Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb5280377183e3ef70ebfa5b54fcb3b130550fa0f48ed8098762c066f2467ec73
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Natus Vincereof Natus Vincere, Vici Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $198,413
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $198,413 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 238 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3833…33d1backed Vici Gaming | 38c | 13,638$5,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,135.45 | 426 | 50%213 W · 213 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed Natus Vincere | 62c | 11,672$7,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,471.69 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Natus Vincere | 62c | 11,648$7,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,426.16 | 328 | 54.9%180 W · 148 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Vici Gaming | 40c | 10,481$4,211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,210.62 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc40…89cfbacked Vici Gaming | 39c | 8,000$3,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,120 | 360 | 41.4%149 W · 211 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Natus Vincere | 61c | 6,316$3,826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,490 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed Vici Gaming | 47c | 5,409$2,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,524.85 | 330 | 41.8%138 W · 192 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f9…cf34backed Natus Vincere | 71c | 5,000$3,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,460.43 | 186 | 61.8%115 W · 71 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked Natus Vincere | 47c | 4,818$2,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,542.31 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08c2…c023backed Vici Gaming | 55c | 4,266$2,329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,328.65 | 489 | 54.6%267 W · 222 L | +23.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Natus Vincere | 62c | 4,177$2,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,602.73 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…96a5backed Natus Vincere | 62c | 3,411$2,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,280.5 | 118 | 54.2%64 W · 54 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e38…de0fbacked Vici Gaming | 39c | 2,967$1,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,161.73 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x506b…3f70backed Vici Gaming | 37c | 2,913$1,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,089.09 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x786a…9cd5backed Natus Vincere | 58c | 2,513$1,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,048.61 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Natus Vincere | 55c | 2,296$1,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,038.28 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…7c8cbacked Vici Gaming | 36c | 2,170$781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$781.29 | 145 | 15.2%22 W · 123 L | -16.5wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5d58…9a15backed Natus Vincere | 58c | 2,047$1,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$859.84 | 148 | 40.5%60 W · 88 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Natus Vincere | 68c | 2,000$1,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9e…456bbacked Natus Vincere | 47c | 2,000$934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,065.6 | 29 | 75.9%22 W · 7 L | +4.9wins | +0.17per pick | 59cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Vici Gaming | 40c | 1,922$774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$774.41 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2aad…88d4backed Vici Gaming | 44c | 1,863$828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$828.48 | 144 | 43.8%63 W · 81 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked Vici Gaming | 55c | 1,772$973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$973.4 | 368 | 51.6%190 W · 178 L | +25.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0caf…91adbacked Natus Vincere | 63c | 1,589$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.89 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -9.7wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe999…12bdbacked Natus Vincere | 62c | 1,462$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.54 | 181 | 56.4%102 W · 79 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a06…31d8backed Natus Vincere | 73c | 1,375$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.34 | 416 | 55.3%230 W · 186 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e64…89c3backed Natus Vincere | 59c | 1,356$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.93 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7576…3ff4backed Vici Gaming | 28c | 1,328$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.54 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…16acbacked Natus Vincere | 58c | 1,262$732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.04 | 229 | 54.1%124 W · 105 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Natus Vincere | 65c | 1,125$731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.25 | 166 | 65.7%109 W · 57 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb8e…962bbacked Vici Gaming | 38c | 1,109$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.94 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 39cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2416…6e91backed Vici Gaming | 32c | 1,090$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 386 | 53.9%208 W · 178 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Vici Gaming | 39c | 1,074$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.15 | 605 | 42.6%258 W · 347 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00ce…3f01backed Natus Vincere | 54c | 1,054$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.63 | 153 | 45.8%70 W · 83 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcb…b05abacked Vici Gaming | 51c | 1,046$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.61 | 380 | 49.2%187 W · 193 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +168.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Vici Gaming | 38c | 1,038$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.69 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc2…514cbacked Vici Gaming | 47c | 1,035$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487 | 338 | 45.6%154 W · 184 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f40…e1f2backed Vici Gaming | 42c | 992.47$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.44 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | -7.0wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe375…dadfbacked Vici Gaming | 42c | 958.74$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 129 | 48.1%62 W · 67 L | -9.3wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60f1…9562backed Vici Gaming | 58c | 955.16$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.09 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 71cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Vici Gaming | 34c | 856.25$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.4 | 142 | 51.4%73 W · 69 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79ac…9c87backed Vici Gaming | 38c | 846$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.54 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9de4…7f2ebacked Vici Gaming | 42c | 800$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a4…4249backed Vici Gaming | 49c | 751.56$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.65 | 196 | 64.8%127 W · 69 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Vici Gaming | 35c | 730.48$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.61 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39a7…bcb7backed Vici Gaming | 38c | 711.98$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6998…ae95backed Vici Gaming | 4c | 710$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 168 | 21.4%36 W · 132 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cc8…67f7backed Vici Gaming | 64c | 661.18$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.91 | 191 | 62.8%120 W · 71 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8430…3961backed Vici Gaming | 40c | 655.87$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.72 | 303 | 56.4%171 W · 132 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…ad8ebacked Vici Gaming | 55c | 632$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.83 | 326 | 52.1%170 W · 156 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf96f…b5e5backed Vici Gaming | 31c | 615.82$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.65 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00cb…3992backed Natus Vincere | 52c | 611.18$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.18 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Vici Gaming | 42c | 611.02$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.74 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f52…c525backed Vici Gaming | 41c | 600$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.8 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked Vici Gaming | 46c | 545.81$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.24 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2f45…ab6abacked Natus Vincere | 60c | 544.5$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.28 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked Vici Gaming | 38c | 523.59$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…81f2backed Vici Gaming | 39c | 520$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.8 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 42cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1854…be98backed Natus Vincere | 60c | 520$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.5 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Vici Gaming | 40c | 508.99$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.63 | 137 | 33.6%46 W · 91 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c5a…acc3backed Vici Gaming | 39c | 500$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb36…113fbacked Natus Vincere | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3741…517ebacked Natus Vincere | 73c | 500$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 370 | 47%174 W · 196 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b5…f95bbacked Natus Vincere | 64c | 499.6$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.98 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked Vici Gaming | 33c | 494.75$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.39 | 774 | 58.5%453 W · 321 L | +75.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x249f…fed3backed Vici Gaming | 43c | 491.95$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.12 | 626 | 50.5%316 W · 310 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Vici Gaming | 35c | 484.81$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.08 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c0…23d8backed Natus Vincere | 63c | 484.49$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.27 | 239 | 57.3%137 W · 102 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Vici Gaming | 27c | 483.69$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.43 | 745 | 49.3%367 W · 378 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x227f…405dbacked Natus Vincere | 60c | 480$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcee0…f8f9backed Vici Gaming | 39c | 480$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.2 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Vici Gaming | 53c | 466.52$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.96 | 122 | 52.5%64 W · 58 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x860e…a06dbacked Natus Vincere | 57c | 464.53$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.11 | 164 | 40.2%66 W · 98 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…32b1backed Natus Vincere | 58c | 461.73$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.93 | 312 | 45.8%143 W · 169 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86e0…c394backed Vici Gaming | 36c | 458.58$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.72 | 807 | 42.6%344 W · 463 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf743…1811backed Vici Gaming | 40c | 424.71$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.13 | 318 | 35.8%114 W · 204 L | -18.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9c…101cbacked Natus Vincere | 80c | 404.8$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.96 | 84 | 58.3%49 W · 35 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01d4…33d8backed Natus Vincere | 64c | 398.43$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.09 | 117 | 57.3%67 W · 50 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x274f…971abacked Natus Vincere | 64c | 390.08$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.08 | 146 | 57.5%84 W · 62 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Natus Vincere | 58c | 386.67$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.33 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Natus Vincere | 55c | 379.32$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.87 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaea9…42a1backed Natus Vincere | 53c | 378.45$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.45 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x736d…c635backed Natus Vincere | 54c | 341.59$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.84 | 971 | 42.7%415 W · 556 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a9…3d6fbacked Vici Gaming | 36c | 337.74$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.31 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a1e…c2eabacked Vici Gaming | 44c | 331.81$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.86 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -4.9wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x930e…38cfbacked Vici Gaming | 10c | 330.82$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.27 | 370 | 18.9%70 W · 300 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -24%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…1c68backed Vici Gaming | 32c | 330$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.04 | 641 | 49.9%320 W · 321 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb87…4611backed Natus Vincere | 63c | 326.4$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.12 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x538e…c195backed Natus Vincere | 67c | 321.9$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.23 | 129 | 66.7%86 W · 43 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Natus Vincere | 48c | 312.5$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.5 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Vici Gaming | 36c | 306.06$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.36 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed Natus Vincere | 65c | 300$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.68 | 615 | 48.8%300 W · 315 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3fb…19c0backed Natus Vincere | 57c | 300$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Vici Gaming | 40c | 300$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9a…a06bbacked Vici Gaming | 9c | 300$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 378 | 11.1%42 W · 336 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed Vici Gaming | 30c | 298.65$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.6 | 236 | 50.4%119 W · 117 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd15e…db59backed Natus Vincere | 34c | 294.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.71 | 118 | 45.8%54 W · 64 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x772c…3539backed Vici Gaming | 35c | 285.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Vici Gaming | 33c | 282.38$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.37 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda1c…15f2backed Natus Vincere | 73c | 275.54$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.54 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group StageNatus Vincere won
- Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 WinnerVici Gaming won
- Game Handicap: Na`Vi (-1.5) vs Vici Gaming (+1.5)Vici Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.