TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2b33…c931

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
63
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Boxing, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Boxing at 54 out of 100; worst Dota2 at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT2740.7%11 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.55
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$35.22
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$17.74
Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs NIP (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked Luminosity · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.82
Will FURIA win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.2
Will Aurora win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.48
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$36.07
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$27.2
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.4
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FlyQuest (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$262Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$261.72
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Liquid (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$37
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$31.43
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.4
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Gaimin Gladiators (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed Gaimin Gladiators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Counter-Strike: B8 vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
Counter-Strike: BIG vs Liquid (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+121.2%+$60.62
Counter-Strike: B8 vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+100%+$18
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+196.2%+$112.49
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.36
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+108.3%+$21.23
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Monte (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$33
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs G2 - Map 2 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$45.53
Counter-Strike: Team StRoGo vs Team zoneR (BO3)backed Team zoneR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$67.5
Counter-Strike: Team buster vs Team CS2NEWS (BO3)backed Team CS2NEWS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+44.9%+$27.9
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Liquid (BO1)backed Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$10.03
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT2133.3%7 W · 14 L-3.0wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-40.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Aurora - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$159Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$202.26
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$142.45
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$10.87
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffsbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.43
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.98
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs GamerLegion - Game 2 Winnerbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.19
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+110.8%+$44.33
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs MOUZ - Game 1 Winnerbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+82.2%+$13.98
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.61
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Dota 2: OG vs Team Liquid - Game 3 Winnerbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$41.35
Dota 2: OG vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+53.8%+$19.21
Dota 2: OG vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+79.3%+$15.8
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO5)backed Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$29.7
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid (BO3)backed Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$823Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$823.01
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs BetBoom Team (BO3)backed Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$130.58
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Team Liquid (BO3)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$31.14
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+41.5%+$15.84
Dota 2: Heroic vs Team Liquid (BO3)backed Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
All 21 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick23cpaid-52.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advancebacked Senegal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.76
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.89
All 2 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.85per pick15cpaid+571.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Andrew Tate vs. Chase Demoorbacked Demoor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+571.1%+$93.61
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+164.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+164.9%+$65.95
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kanye West have a #1 hit in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.05
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$152
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pump.fun all time high by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.