TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Monte - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Natus Vincereof Natus Vincere, Monte
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$125,834

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $125,834 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 121 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x18bb…e5cdbacked Monte15c8,246$1,265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,264.9130726.4%81 W · 226 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick24cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Natus Vincere63c7,000$4,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,599.981,25942.5%535 W · 724 L+20.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked Monte34c5,694$1,925 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,925.342,22347.5%1,056 W · 1,167 L-5.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Natus Vincere65c5,265$3,448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,817.3119455.2%107 W · 87 L+8.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed Monte35c5,074$1,762 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,761.541,96946.7%919 W · 1,050 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x090d…8265backed Monte1c4,802$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick39cpaid-12.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf5e…4189backed Monte32c4,563$1,468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,468.2133452.1%174 W · 160 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Monte34c3,058$1,042 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,041.5185946.1%396 W · 463 L-1.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa7ea…bbb3backed Natus Vincere68c3,014$2,046 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$967.989153.8%49 W · 42 L+6.8wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x52ec…a6f3backed Natus Vincere65c3,000$1,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,049.9946949.7%233 W · 236 L-14.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed Natus Vincere76c2,452$1,868 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$584.19256.5%52 W · 40 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f04…1d79backed Monte18c2,265$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40012021.7%26 W · 94 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick23cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Natus Vincere72c2,117$1,524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$592.6345357.2%259 W · 194 L-21.3wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-5.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed Monte35c1,791$627 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$626.7972046.1%332 W · 388 L-2.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e38…de0fbacked Natus Vincere71c1,649$1,170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.7215760.5%95 W · 62 L+15.8wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+10.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Monte35c1,448$507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506.6661228.9%177 W · 435 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Natus Vincere70c1,438$1,006 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432.081,06049%519 W · 541 L+37.6wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x207f…019dbacked Monte28c1,429$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400319.7%3 W · 28 L-6.2wins-0.20per pick30cpaid-72.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed Natus Vincere73c1,352$988 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.9489546.8%419 W · 476 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-15.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff80…9b4dbacked Monte5c1,320$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.3732752.3%171 W · 156 L+10.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Natus Vincere64c1,312$836 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$475.881,61945.5%737 W · 882 L+31.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a96…3087backed Monte9c1,277$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.2317949.7%89 W · 90 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xcd43…88d7backed Monte32c1,241$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40014532.4%47 W · 98 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed Natus Vincere74c1,219$906 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.821,03361.6%636 W · 397 L+87.2wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+11.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Monte24c1,150$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.91,28322%282 W · 1,001 L-24.2wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec0e…672cbacked Monte18c1,040$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.647738.4%183 W · 294 L-26.7wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-31.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1aee…8796backed Monte39c1,027$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40028254.6%154 W · 128 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Natus Vincere64c1,000$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3601,08950.9%554 W · 535 L+38.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed Monte34c961.15$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.197240.7%396 W · 576 L+12.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Monte30c921$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.735,34131.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L-390.7wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Monte14c903$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.421,04044%458 W · 582 L-22.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed Monte36c833.61$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30024346.9%114 W · 129 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f07…c74fbacked Monte23c820.15$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.814835.4%17 W · 31 L-0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked Monte38c799.99$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.923,23651.2%1,657 W · 1,579 L+88.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked Natus Vincere65c779.23$509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.345,09555.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L+119.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x953f…15e6backed Natus Vincere65c764.53$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.5627556.4%155 W · 120 L-0.5wins0.00per pick57cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Monte37c764.14$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.264,23849.2%2,085 W · 2,153 L+60.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0257…22b2backed Monte36c700$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25245455.1%250 W · 204 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16ce…eba1backed Monte2c670$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.12722.2%6 W · 21 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick29cpaid-39.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d91…df18backed Natus Vincere64c657.83$419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.969565.3%62 W · 33 L+11.2wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+22.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed Natus Vincere63c651$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.8764652.8%341 W · 305 L+26.9wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4687…8d42backed Monte48c624.69$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.8552947.1%249 W · 280 L-14.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d9b…a5ebbacked Monte16c620.59$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004946.9%23 W · 26 L+3.7wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+3.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb13d…7287backed Monte36c600$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21610541%43 W · 62 L-10.4wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-19.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xda32…04a1backed Monte10c600$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6131444.9%141 W · 173 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa45d…b413backed Natus Vincere65c599.36$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.785261.5%32 W · 20 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8617…49e5backed Monte4c587.61$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213426.5%9 W · 25 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-34.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7f35…ed78backed Monte34c500$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1703458.8%20 W · 14 L+6.1wins+0.18per pick41cpaid+54.8%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x227f…405dbacked Natus Vincere66c500$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1702454.2%13 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Monte35c499.99$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1755,87637.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L+71.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed Monte35c499.99$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17553945.5%245 W · 294 L+14.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Monte4c487.97$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.3556732.5%184 W · 383 L-30.0wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-36.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xeffd…5a86backed Monte36c465.97$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.757537.3%28 W · 47 L-7.6wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-20.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x0fbc…62a3backed Monte23c440$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.224457%139 W · 105 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x95f0…67c9backed Monte34c400$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1362347.8%11 W · 12 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb36…113fbacked Natus Vincere65c400$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1402161.9%13 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+31.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc8ad…be4ebacked Natus Vincere56c393$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.8425950.6%131 W · 128 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1173…1d74backed Monte47c362.15$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.113348.5%16 W · 17 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+1.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Monte34c361.17$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.761,26346.9%592 W · 671 L+18.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-15.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbefe…2d45backed Monte28c358.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006246.8%29 W · 33 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Monte34c356.41$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.531,72346.8%807 W · 916 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x093c…2ef4backed Monte10c340.61$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.37911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick21cpaid-70%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked Natus Vincere70c300$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$901,39365.9%918 W · 475 L+26.8wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc2cb…d235backed Monte36c300$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1082437.5%9 W · 15 L-3.7wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Natus Vincere67c286.02$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.393,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Natus Vincere67c249.25$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.251,71052.3%895 W · 815 L-73.4wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-8.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd537…0f7cbacked Monte37c248.65$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9233457.8%193 W · 141 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6df9…e49ebacked Monte38c245$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.15455.6%30 W · 24 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+21.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x34f9…12ebbacked Monte37c243.62$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.1426836.6%98 W · 170 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x707e…a614backed Monte36c238.89$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8712138%46 W · 75 L-8.8wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-22.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Monte35c225.99$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.344,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa50b…74b2backed Natus Vincere67c224.63$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.633545.7%16 W · 19 L-3.6wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-33.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xced3…ce6bbacked Monte17c223.07$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393046.7%14 W · 16 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa0af…3b75backed Monte23c217.39$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5018342.1%77 W · 106 L-7.1wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed Natus Vincere66c200$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6846749.7%232 W · 235 L-12.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0ddd…5366backed Monte34c199.98$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.993455.9%19 W · 15 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick63cpaid-9.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7447…91ecbacked Natus Vincere80c198.75$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.7512348%59 W · 64 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Natus Vincere66c181.01$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.061,37845.2%623 W · 755 L+17.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe283…7190backed Monte26c174.43$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4596945.6%442 W · 527 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4013…406bbacked Natus Vincere66c160$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.415063.3%95 W · 55 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Natus Vincere72c149.12$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.335,58047.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L+47.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xacbc…f6bfbacked Monte17c147.65$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256346%29 W · 34 L+5.1wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+17.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf27e…d69dbacked Monte8c147.62$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1212050.8%61 W · 59 L+12.7wins+0.11per pick40cpaid+21.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa36d…cbb1backed Monte16c125$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203923.1%9 W · 30 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick29cpaid-27.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8e26…cfc4backed Natus Vincere67c120$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.62161.9%13 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+27.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfda5…53d7backed Monte30c117.41$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353447.1%16 W · 18 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c76…477abacked Natus Vincere60c111.19$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.4815648.1%75 W · 81 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a91…4e55backed Monte36c108$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.885152.9%27 W · 24 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-11.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc0c2…b14dbacked Natus Vincere66c107.43$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.7959647.3%282 W · 314 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-7.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2fd5…ef85backed Natus Vincere65c107.19$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.215738.2%60 W · 97 L-13.6wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-28.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6ab4…96a5backed Monte34c106.71$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.288050%40 W · 40 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99b0…da5cbacked Monte38c102.4$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.072951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99d1…ee7abacked Monte28c100$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.522454.5%122 W · 102 L+17.5wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+8.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0694…4a4ebacked Monte34c100$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3414355.9%80 W · 63 L+9.5wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf9f2…11a5backed Natus Vincere64c100$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363148.4%15 W · 16 L-5.5wins-0.18per pick66cpaid-31.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x1b9a…a06bbacked Monte22c99.99$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2270423.9%168 W · 536 L+2.7wins0.00per pick23cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3454…333bbacked Natus Vincere64c98.98$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.324555.6%25 W · 20 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd96…e623backed Monte32c96.95$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.0221455.6%119 W · 95 L+12.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+20.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Natus Vincere67c85.69$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.5396743.5%421 W · 546 L-20.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe7a2…4bc4backed Monte18c85.51$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.661910.5%2 W · 17 L-3.4wins-0.18per pick29cpaid-74.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.