NBA · resolved market
Spread: Spurs (-11.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x89b580b76e38731478af13f0edec39a5d1edf4948ad9094af7222d4926bea5c6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pelicansof Spurs, Pelicans
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $194,381
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $194,791
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $194,381 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9165…5b98backed Spurs | 49c | 114,603$56,546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56,546.37 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Pelicans | 51c | 70,450$35,904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,546.02 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Pelicans | 51c | 69,745$35,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,414.89 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Spurs | 49c | 40,000$19,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,600 | 382 | 48.7%186 W · 196 L | +13.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb6…3009backed Spurs | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Pelicans | 50c | 14,687$7,343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,343.88 | 474 | 48.7%231 W · 243 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Pelicans | 51c | 12,283$6,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,018.78 | 192 | 49.5%95 W · 97 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Pelicans | 51c | 6,274$3,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,074.26 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc550…353fbacked Spurs | 47c | 4,000$1,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,880 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Pelicans | 50c | 3,025$1,512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,512.94 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8198…e96ebacked Spurs | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940 | 164 | 46.3%76 W · 88 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Pelicans | 51c | 1,980$1,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$970.59 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60cc…f0dfbacked Spurs | 54c | 1,899$1,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,025.46 | 108 | 52.8%57 W · 51 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Pelicans | 46c | 1,867$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,007.4 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Pelicans | 51c | 1,470$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$726.3 | 418 | 48.3%202 W · 216 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Pelicans | 51c | 1,284$649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635.09 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6bd…270cbacked Spurs | 48c | 1,041$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.58 | 124 | 52.4%65 W · 59 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Spurs | 48c | 953$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.16 | 361 | 48.5%175 W · 186 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Pelicans | 52c | 613.21$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.06 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Pelicans | 48c | 505.5$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.86 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d22…ec35backed Spurs | 52c | 505.5$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.86 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5623…6930backed Spurs | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 239 | 38.1%91 W · 148 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Pelicans | 51c | 400$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 456 | 47.1%215 W · 241 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Spurs | 47c | 357.74$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.14 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1181…8ce4backed Pelicans | 53c | 308.62$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.05 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc1…ffeebacked Spurs | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 369 | 43.4%160 W · 209 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c7d…423fbacked Spurs | 48c | 129.6$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.21 | 124 | 37.9%47 W · 77 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Pelicans | 53c | 110$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.7 | 698 | 52%363 W · 335 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09e3…cf81backed Spurs | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 189 | 55%104 W · 85 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b8…68a5backed Spurs | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e2…31e4backed Spurs | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 112 | 51.8%58 W · 54 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b34…6296backed Spurs | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 102 | 53.9%55 W · 47 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…93d7backed Pelicans | 52c | 80$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 403 | 46.2%186 W · 217 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e52…9434backed Pelicans | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.47 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…908dbacked Pelicans | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.07 | 166 | 50%83 W · 83 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb9d…b033backed Pelicans | 53c | 65$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.35 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe45d…f77ebacked Pelicans | 54c | 64.81$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.81 | 253 | 36.8%93 W · 160 L | -10.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Pelicans | 50c | 52.64$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.32 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd947…9b61backed Spurs | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 287 | 51.9%149 W · 138 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…3ca6backed Pelicans | 54c | 46.39$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.39 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd99…f375backed Pelicans | 50c | 42$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 381 | 51.2%195 W · 186 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…581bbacked Spurs | 49c | 40.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.04 | 91 | 65.9%60 W · 31 L | +8.4wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Pelicans | 51c | 40.9$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.04 | 346 | 45.4%157 W · 189 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…1adebacked Pelicans | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 136 | 52.2%71 W · 65 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3e1…61edbacked Pelicans | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe742…e16cbacked Pelicans | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Pelicans | 51c | 33.75$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2a…845bbacked Spurs | 48c | 33.33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 85 | 57.6%49 W · 36 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…3183backed Spurs | 49c | 32.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.16 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6754…e4fcbacked Spurs | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -4.1wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfe71…b183backed Spurs | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Spurs | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 452 | 51.1%231 W · 221 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5fa…1cf2backed Pelicans | 52c | 28.56$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.71 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +3.4wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3b83…ed1dbacked Pelicans | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x417d…62c7backed Pelicans | 54c | 27.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.65 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.17per pick | 59cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc02…f89cbacked Spurs | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 139 | 47.5%66 W · 73 L | -11.2wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9f…c1a4backed Spurs | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Spurs (-11.5)this page
- Pelicans vs. SpursSpurs won
- Pelicans vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 109.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Spurs: O/U 223.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Spurs: O/U 224.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Spurs: O/U 225.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Spurs: O/U 226.5Over won
- Spread: Spurs (-10.5)Pelicans won
- Spread: Spurs (-12.5)Pelicans won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.