Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Pump.fun all time high by December 31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3098df71721b8a749177e186619c2f0980a655fce607ec953072c2748bf82b87
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $135,311
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $137,800
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $135,311 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 139 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x36bf…2864backed Yes | 2c | 7,659$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.27 | 67 | 28.4%19 W · 48 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -32%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fda…01d5backed No | 78c | 6,339$4,972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,366.81 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +4.1wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa5bf…8763backed Yes | 14c | 5,937$815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$815.45 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 21cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed No | 24c | 5,382$1,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,099.26 | 120 | 25%30 W · 90 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd199…37a6backed Yes | 18c | 5,160$904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$903.6 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 1c | 5,105$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.56 | 416 | 3.1%13 W · 403 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25dc…e33bbacked No | 78c | 3,572$2,786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.65 | 130 | 53.8%70 W · 60 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd6b…68f5backed Yes | 7c | 3,500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 6c | 3,435$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.72 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fc…ce0bbacked No | 79c | 2,875$2,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.91 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +3.4wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa8fc…0cbbbacked Yes | 80c | 2,653$2,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,121.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb0f…2052backed Yes | 25c | 2,505$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.95 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -74.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…657fbacked Yes | 80c | 2,321$1,857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,856.86 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -4.2wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd6…23f8backed Yes | 25c | 2,021$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 28 | 7.1%2 W · 26 L | -4.2wins | -0.15per pick | 22cpaid | -85.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9940…725abacked Yes | 28c | 2,011$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf37…58b4backed Yes | 1c | 1,834$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d3…5ea0backed Yes | 14c | 1,550$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd38a…52c0backed Yes | 15c | 1,127$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.68 | 64 | 7.8%5 W · 59 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce03…5608backed Yes | 33c | 1,084$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.71 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa44d…79c8backed Yes | 11c | 1,014$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.98 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bb…8083backed Yes | 8c | 1,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8a…e4cdbacked Yes | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x95b3…9989backed Yes | 4c | 1,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf493…f4f6backed Yes | 14c | 999.99$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 32 | 9.4%3 W · 29 L | -5.0wins | -0.16per pick | 25cpaid | -76.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x346c…3a90backed Yes | 24c | 994.3$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.84 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb52…92eebacked No | 67c | 906.87$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.62 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6550…d966backed Yes | 56c | 894.36$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8242…cb6ebacked Yes | 2c | 888.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.59 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab6…bcb9backed Yes | 8c | 870.52$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.11 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa41f…b397backed Yes | 14c | 862.71$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6561…c074backed No | 64c | 851.22$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.49 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd0…2b4bbacked No | 70c | 809.98$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.69 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbbe…b616backed Yes | 20c | 802.9$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…0e4fbacked Yes | 35c | 750$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.8 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf95…3a72backed Yes | 28c | 722.31$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9f…c1a4backed Yes | 4c | 699.76$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.13 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d3…9b5dbacked No | 79c | 666.8$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.1 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38ad…80f6backed Yes | 35c | 650$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.34per pick | 48cpaid | -70.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8170…4d0fbacked Yes | 18c | 636$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe328…9f4abacked Yes | 34c | 616.1$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.61 | 59 | 25.4%15 W · 44 L | -12.2wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x61e2…59c2backed Yes | 18c | 609.1$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x622b…c6cbbacked No | 77c | 595.03$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.82 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9bca…5337backed Yes | 34c | 551.55$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -5.6wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x01c2…3193backed Yes | 27c | 550.12$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…57e9backed No | 70c | 550.01$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.45 | 32 | 75%24 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38ab…6f17backed No | 79c | 544.46$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc181…0992backed Yes | 39c | 506.7$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbc1…d114backed Yes | 19c | 500$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.83 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45a5…8427backed No | 66c | 493.03$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.96 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf33…83babacked Yes | 20c | 460$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7469…8ebbbacked Yes | 5c | 432.92$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.86 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x968e…ca73backed Yes | 19c | 426.16$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1f…1a9fbacked Yes | 24c | 384.3$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.95 | 52 | 7.7%4 W · 48 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -74%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c91…e687backed Yes | 18c | 370$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc77…c035backed No | 63c | 322.96$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.44 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a68…6679backed No | 67c | 300$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd698…dfc0backed Yes | 19c | 300$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac4…ca67backed Yes | 18c | 300$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd950…ad1bbacked Yes | 3c | 300$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 46 | 21.7%10 W · 36 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b0d…42dcbacked Yes | 18c | 300$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75a…8a88backed Yes | 20c | 300$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a1…0ee9backed No | 74c | 299.99$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +77.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3969…6e2cbacked No | 73c | 298.39$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.28 | 65 | 9.2%6 W · 59 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…052abacked Yes | 25c | 295.57$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.04 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe48f…1874backed Yes | 14c | 286.76$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.38 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d91…186ebacked No | 76c | 264.49$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x327d…052bbacked No | 66c | 253.39$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.18 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff16…7511backed No | 35c | 245.37$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.49 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +5.7wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9099…8491backed No | 78c | 241.14$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.99 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 67cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa835…b8dbbacked No | 68c | 228.8$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.8 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +3.5wins | +0.32per pick | 59cpaid | +66%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9373…9014backed Yes | 23c | 224.19$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.18 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb807…99cbbacked Yes | 20c | 222.58$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.67 | 54 | 1.9%1 W · 53 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 7cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1319…b434backed Yes | 29c | 221.73$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf21…6b1abacked Yes | 23c | 220.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5c…6d2abacked Yes | 15c | 209.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba8…ab96backed No | 78c | 200.04$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.76 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…6657backed No | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.08 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.9wins | +0.24per pick | 59cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x41d1…939cbacked Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x938c…2d5dbacked No | 78c | 199.96$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2840…b3b3backed No | 76c | 191.19$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.19 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +65.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ea…ee26backed No | 79c | 191.14$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.14 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x290f…7e47backed No | 74c | 186.5$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb7…75f2backed No | 68c | 185.71$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.43 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc31f…91b0backed No | 65c | 160$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 17c | 156.32$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.02 | 169 | 3.6%6 W · 163 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b33…c931backed Yes | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0309…22d1backed Yes | 21c | 145.48$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.02 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71ff…b005backed No | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33c5…2230backed Yes | 74c | 135$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b7…df07backed No | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde21…ca14backed No | 77c | 129.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c2b…490fbacked No | 79c | 126.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x947f…2edebacked No | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b62…f729backed Yes | 19c | 126.16$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6df8…a618backed Yes | 80c | 125$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa936…4b8ebacked Yes | 40c | 124.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4e9…00e1backed Yes | 17c | 116.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc44e…7e88backed Yes | 22c | 107.84$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd49c…d5fdbacked Yes | 28c | 107.68$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505e…affcbacked Yes | 41c | 104.03$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.65 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -6.5wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.