Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x04e0c98d65719d1beda1fbe672be018e4a9c23070f852126a2b445533a6728d0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nemiga Gamingof Zero Tenacity, Nemiga Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,739
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,061
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,739 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Zero Tenacity | 79c | 6,045$4,751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,751.14 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…cd80backed Nemiga Gaming | 21c | 4,625$949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,676.5 | 551 | 47.5%262 W · 289 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Zero Tenacity | 76c | 3,545$2,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,690.19 | 517 | 51.3%265 W · 252 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Zero Tenacity | 69c | 1,346$923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$922.91 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x567e…e8fbbacked Zero Tenacity | 68c | 1,229$832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$832.19 | 187 | 46.5%87 W · 100 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Nemiga Gaming | 18c | 1,217$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,002.68 | 656 | 25.6%168 W · 488 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Nemiga Gaming | 27c | 1,207$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.1 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Nemiga Gaming | 26c | 1,082$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$804.81 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbd…7d99backed Nemiga Gaming | 12c | 999.99$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$879.99 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +4.2wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +72.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x969f…cbdcbacked Nemiga Gaming | 23c | 714.11$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.41 | 149 | 43%64 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3f…6941backed Nemiga Gaming | 35c | 679.99$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.3 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | +7.8wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x772c…3539backed Nemiga Gaming | 30c | 589.86$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.49 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd03b…c2c6backed Nemiga Gaming | 28c | 520$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.97 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcee0…f8f9backed Zero Tenacity | 70c | 520$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1854…be98backed Zero Tenacity | 70c | 500$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb36…113fbacked Nemiga Gaming | 29c | 500$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Nemiga Gaming | 31c | 383$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.27 | 72 | 31.9%23 W · 49 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Nemiga Gaming | 33c | 315.15$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.15 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c64…89babacked Nemiga Gaming | 30c | 250.98$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.68 | 187 | 45.5%85 W · 102 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed Nemiga Gaming | 17c | 250$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.5 | 265 | 50.6%134 W · 131 L | +12.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24eb…75eebacked Nemiga Gaming | 29c | 245.7$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.75 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Nemiga Gaming | 29c | 205.59$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.59 | 491 | 33.6%165 W · 326 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Zero Tenacity | 71c | 204.99$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.58 | 605 | 42.6%258 W · 347 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Zero Tenacity | 64c | 200.92$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.59 | 562 | 43.2%243 W · 319 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5c…9e02backed Nemiga Gaming | 34c | 185.15$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.38 | 115 | 49.6%57 W · 58 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Nemiga Gaming | 14c | 177.98$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.23 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed Zero Tenacity | 79c | 158.5$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.63 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3d…cfffbacked Zero Tenacity | 58c | 153.14$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.82 | 367 | 59.1%217 W · 150 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Nemiga Gaming | 15c | 143.57$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.77 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xfcce…5ed5backed Nemiga Gaming | 43c | 129.05$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.14 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 43cpaid | +65.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd866…55e0backed Nemiga Gaming | 30c | 122.8$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.52 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06d9…7cfbbacked Nemiga Gaming | 23c | 110$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.7 | 201 | 51.2%103 W · 98 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed Zero Tenacity | 71c | 99.99$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.99 | 185 | 44.9%83 W · 102 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Nemiga Gaming | 21c | 99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.21 | 336 | 45.5%153 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Zero Tenacity | 68c | 92.61$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.67 | 1,013 | 45.5%461 W · 552 L | -46.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12bc…bf2fbacked Zero Tenacity | 75c | 92$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.3 | 178 | 53.4%95 W · 83 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e1…6579backed Nemiga Gaming | 19c | 90$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.6 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce7…81a3backed Nemiga Gaming | 36c | 89.67$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.82 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf275…5000backed Nemiga Gaming | 34c | 87.12$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.12 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Zero Tenacity | 56c | 83.94$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.14 | 224 | 56.3%126 W · 98 L | +11.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d8e…3d55backed Nemiga Gaming | 36c | 74.16$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.82 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c8…e340backed Zero Tenacity | 50c | 72.96$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.27 | 245 | 27.3%67 W · 178 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed Zero Tenacity | 80c | 64.36$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.47 | 361 | 38.2%138 W · 223 L | -20.4wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c2…da9dbacked Nemiga Gaming | 40c | 62.22$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…713dbacked Nemiga Gaming | 37c | 54.6$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.6 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked Nemiga Gaming | 22c | 50$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 958 | 41.1%394 W · 564 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x053e…1e27backed Nemiga Gaming | 35c | 46.56$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.47 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d4c…e3fcbacked Nemiga Gaming | 34c | 43.56$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.56 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +71.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2357…2cccbacked Nemiga Gaming | 37c | 40.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked Zero Tenacity | 69c | 40$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 125 | 68%85 W · 40 L | +12.7wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9d43…3576backed Nemiga Gaming | 34c | 37.33$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.65 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.33per pick | 47cpaid | +81.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf824…651fbacked Nemiga Gaming | 35c | 36.87$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.13 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +30%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Zero Tenacity | 50c | 36.48$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.35 | 302 | 50%151 W · 151 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Zero Tenacity | 47c | 33.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.97 | 690 | 33.3%230 W · 460 L | -27.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x022d…d8cebacked Zero Tenacity | 64c | 31.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 124 | 54%67 W · 57 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7310…2b8fbacked Nemiga Gaming | 36c | 28.74$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.53 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef0d…ef1cbacked Zero Tenacity | 50c | 27.56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.78 | 227 | 40.5%92 W · 135 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc85e…adebbacked Zero Tenacity | 80c | 24.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.79 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7560…1ee1backed Zero Tenacity | 44c | 23.55$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 211 | 33.6%71 W · 140 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1620…227bbacked Zero Tenacity | 70c | 18.92$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.24 | 137 | 62.8%86 W · 51 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - European Pro League PlayoffsZero Tenacity won
- Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 2 WinnerZero Tenacity won
- Game Handicap: Z10 (-1.5) vs Nemiga Gaming (+1.5)Nemiga Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.