TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Pelicans vs. Spurs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Spursof Pelicans, Spurs
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,205,488
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,190,202

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,205,488 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3987…259ebacked Pelicans18c550,871$101,764 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,764.48022.5%18 W · 62 L-10.0wins-0.12per pick35cpaid-49.4%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0x2c67…377ebacked Pelicans17c100,136$16,657 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,656.791643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick38cpaid-11.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4c8…fed1backed Pelicans16c31,795$5,087 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,087.23748.6%18 W · 19 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick41cpaid-3.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Pelicans3c19,016$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509.591,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Pelicans16c17,500$2,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,8002,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed Pelicans16c14,825$2,372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,372.0746342.5%197 W · 266 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Pelicans16c9,948$1,592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,591.681,71544.5%764 W · 951 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Pelicans3c9,596$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.191,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x220c…43c8backed Pelicans13c8,205$1,037 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,036.647149.3%35 W · 36 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Pelicans16c6,769$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,100.452,26543.4%982 W · 1,283 L-26.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7a7…d3abbacked Pelicans6c6,259$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.7620034%68 W · 132 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid+28.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2092…b6d8backed Pelicans16c6,250$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.28per pick38cpaid+35.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Pelicans17c6,100$1,037 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0371,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00cf…d102backed Pelicans19c5,302$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00033344.1%147 W · 186 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Pelicans2c3,981$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.359743.6%260 W · 337 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f7a…db40backed Pelicans16c3,500$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56018047.8%86 W · 94 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Pelicans16c3,500$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56047748.8%233 W · 244 L+1.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Pelicans16c3,165$506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506.359,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x87ea…f625backed Pelicans16c3,139$507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506.8224330.9%75 W · 168 L-11.5wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-17.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Pelicans0c3,000$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.158820%0 W · 882 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Pelicans1c2,991$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.598783%26 W · 852 L-22.3wins-0.03per pick5cpaid-62%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Pelicans0c2,886$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.457502%15 W · 735 L-3.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-63.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Pelicans15c2,400$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37061835.4%219 W · 399 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Pelicans4c2,240$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.922,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ae5…53c8backed Pelicans16c2,000$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32017141.5%71 W · 100 L-6.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd3a…67cabacked Pelicans14c1,911$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26050838.2%194 W · 314 L+22.3wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+1.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0eb3…f766backed Pelicans16c1,461$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.2548944.2%216 W · 273 L-12.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Pelicans4c1,419$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.422,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x15d5…ef7bbacked Pelicans17c1,400$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2381,19838.8%465 W · 733 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec8b…152bbacked Pelicans16c1,376$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.1115945.9%73 W · 86 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3212…634ebacked Pelicans16c1,000$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16040035.5%142 W · 258 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Pelicans17c1,000$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16575347.5%358 W · 395 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09ec…427dbacked Pelicans11c911.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10016439.6%65 W · 99 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Pelicans17c845$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.383,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x520a…ab8abacked Pelicans19c700$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13351037.5%191 W · 319 L+1.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x45d6…36cbbacked Pelicans10c600.12$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6024533.9%83 W · 162 L-19.1wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-23.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfd99…f375backed Pelicans12c578.34$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.7638151.2%195 W · 186 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2dbf…784abacked Pelicans7c571.43$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407139.4%28 W · 43 L+6.6wins+0.09per pick30cpaid+39.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3d64…01fabacked Pelicans16c566.13$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.5824634.1%84 W · 162 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad43…1a69backed Pelicans12c416.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507727.3%21 W · 56 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick25cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9005…d988backed Pelicans15c399.99$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60175.9%1 W · 16 L-3.2wins-0.19per pick25cpaid-84.8%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x7bb5…efb5backed Pelicans3c392$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f8c…eaa2backed Pelicans16c385.82$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.845541.8%23 W · 32 L+5.0wins+0.09per pick33cpaid+33.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x531c…eb0dbacked Pelicans15c300$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$447843.6%34 W · 44 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x024a…decbbacked Pelicans17c287$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.7914161%86 W · 55 L+6.6wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a14…1100backed Pelicans12c260.5$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303721.6%8 W · 29 L-5.5wins-0.15per pick36cpaid-47.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xaf84…7129backed Pelicans8c255.56$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204740.4%19 W · 28 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc2ba…3d9cbacked Pelicans10c251.12$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.98837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick34cpaid-26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf75…7623backed Pelicans6c238.58$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.485127.5%14 W · 37 L-8.7wins-0.17per pick44cpaid-57.6%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x039a…b09dbacked Pelicans19c210.53$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406529.2%19 W · 46 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Pelicans49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.735352.4%185 W · 168 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x502b…a1d5backed Pelicans12c200$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2425039.6%99 W · 151 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea9e…d3fbbacked Pelicans16c199.23$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.9143321.2%92 W · 341 L-15.0wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Pelicans16c198.47$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.761,40940.2%567 W · 842 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0969…b289backed Pelicans19c184$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.9622247.3%105 W · 117 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d28…932abacked Pelicans16c159.98$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.624835.1%87 W · 161 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d79…4da1backed Pelicans13c150$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.53625%9 W · 27 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-25.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x72b7…9155backed Pelicans15c150$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff7c…3e9fbacked Pelicans16c148.02$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.169227.2%25 W · 67 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-28.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbfc2…e855backed Pelicans17c147.06$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251060%6 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.22per pick38cpaid+39.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8b9a…5f69backed Pelicans10c136.35$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.585213.8%20 W · 501 L+0.6wins0.00per pick4cpaid-36.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Pelicans16c125$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2052240%209 W · 313 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x17e2…5e2fbacked Pelicans17c120.59$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.520%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe52…3314backed Pelicans17c120.59$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.520%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x281b…c6c8backed Pelicans17c120.59$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.520%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x068f…4594backed Pelicans17c117.65$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208045%36 W · 44 L-5.7wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-17.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe530…a2cabacked Pelicans17c117.65$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2023042.6%98 W · 132 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefbc…49b8backed Pelicans18c116.67$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21825%2 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-49.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2816…0730backed Pelicans16c115.29$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.611028.2%31 W · 79 L-9.1wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-28.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbb35…2355backed Pelicans17c112.82$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.1820%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d10…7eacbacked Pelicans17c112.24$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.0820%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bd5…b2cbbacked Pelicans17c111.88$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.0230%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1c0…e290backed Pelicans17c111.76$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1920%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x17d5…6438backed Pelicans18c111.11$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201612.5%2 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick17cpaid-46.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdfaa…79a7backed Pelicans16c102.15$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.3434246.8%160 W · 182 L+18.1wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+16.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x70df…bca8backed Pelicans16c100$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1632750.2%164 W · 163 L-10.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f79…7ed4backed Pelicans16c100$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1611129.7%33 W · 78 L-9.9wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-24.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x31c6…4200backed Pelicans10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10156.7%1 W · 14 L-2.7wins-0.18per pick25cpaid-63%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Pelicans14c100$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141,05549.9%526 W · 529 L+29.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc54f…dce8backed Pelicans13c100$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.563427.3%173 W · 461 L-19.7wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-20.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x129b…6eefbacked Pelicans17c88.24$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1520%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x30b0…7181backed Pelicans17c88.24$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1520%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2cdf…7857backed Pelicans17c88.24$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1520%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x879f…8417backed Pelicans13c87.14$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-34.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Pelicans21c86.53$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.171,13217%192 W · 940 L+2.5wins0.00per pick17cpaid-25.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70a8…6dfdbacked Pelicans14c77.63$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1116325.2%41 W · 122 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick22cpaid-4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x90c5…534cbacked Spurs79c75$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.862848.7%306 W · 322 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7804…6638backed Spurs58c62.72$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.34650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-27.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a63…e101backed Pelicans16c62.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101833.3%6 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-27.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xeaae…f8e5backed Pelicans17c60$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.23240.6%13 W · 19 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick35cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xad53…ef24backed Spurs52c40$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.1214139%55 W · 86 L-6.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-19.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3f4f…b4b3backed Spurs53c37.73$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.7323438.9%91 W · 143 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+17.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf571…3a5dbacked Spurs76c25$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.0517345.7%79 W · 94 L+8.0wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.