · 211 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e90…2005backed Yes | 47c | 53.01$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.01 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1049…8cc3backed Yes | 46c | 52.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.62 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b8…6983backed Yes | 46c | 52.58$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.58 | 874 | 37.3%326 W · 548 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf114…6eccbacked Yes | 39c | 51.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.85 | 1,090 | 74.2%809 W · 281 L | +179.3wins | +0.16per pick | 58cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xbd6c…1e6dbacked Yes | 39c | 51.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.33 | 327 | 38.2%125 W · 202 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4149…44c4backed Yes | 49c | 46.71$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 154 | 49.4%76 W · 78 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1917…138bbacked No | 54c | 45.78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.81 | 337 | 46.9%158 W · 179 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5de8…3eddbacked Yes | 45c | 44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.2 | 461 | 48.8%225 W · 236 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2f…e889backed No | 55c | 43.03$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 228 | 49.6%113 W · 115 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca07…6269backed No | 61c | 42.57$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.97 | 716 | 49.4%354 W · 362 L | -18.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4f9…8d24backed Yes | 36c | 42.03$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.94 | 477 | 38.8%185 W · 292 L | +18.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 47c | 41.27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.87 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x880a…308ebacked Yes | 48c | 38.18$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.91 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2c…9642backed No | 49c | 35.92$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb58…407abacked Yes | 46c | 35.62$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.41 | 2,424 | 26.2%636 W · 1,788 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea83…7393backed No | 53c | 35.11$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 1,445 | 60.1%868 W · 577 L | +5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…e93dbacked Yes | 52c | 30.9$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 2,501 | 45.5%1,138 W · 1,363 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb430…efc9backed Yes | 46c | 30.11$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.11 | 82 | 31.7%26 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7c…5dadbacked Yes | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.1 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x914e…8355backed No | 55c | 29.79$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.34 | 168 | 59.5%100 W · 68 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…b140backed Yes | 67c | 29.58$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 559 | 54.7%306 W · 253 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd85d…3700backed Yes | 64c | 28.92$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.41 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2ed…9d98backed Yes | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 822 | 68.7%565 W · 257 L | +72.3wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf51b…ca1bbacked Yes | 56c | 27.72$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.33 | 1,275 | 34%433 W · 842 L | +46.2wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb51…aee5backed Yes | 59c | 27.12$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57ce…d8e2backed Yes | 57c | 26.4$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 82 | 34.1%28 W · 54 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0f…085cbacked Yes | 57c | 26.21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.21 | 616 | 76.3%470 W · 146 L | +92.4wins | +0.15per pick | 61cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd2…bce9backed Yes | 75c | 25.91$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.52 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 47c | 23.08$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.77 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa052…925abacked No | 48c | 22.65$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.87 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -3.2wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a1…ea66backed No | 54c | 22.31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.05 | 59 | 62.7%37 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd6a…4614backed Yes | 48c | 21.21$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.03 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | -11.5wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1d69…7a63backed No | 49c | 21.07$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 1,075 | 54.8%589 W · 486 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32f0…c659backed No | 48c | 20.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 235 | 47.7%112 W · 123 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 70c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 3,175 | 62.7%1,992 W · 1,183 L | +12.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a0…8eb1backed No | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf3…782cbacked No | 63c | 19.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.59 | 1,876 | 63%1,181 W · 695 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf56…ee5fbacked No | 53c | 19.89$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.61 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca84…6f8dbacked Yes | 55c | 18.73$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.41 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed Yes | 72c | 15.95$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.47 | 352 | 64.8%228 W · 124 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cb…6882backed Yes | 72c | 15.4$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.28 | 177 | 59.9%106 W · 71 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcef6…2adebacked Yes | 76c | 13.48$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.21 | 259 | 47.1%122 W · 137 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on July 10?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on July 10?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on July 10?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on July 10?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on July 10?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.