TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xeb36…113f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
41
Categories scored
3
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: CS2, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 54 out of 100; worst Dota2 at 49.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT2161.9%13 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+31.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: ENCE Academy vs eLITenergy - Map 1 Winnerbacked eLITenergy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$248Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$237.8
Counter-Strike: Johnny Speeds vs MANA eSports (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #3 Playoffsbacked Johnny Speeds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$283Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$180.92
Counter-Strike: ESC Gaming vs ALGO Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked ALGO Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$234Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$233.87
Counter-Strike: G2 vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$288Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$199.96
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs FaZe - Map 1 Winnerbacked Passion UA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$206Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$295.94
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Acend (BO3) - Roman Imperium Cup Playoffsbacked Acend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$319.47
Counter-Strike: Bebop vs 8Sins (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #20 Group Dbacked Bebop · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$462Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$138
Counter-Strike: Rune Eaters vs The Last Resort (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked The Last Resort · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+108.5%+$260.2
Counter-Strike: Omega vs MASONIC - Map 1 Winnerbacked Omega · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$308Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$308
Counter-Strike: CSDIILIT vs Bushido Wildcats - Map 1 Winnerbacked CSDIILIT · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$259Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$259.42
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs OG - Map 1 Winnerbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$295Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$294.9
Counter-Strike: K27 vs MOUZ NXT - Map 2 Winnerbacked K27 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$314Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$313.5
Counter-Strike: Acend vs ex-Zero Tenacity (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #17 Group Stagebacked ex-Zero Tenacity · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$67.62
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$235Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+117.4%+$275.4
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Heroic - Map 1 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$304Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$303.6
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Monte - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+53.8%+$140
Counter-Strike: Rune Eaters vs Eternal Fire - Map 1 Winnerbacked Eternal Fire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$301Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$300.7
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs WW Team (BO3) - JB Pro League Season 2 Playoffsbacked KOLESIE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$234Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+66.7%+$156
Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire vs MANA eSports - Map 2 Winnerbacked Eternal Fire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+78.6%+$154
Counter-Strike: ENCE Academy vs Aurora Young Blood - Map 2 Winnerbacked Aurora Young Blood · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$150.8
Counter-Strike: FOLHA AMARELA vs Isurus - Map 1 Winnerbacked FOLHA AMARELA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+88.7%+$94
All 21 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT1442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$214Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$334.97
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 Winnerbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$162.47
Dota 2: Ilbirs eSports vs BALU - Game 1 Winnerbacked BALU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$178Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$178.47
Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Nemiga Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$355
Dota 2: REKONIX vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winnerbacked REKONIX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.6
Dota 2: MOUZ vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$226Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$324.5
Dota 2: Heroic vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$319Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$319.2
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$275Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$275
Dota 2: Heroic vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$200
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$238Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$237.6
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winnerbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$218Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+61.3%+$133.38
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$163.4
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Tundra Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$188Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+51.5%+$96.9
All 14 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.