TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xcd9f…c1a4

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
171
Categories scored
27
Categories below 50
14

Best Category: NBA, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 57 out of 100; worst NHL at 39.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT3857.9%22 W · 16 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+15.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+619.4%+$487.12
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.64
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Paraguay win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$156.38
Will DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Will Colombia vs. Portugal end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$236Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$288.49
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+70.4%+$98.51
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.08
Will France win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$80
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$144.15
Will Türkiye vs. United States end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Japan vs. Sweden end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+87.6%+$90.15
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$264Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$148.5
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$353Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+90.6%+$320.15
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$265Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$265.47
Will Morocco vs. Haiti end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$40.85
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+144%+$288.1
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$111.44
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$103.03
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$49.25
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.18
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT2924.1%7 W · 22 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-51.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$163Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+82.6%+$134.29
Over $2M committed to the Hurupay public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Tria FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+177.8%+$49.08
Fogo FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+63.9%+$19.23
Over $70M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$33.12
Over $60M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$20.73
Over $50M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$10.4
Over $30M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$15.91
Over $40M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$32.43
Over $20M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$156.08
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$21.86
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+44%+$30.52
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$363Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+86.3%+$313.58
Will Stable launch a token in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$332Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$331.94
Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+102.3%+$109.52
Monad market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$212Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$212.08
Monad market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$197
Over $60M committed to the Solomon public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$14.56
Over $40M committed to the Solomon public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$32.5
Over $20M committed to the Solomon public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$100.79
Over 150,000 bidders in the MegaETH public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$236Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+156.7%+$369.45
Over $1.3B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$254Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$254.11
Over $1.2B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$131.96
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST2030%6 W · 14 L-4.4wins-0.22per pick52cpaid-42.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
NHL — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sabres vs. Utahbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Blue Jackets vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Stars vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$82.06
Capitals vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Kings vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Utah vs. Senatorsbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Blackhawks vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$14.36
Capitals vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+31.6%+$3.79
Wild vs. Islanders: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Blue Jackets vs. Flamesbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Hurricanes vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Lightning vs. Utahbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+100%+$20
Devils vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$10.2
Capitals vs. Sabresbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.62
Senators vs. Canadiensbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Stars vs. Panthersbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Hurricanes vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+170.3%+$34.05
Avalanche vs. Golden Knightsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$23.94
Devils vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$22.55
Blackhawks vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$24.63
All 20 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST1968.4%13 W · 6 L+2.6wins+0.14per pick55cpaid+12.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trail Blazers vs. Pelicansbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+31.6%+$4.74
Nuggets vs. Kingsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+27.2%+$7.3
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+73.4%+$22.02
Warriors vs. Thunderbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Pacers vs. Warriorsbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Spread: Spurs (-11.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Warriors vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+25%+$5
Hornets vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+56.3%+$8.44
Spread: Timberwolves (-11.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+100%+$15
Spread: Rockets (-3.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Jazz vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$11.12
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Celtics vs. 76ers: O/U 234.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+100%+$30
Hawks vs. Pacersbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$9.81
Spread: Hawks (-1.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$12.27
Heat vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$35.72
Heat vs. Spurs: O/U 231.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$14.49
Wizards vs. Thunder: O/U 228.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$23.57
76ers vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$33.55
All 19 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1127.3%3 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-52.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.92
Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.09
Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 June 1-7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 May 25-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.37
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.8
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 May 18-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.9
Pump.fun all time high by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$29.13
Will Pump.fun hit $0.01 in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$82.53
Will Bitcoin dip below $100k before 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+61.3%+$12.26
Will Bitcoin dip to $104,000 October 27-November 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+41.7%+$8.34
Will Bitcoin dip to $106,000 October 27-November 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+123.2%+$24.64
All 11 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 12, 2025, EST1020%2 W · 8 L-2.9wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-53%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
College Football — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kent State Golden Flashes vs. Akronbacked Akron · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Ohio vs. Western Michiganbacked Western Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+119.8%+$23.96
Tulane vs. Memphisbacked Tulane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+150%+$15
USC vs. Nebraska Cornhuskersbacked Nebraska Cornhuskers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
Army vs. Air Forcebacked Air Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.53
Vanderbilt vs. Texasbacked Vanderbilt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.48
UCF vs. Baylorbacked UCF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
O/U 49.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Tulane vs. UTSA Roadrunnersbacked Tulane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Marshall vs. Coastal Carolina Chanticleersbacked Marshall · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
All 10 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 25, 2025, EST520%1 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick10cpaid-34.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+76.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Cricket — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Nov 11, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-26.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 10, 2025, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+80.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Steelers vs. Chargersbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST+53.8%+$6.61
Jaguars vs. Texansbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+92.3%+$13.85
Spread: Packers (-13.5)backed Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+96.1%+$37.67
All 3 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jan 12, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-37.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-51.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+80.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will KT Rolster win LoL Worlds 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+56.7%+$8.51
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$20.82
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 322: Dariush vs. Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Dariush · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Vieira vs. Dumontbacked Vieira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Emily in Paris: Season 5" be the #2 global Netflix show this week? (December 30, 2025)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+112.8%+$48.66
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Dec 26, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+91.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Last Christmas - Wham! be the #1 song on Spotify this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+91.7%+$50.68
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tromsø IL win on 2025-11-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+63.9%+$9.59
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Oct 31, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-10-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$12.26
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$53.86
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Nov 19, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Dec 22, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Larry Ellison/Oracle acquire TikTok?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Oct 31, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Heroic vs Team Liquid (BO3)backed Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fulham win on 2025-11-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nashville SC win on 2025-11-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.