TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf571…3a5d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
250
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: NBA, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 54 out of 100; worst MLB at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT17345.7%79 W · 94 L+8.0wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 173 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hawks vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+300%+$62.78
Timberwolves vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.21
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggetsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.15
76ers vs. Spursbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Lakers vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+900%+$907.85
Spurs vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Bucks vs. Sunsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+400%+$560
76ers vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$125.29
Cavaliers vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$125.97
Lakers vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$195
Jazz vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+161.1%+$57.34
Bulls vs. Clippers: O/U 235.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$23
Suns vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$27.38
Grizzlies vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$312Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+31.7%+$98.83
Celtics vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$5.6
Timberwolves vs. Clippersbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$142.39
Knicks vs. Jazzbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+31.7%+$24.15
Bulls vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.83
Celtics vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+100%+$32.26
Raptors vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$11.94
Mavericks vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$4.76
Pistons vs. Netsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$4.08
Bulls vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$76.3
Celtics vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.3
Jazz vs. Bucksbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$14.19
Showing 25 of 173 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT2540%10 W · 15 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-23.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Los Angeles Angels vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$42
Washington Nationals vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.86
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$417Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$417.16
Minnesota Twins vs. New York Metsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$156
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$94
Minnesota Twins vs. New York Metsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.34
New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.8
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$125
Houston Astros vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$27.23
Atlanta Braves vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.51
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$217Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$217
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$102
Kansas City Royals vs. New York Yankeesbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.98
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+91.1%+$36.19
New York Mets vs. Chicago Cubsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.63
Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$162.96
Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$117.44
New York Mets vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$158.64
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.52
Los Angeles Angels vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+63.4%+$48.77
San Francisco Giants vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+103.1%+$58.06
Washington Nationals vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$28.39
Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$47
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$87
Boston Red Sox vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$116.1
All 25 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST2343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-18.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winnerbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$10.68
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Natus Vincere (BO3)backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$10.8
Counter-Strike: G2 vs TheMongolz (BO3)backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$57
Counter-Strike: G2 vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$39.2
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Team Falcons (BO3)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+66.9%+$28.05
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$208Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+98.9%+$205.37
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$43.2
Counter-Strike: B8 vs paiN - Map 2 Winnerbacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$22.8
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality - Map 2 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+58.6%+$21.96
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 3DMAX (BO3)backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$76
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit (BO3)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$184.72
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit - Map 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+104.1%+$81.6
Counter-Strike: NIP vs 3DMAX (BO3)backed 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+122.2%+$14.85
Counter-Strike: NIP vs 3DMAX - Map 1 Winnerbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$56.93
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Astralis (BO3)backed Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+51.5%+$10.2
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs M80 (BO3)backed M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$51.24
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs TYLOO (BO3)backed TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$15.2
Counter-Strike: Imperial vs M80 (BO3)backed Imperial · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+120.3%+$68.25
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs NIP - Map 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+72.4%+$27.3
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Passion UA (BO3)backed Passion UA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+61.3%+$20.9
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs NIP - Map 1 Winnerbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$21.6
Counter-Strike: NIP vs NRG (BO1)backed NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$102.2
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Heroic (BO3)backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+112.8%+$106
All 23 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 2, 2025, EST650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-26.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Dec 12, 2025, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+37.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 20, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+15.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bruins vs. Ducksbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$42
Rangers vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2024, EST+59.8%+$13.1
Hurricanes vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2024, EST+86.9%+$9.3
All 3 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-26%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs G2 Esports (BO5) - First Stand Group Abacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.05
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO3)backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+48%+$71.04
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+284.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Madison Keys win the Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2025, EST+669.2%+$156.24
Australian Open (W): Swiatek vs. Keysbacked Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2025, EST-100%-$35.47
All 2 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 11, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Aurora vs 1win (BO3)backed 1win · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$24.12
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3)backed Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$50.02
All 2 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Dec 12, 2024, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+113.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Chess — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
World Chess Championship 2024 Winnerbacked Gukesh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2024, EST+113.9%+$21.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 15, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Memphis vs. East Carolinabacked East Carolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+72.4%+$12.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick65cpaid+55%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2025, EDT+55%+$7.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Dec 8, 2024, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pantoja vs. Asakurabacked Pantoja · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST+53.8%+$7
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 9, 2024, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
OpenAI Sora public release in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2024, EST+37%+$5.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 6, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$75
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Inter Milan win the Serie A?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.8
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.