CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x605faf1c55f5e6985ba9cad674df4288a0715851a0e0b30072bcbebb0040a2e3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,741
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,741 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x211d…3ab7backed Over | 59c | 390.02$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.02 | 193 | 51.8%100 W · 93 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Under | 36c | 362.8$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.54 | 4,238 | 49.2%2,085 W · 2,153 L | +60.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6867…f8d2backed Over | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 43c | 335.04$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.98 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2e5…57fcbacked Over | 46c | 235$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Under | 52c | 219.87$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.33 | 836 | 52.5%439 W · 397 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50df…d1e7backed Over | 50c | 201.32$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.32 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa02b…70d6backed Under | 50c | 135.39$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.69 | 178 | 57.3%102 W · 76 L | +27.9wins | +0.16per pick | 42cpaid | +47%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xfad5…f3b9backed Under | 54c | 128$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e4f…1004backed Under | 54c | 107$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Under | 41c | 105.71$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.94 | 3,236 | 51.2%1,657 W · 1,579 L | +88.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed Over | 68c | 102.94$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.94 | 157 | 38.2%60 W · 97 L | -13.6wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d2…1b03backed Over | 48c | 98.63$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.29 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Over | 65c | 96.5$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.06 | 2,223 | 47.5%1,056 W · 1,167 L | -5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Under | 37c | 96.29$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.96 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Under | 51c | 65.93$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.62 | 872 | 44.8%391 W · 481 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99b0…da5cbacked Under | 38c | 63.07$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.98 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62b5…3b8dbacked Under | 56c | 61.95$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a76…a7bcbacked Over | 44c | 49.97$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.98 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed Over | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 526 | 49%258 W · 268 L | -27.8wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b33…c931backed Over | 48c | 40.83$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.23 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9700…df3cbacked Under | 49c | 28.36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37f8…b5e5backed Under | 48c | 28.25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 447 | 43.8%196 W · 251 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9e…eb82backed Under | 56c | 20.65$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.63 | 150 | 56%84 W · 66 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d61…eb8ebacked Over | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 812 | 46.2%375 W · 437 L | -35.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x252f…2561backed Over | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 565 | 54.2%306 W · 259 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Monte (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2Natus Vincere won
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Monte - Map 1 WinnerMonte won
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Monte - Map 2 WinnerNatus Vincere won
- Map Handicap: MNTE (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)Natus Vincere won
- Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs Monte (+1.5)Monte won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.