Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5a330bf92cc3fd7439ab8a2ed96ef0b2edd99d3545432b25e7a75780574d5731
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Natus Vincereof Natus Vincere, Vici Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $645,760
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $645,760 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 539 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1fe3…fec3backed Vici Gaming | 46c | 40,717$18,698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,698.02 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d58…9a15backed Natus Vincere | 68c | 35,481$24,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,373.94 | 148 | 40.5%60 W · 88 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c30…54a2backed Natus Vincere | 70c | 29,542$20,743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,798.25 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Vici Gaming | 31c | 26,528$8,321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,321.26 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked Natus Vincere | 54c | 23,459$12,636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,823.5 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed Natus Vincere | 63c | 15,005$9,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,504.8 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…96a5backed Natus Vincere | 64c | 11,421$7,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,155.63 | 118 | 54.2%64 W · 54 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2564…d109backed Vici Gaming | 20c | 9,646$1,932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,932.36 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.4wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -68.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Natus Vincere | 57c | 8,696$4,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,700.55 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Natus Vincere | 64c | 8,574$5,487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,086.47 | 184 | 52.2%96 W · 88 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe64f…7d71backed Vici Gaming | 35c | 8,000$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,799.99 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e38…de0fbacked Vici Gaming | 37c | 7,952$2,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,960.01 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x988d…9899backed Vici Gaming | 36c | 7,904$2,841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,840.82 | 133 | 46.6%62 W · 71 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a9…3d6fbacked Natus Vincere | 33c | 6,906$2,312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,593.84 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Vici Gaming | 37c | 6,163$2,268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,267.85 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb517…434bbacked Vici Gaming | 43c | 6,156$2,652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,652.24 | 228 | 42.1%96 W · 132 L | -25.3wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xad12…5cf6backed Natus Vincere | 68c | 5,821$3,935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,886.7 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Vici Gaming | 51c | 5,708$2,911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,911.33 | 328 | 54.9%180 W · 148 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Vici Gaming | 54c | 4,995$2,677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,676.64 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9055…756abacked Natus Vincere | 78c | 4,953$3,853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,099.74 | 119 | 60.5%72 W · 47 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…32b1backed Natus Vincere | 72c | 4,172$3,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,170.24 | 312 | 45.8%143 W · 169 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b7…7ffabacked Vici Gaming | 45c | 4,017$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x533e…47f4backed Vici Gaming | 45c | 4,011$1,815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,814.67 | 113 | 59.3%67 W · 46 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8310…8967backed Vici Gaming | 43c | 4,000$1,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,720 | 96 | 57.3%55 W · 41 L | +8.5wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed Vici Gaming | 31c | 3,901$1,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,220.2 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2199…f619backed Vici Gaming | 76c | 3,638$2,759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,758.59 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked Vici Gaming | 31c | 3,556$1,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,088.26 | 368 | 51.6%190 W · 178 L | +25.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x00ce…3f01backed Vici Gaming | 44c | 3,523$1,533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,533.31 | 153 | 45.8%70 W · 83 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Vici Gaming | 40c | 3,378$1,351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,351.02 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e04…28a9backed Natus Vincere | 53c | 3,300$1,749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,551 | 176 | 51.1%90 W · 86 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed Natus Vincere | 60c | 3,249$1,963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,286.14 | 426 | 50%213 W · 213 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Vici Gaming | 49c | 3,226$1,571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,571.06 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Vici Gaming | 45c | 3,000$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd17d…d0eebacked Natus Vincere | 62c | 2,799$1,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,063.5 | 192 | 46.4%89 W · 103 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc40…89cfbacked Natus Vincere | 56c | 2,758$1,534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,224.69 | 360 | 41.4%149 W · 211 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Vici Gaming | 36c | 2,541$902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$902.42 | 713 | 42.5%303 W · 410 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Natus Vincere | 33c | 2,526$822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,704.44 | 451 | 39.2%177 W · 274 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Vici Gaming | 30c | 2,418$717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717.37 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…0958backed Natus Vincere | 64c | 2,400$1,536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$863.98 | 134 | 41.8%56 W · 78 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…16acbacked Vici Gaming | 30c | 2,298$693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$692.52 | 229 | 54.1%124 W · 105 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Vici Gaming | 34c | 2,250$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$764.99 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfd…8d75backed Vici Gaming | 26c | 2,100$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555 | 242 | 51.7%125 W · 117 L | +21.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…7c8cbacked Vici Gaming | 34c | 2,060$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.4 | 145 | 15.2%22 W · 123 L | -16.5wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x70c1…dba0backed Natus Vincere | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 226 | 43.8%99 W · 127 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Vici Gaming | 35c | 2,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.99 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x506b…3f70backed Vici Gaming | 32c | 1,958$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.44 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Vici Gaming | 36c | 1,900$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684 | 345 | 44.3%153 W · 192 L | -15.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0caf…91adbacked Natus Vincere | 69c | 1,857$1,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.87 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -9.7wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x78a2…d0a5backed Natus Vincere | 59c | 1,628$965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.88 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7c…5a30backed Natus Vincere | 49c | 1,464$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.34 | 95 | 44.2%42 W · 53 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2416…6e91backed Vici Gaming | 41c | 1,458$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 386 | 53.9%208 W · 178 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae1…1e7ebacked Natus Vincere | 69c | 1,433$982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.82 | 329 | 51.7%170 W · 159 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55af…0715backed Natus Vincere | 61c | 1,410$864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.61 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ebb…00febacked Vici Gaming | 33c | 1,400$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.86 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +5.6wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Vici Gaming | 35c | 1,400$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.97 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742c…acc0backed Vici Gaming | 33c | 1,382$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.07 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2911…2a0dbacked Natus Vincere | 9c | 1,380$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,261.89 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Natus Vincere | 57c | 1,364$776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.9 | 153 | 37.3%57 W · 96 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -33%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x540d…c8f9backed Natus Vincere | 48c | 1,328$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.05 | 388 | 55.2%214 W · 174 L | +29.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc327…c72abacked Natus Vincere | 67c | 1,306$873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.48 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Natus Vincere | 67c | 1,185$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.45 | 166 | 65.7%109 W · 57 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc521…b46abacked Natus Vincere | 57c | 1,171$665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -56%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Vici Gaming | 35c | 1,126$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.18 | 197 | 42.1%83 W · 114 L | -12.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d33…7287backed Vici Gaming | 54c | 1,112$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Vici Gaming | 45c | 1,111$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 201 | 56.7%114 W · 87 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd50c…76c3backed Natus Vincere | 55c | 1,054$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.3 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -8.0wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1df4…474abacked Natus Vincere | 75c | 1,040$777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.6 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc03e…da65backed Vici Gaming | 50c | 1,038$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf44…0bbdbacked Natus Vincere | 59c | 1,032$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.01 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…f619backed Natus Vincere | 46c | 1,016$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.63 | 147 | 51.7%76 W · 71 L | +11.1wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd599…bf55backed Natus Vincere | 31c | 1,008$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693.97 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcb…b05abacked Natus Vincere | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 380 | 49.2%187 W · 193 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +168.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…56efbacked Natus Vincere | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 565 | 42.8%242 W · 323 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b5…f95bbacked Vici Gaming | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Natus Vincere | 65c | 988.26$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.7 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7576…3ff4backed Natus Vincere | 64c | 986.38$634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.74 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8894…085cbacked Natus Vincere | 19c | 900$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe999…12bdbacked Natus Vincere | 67c | 893.69$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.69 | 181 | 56.4%102 W · 79 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked Natus Vincere | 24c | 849.35$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644.05 | 774 | 58.5%453 W · 321 L | +75.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x141f…7711backed Natus Vincere | 78c | 840.94$654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.43 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x006a…14edbacked Vici Gaming | 37c | 836.08$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.15 | 119 | 60.5%72 W · 47 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…75f1backed Vici Gaming | 30c | 821.08$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.7 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | -5.0wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f45…ab6abacked Natus Vincere | 63c | 784.42$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.77 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce8b…6bc7backed Natus Vincere | 64c | 778.05$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.05 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 69cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17ca…87d1backed Natus Vincere | 68c | 777.66$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.97 | 195 | 52.8%103 W · 92 L | -15.2wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -15%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked Vici Gaming | 45c | 772.35$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.99 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Natus Vincere | 65c | 770$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.5 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed Vici Gaming | 41c | 763.01$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.02 | 330 | 41.8%138 W · 192 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e86…d0afbacked Vici Gaming | 30c | 754.27$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe704…b250backed Natus Vincere | 63c | 740.45$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.45 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | -7.7wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6cc8…67f7backed Natus Vincere | 68c | 734.4$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.4 | 191 | 62.8%120 W · 71 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Vici Gaming | 39c | 728.74$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.38 | 378 | 32.5%123 W · 255 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed Natus Vincere | 58c | 720$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.4 | 536 | 52.6%282 W · 254 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24eb…75eebacked Natus Vincere | 66c | 718.82$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.4 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75a…1ab2backed Natus Vincere | 4c | 708.93$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$678.39 | 400 | 14.8%59 W · 341 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b64…eaf4backed Natus Vincere | 54c | 696.36$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.85 | 177 | 40.7%72 W · 105 L | -11.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x469f…3d4fbacked Natus Vincere | 29c | 694.81$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.81 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50ac…a924backed Vici Gaming | 35c | 686.59$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.35 | 95 | 55.8%53 W · 42 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Natus Vincere | 74c | 683.32$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.83 | 192 | 42.7%82 W · 110 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00cb…3992backed Natus Vincere | 78c | 683.24$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.24 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagethis page
- Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 WinnerNatus Vincere won
- Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 WinnerVici Gaming won
- Game Handicap: Na`Vi (-1.5) vs Vici Gaming (+1.5)Vici Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.