Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa67e4bc1dfc273c7e00037797e895f6897db3096b002055817df16816379001a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Zero Tenacityof Zero Tenacity, Nemiga Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,235
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,179
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,235 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbc57…f5f4backed Zero Tenacity | 69c | 1,627$1,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.34 | 47 | 68.1%32 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Nemiga Gaming | 27c | 875.14$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.65 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x567e…e8fbbacked Zero Tenacity | 74c | 760.6$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.89 | 187 | 46.5%87 W · 100 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17ca…87d1backed Zero Tenacity | 71c | 701.17$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.43 | 195 | 52.8%103 W · 92 L | -15.2wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -15%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x969f…cbdcbacked Nemiga Gaming | 18c | 610.08$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.41 | 149 | 43%64 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x930b…0223backed Zero Tenacity | 72c | 473.25$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.89 | 234 | 59%138 W · 96 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…d3f1backed Nemiga Gaming | 28c | 353.12$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.62 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -3.9wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa42e…59e1backed Nemiga Gaming | 9c | 352.31$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07fa…f5cdbacked Nemiga Gaming | 29c | 343.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 462 | 40.7%188 W · 274 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3d…5d2fbacked Zero Tenacity | 79c | 260.76$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.76 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.22per pick | 62cpaid | +32%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed Nemiga Gaming | 30c | 206.45$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 547 | 53.6%293 W · 254 L | +22.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfd…8d75backed Nemiga Gaming | 30c | 200$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 242 | 51.7%125 W · 117 L | +21.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Nemiga Gaming | 22c | 171.11$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.27 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x772c…3539backed Nemiga Gaming | 24c | 167.5$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Zero Tenacity | 72c | 163.77$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.56 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9688…fd45backed Nemiga Gaming | 25c | 150$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 241 | 38.6%93 W · 148 L | -18.0wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a9…3d6fbacked Zero Tenacity | 68c | 148$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.36 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ed…a4cbbacked Nemiga Gaming | 27c | 125.93$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -6.2wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked Nemiga Gaming | 13c | 109.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 958 | 41.1%394 W · 564 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64a8…7bc3backed Zero Tenacity | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 146 | 61%89 W · 57 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed Nemiga Gaming | 26c | 99.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.08 | 361 | 38.2%138 W · 223 L | -20.4wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…2b1abacked Nemiga Gaming | 15c | 95$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 305 | 43%131 W · 174 L | +18.2wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x06d9…7cfbbacked Nemiga Gaming | 20c | 90$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 201 | 51.2%103 W · 98 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Zero Tenacity | 74c | 46.91$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.2 | 517 | 51.3%265 W · 252 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9b…cbe5backed Nemiga Gaming | 32c | 43.75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc186…ad81backed Zero Tenacity | 72c | 34.72$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Zero Tenacity | 73c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 61 | 67.2%41 W · 20 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Zero Tenacity | 73c | 18.73$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.15 | 154 | 50%77 W · 77 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - European Pro League PlayoffsZero Tenacity won
- Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 1 WinnerNemiga Gaming won
- Game Handicap: Z10 (-1.5) vs Nemiga Gaming (+1.5)Nemiga Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.